Unraveling overestimated exposure risks through hourly ozone retrievals from next-generation geostationary satellites

Abstract Accurate ground-level ozone (O3) estimation is crucial for assessing health impacts and designing control strategies. Traditional polar-orbit satellites provide limited, one-time measurements, missing O3’s diurnal variability. Here, we utilize a next-generation geostationary satellite with...

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Main Authors: Siwei Li, Ge Song, Jia Xing, Jiaxin Dong, Maolin Zhang, Chunying Fan, Shiyao Meng, Jie Yang, Lechao Dong, Wei Gong
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-04-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-58652-2
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author Siwei Li
Ge Song
Jia Xing
Jiaxin Dong
Maolin Zhang
Chunying Fan
Shiyao Meng
Jie Yang
Lechao Dong
Wei Gong
author_facet Siwei Li
Ge Song
Jia Xing
Jiaxin Dong
Maolin Zhang
Chunying Fan
Shiyao Meng
Jie Yang
Lechao Dong
Wei Gong
author_sort Siwei Li
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Accurate ground-level ozone (O3) estimation is crucial for assessing health impacts and designing control strategies. Traditional polar-orbit satellites provide limited, one-time measurements, missing O3’s diurnal variability. Here, we utilize a next-generation geostationary satellite with ultraviolet capabilities to retrieve hourly O3 concentrations, achieving high accuracy (R2 = 0.94) and improving daily maximum 8-hour estimates, particularly in semi-urban areas (R2 + 0.10, error reduction >7 μg/m³). Our analysis reveals a 30% drop in O3-related health risks compared to traditional polar-orbit estimates, with the greatest impact in semi-urban and rural areas where satellite data plays an important role due to the lack of ground measurements. This suggests prior estimates may have overestimated total mortality and urban-rural spillover effects. Our findings underscore the importance of geostationary satellites in capturing O3 diurnal variability through refined hourly data on photochemical precursors and radiation, providing a scientific basis for health assessments and informing O3 pollution regulations in China.
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institution OA Journals
issn 2041-1723
language English
publishDate 2025-04-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
record_format Article
series Nature Communications
spelling doaj-art-6240c2f0cb134292a8da8eff5aed27b62025-08-20T02:17:09ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232025-04-0116111210.1038/s41467-025-58652-2Unraveling overestimated exposure risks through hourly ozone retrievals from next-generation geostationary satellitesSiwei Li0Ge Song1Jia Xing2Jiaxin Dong3Maolin Zhang4Chunying Fan5Shiyao Meng6Jie Yang7Lechao Dong8Wei Gong9Hubei Key Laboratory of Quantitative Remote Sensing of Land and Atmosphere, School of Remote Sensing and Information Engineering, Wuhan UniversityHubei Key Laboratory of Quantitative Remote Sensing of Land and Atmosphere, School of Remote Sensing and Information Engineering, Wuhan UniversityDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, the University of TennesseeHubei Key Laboratory of Quantitative Remote Sensing of Land and Atmosphere, School of Remote Sensing and Information Engineering, Wuhan UniversityHubei Key Laboratory of Quantitative Remote Sensing of Land and Atmosphere, School of Remote Sensing and Information Engineering, Wuhan UniversityHubei Key Laboratory of Quantitative Remote Sensing of Land and Atmosphere, School of Remote Sensing and Information Engineering, Wuhan UniversitySchool of Electronic Information, Wuhan UniversityHubei Key Laboratory of Quantitative Remote Sensing of Land and Atmosphere, School of Remote Sensing and Information Engineering, Wuhan UniversityCMA Earth System Modeling and Prediction Centre (CEMC), China Meteorological AdministrationPerception and Effectiveness Assessment for Carbon-neutrality Efforts, Engineering Research Center of Ministry of Education, Institute for Carbon Neutrality, Wuhan UniversityAbstract Accurate ground-level ozone (O3) estimation is crucial for assessing health impacts and designing control strategies. Traditional polar-orbit satellites provide limited, one-time measurements, missing O3’s diurnal variability. Here, we utilize a next-generation geostationary satellite with ultraviolet capabilities to retrieve hourly O3 concentrations, achieving high accuracy (R2 = 0.94) and improving daily maximum 8-hour estimates, particularly in semi-urban areas (R2 + 0.10, error reduction >7 μg/m³). Our analysis reveals a 30% drop in O3-related health risks compared to traditional polar-orbit estimates, with the greatest impact in semi-urban and rural areas where satellite data plays an important role due to the lack of ground measurements. This suggests prior estimates may have overestimated total mortality and urban-rural spillover effects. Our findings underscore the importance of geostationary satellites in capturing O3 diurnal variability through refined hourly data on photochemical precursors and radiation, providing a scientific basis for health assessments and informing O3 pollution regulations in China.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-58652-2
spellingShingle Siwei Li
Ge Song
Jia Xing
Jiaxin Dong
Maolin Zhang
Chunying Fan
Shiyao Meng
Jie Yang
Lechao Dong
Wei Gong
Unraveling overestimated exposure risks through hourly ozone retrievals from next-generation geostationary satellites
Nature Communications
title Unraveling overestimated exposure risks through hourly ozone retrievals from next-generation geostationary satellites
title_full Unraveling overestimated exposure risks through hourly ozone retrievals from next-generation geostationary satellites
title_fullStr Unraveling overestimated exposure risks through hourly ozone retrievals from next-generation geostationary satellites
title_full_unstemmed Unraveling overestimated exposure risks through hourly ozone retrievals from next-generation geostationary satellites
title_short Unraveling overestimated exposure risks through hourly ozone retrievals from next-generation geostationary satellites
title_sort unraveling overestimated exposure risks through hourly ozone retrievals from next generation geostationary satellites
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-58652-2
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