Unraveling overestimated exposure risks through hourly ozone retrievals from next-generation geostationary satellites

Abstract Accurate ground-level ozone (O3) estimation is crucial for assessing health impacts and designing control strategies. Traditional polar-orbit satellites provide limited, one-time measurements, missing O3’s diurnal variability. Here, we utilize a next-generation geostationary satellite with...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Siwei Li, Ge Song, Jia Xing, Jiaxin Dong, Maolin Zhang, Chunying Fan, Shiyao Meng, Jie Yang, Lechao Dong, Wei Gong
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-04-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-58652-2
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Summary:Abstract Accurate ground-level ozone (O3) estimation is crucial for assessing health impacts and designing control strategies. Traditional polar-orbit satellites provide limited, one-time measurements, missing O3’s diurnal variability. Here, we utilize a next-generation geostationary satellite with ultraviolet capabilities to retrieve hourly O3 concentrations, achieving high accuracy (R2 = 0.94) and improving daily maximum 8-hour estimates, particularly in semi-urban areas (R2 + 0.10, error reduction >7 μg/m³). Our analysis reveals a 30% drop in O3-related health risks compared to traditional polar-orbit estimates, with the greatest impact in semi-urban and rural areas where satellite data plays an important role due to the lack of ground measurements. This suggests prior estimates may have overestimated total mortality and urban-rural spillover effects. Our findings underscore the importance of geostationary satellites in capturing O3 diurnal variability through refined hourly data on photochemical precursors and radiation, providing a scientific basis for health assessments and informing O3 pollution regulations in China.
ISSN:2041-1723