Development of Modified LSTM Model for Reservoir Capacity Prediction in Huanggang Reservoir, Fujian, China

The Huanggang Reservoir capacity is affected by a variety of factors. In order to accurately understand the Huanggang Reservoir capacity change, we develop a new hydrological prediction model based on the LSTM (Long-Short-Term Memory) method, which is used to predict the capacity of the reservoir. I...

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Main Authors: Bibo Dai, Jiangbin Wang, Xiao Gu, Chunyan Xu, Xin Yu, Haosheng Zhang, Canming Yuan, Wen Nie
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:Geofluids
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/2891029
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author Bibo Dai
Jiangbin Wang
Xiao Gu
Chunyan Xu
Xin Yu
Haosheng Zhang
Canming Yuan
Wen Nie
author_facet Bibo Dai
Jiangbin Wang
Xiao Gu
Chunyan Xu
Xin Yu
Haosheng Zhang
Canming Yuan
Wen Nie
author_sort Bibo Dai
collection DOAJ
description The Huanggang Reservoir capacity is affected by a variety of factors. In order to accurately understand the Huanggang Reservoir capacity change, we develop a new hydrological prediction model based on the LSTM (Long-Short-Term Memory) method, which is used to predict the capacity of the reservoir. In this modified model, we choose to input multidimensional factors, two fully connected layers, selecting the optimal number of the hidden neurons, the optimizer, and adding the attention mechanism. The result of using the Developed LSTM and usual LSTM shows that the prediction curve of the Developed LSTM model can fit the true value better than the usual LSTM model, and the mean relative error of the Developed LSTM model decreased by 1.15%-3.82%, comparing with the usual LSTM model. Thus, we realize that the Developed LSTM model can make accurately prediction in some reservoir capacity estimations.
format Article
id doaj-art-618bed4d92cc4f3eac6ffccd00f0d379
institution Kabale University
issn 1468-8123
language English
publishDate 2022-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Geofluids
spelling doaj-art-618bed4d92cc4f3eac6ffccd00f0d3792025-08-20T03:34:52ZengWileyGeofluids1468-81232022-01-01202210.1155/2022/2891029Development of Modified LSTM Model for Reservoir Capacity Prediction in Huanggang Reservoir, Fujian, ChinaBibo Dai0Jiangbin Wang1Xiao Gu2Chunyan Xu3Xin Yu4Haosheng Zhang5Canming Yuan6Wen Nie7School of Resources and Civil EngineeringThe Water Resources Allocation Center of Shanmei Reservoir in QuanzhouSchool of Resources and Environmental EngineeringThe Water Resources Allocation Center of Shanmei Reservoir in QuanzhouQuanzhou Institute of Equipment ManufacturingQuanzhou Institute of Equipment ManufacturingState Key Laboratory of Safety and Health for Metal MinesState Key Laboratory of Safety and Health for Metal MinesThe Huanggang Reservoir capacity is affected by a variety of factors. In order to accurately understand the Huanggang Reservoir capacity change, we develop a new hydrological prediction model based on the LSTM (Long-Short-Term Memory) method, which is used to predict the capacity of the reservoir. In this modified model, we choose to input multidimensional factors, two fully connected layers, selecting the optimal number of the hidden neurons, the optimizer, and adding the attention mechanism. The result of using the Developed LSTM and usual LSTM shows that the prediction curve of the Developed LSTM model can fit the true value better than the usual LSTM model, and the mean relative error of the Developed LSTM model decreased by 1.15%-3.82%, comparing with the usual LSTM model. Thus, we realize that the Developed LSTM model can make accurately prediction in some reservoir capacity estimations.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/2891029
spellingShingle Bibo Dai
Jiangbin Wang
Xiao Gu
Chunyan Xu
Xin Yu
Haosheng Zhang
Canming Yuan
Wen Nie
Development of Modified LSTM Model for Reservoir Capacity Prediction in Huanggang Reservoir, Fujian, China
Geofluids
title Development of Modified LSTM Model for Reservoir Capacity Prediction in Huanggang Reservoir, Fujian, China
title_full Development of Modified LSTM Model for Reservoir Capacity Prediction in Huanggang Reservoir, Fujian, China
title_fullStr Development of Modified LSTM Model for Reservoir Capacity Prediction in Huanggang Reservoir, Fujian, China
title_full_unstemmed Development of Modified LSTM Model for Reservoir Capacity Prediction in Huanggang Reservoir, Fujian, China
title_short Development of Modified LSTM Model for Reservoir Capacity Prediction in Huanggang Reservoir, Fujian, China
title_sort development of modified lstm model for reservoir capacity prediction in huanggang reservoir fujian china
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/2891029
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