Forecasting Beijing Transportation Hub Areas’s Pedestrian Flow Using Modular Neural Network

Along with the increasing proportion of urban public transportation trip, pedestrian flow in transportation hub areas increased. For effectively improving the emergency handling ability of related management apartments and preventing the incident of pedestrian congestion, this paper studied the meth...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Shuwei Wang, Ronggui Zhou, Lin Zhao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2015-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/749181
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1832562321446141952
author Shuwei Wang
Ronggui Zhou
Lin Zhao
author_facet Shuwei Wang
Ronggui Zhou
Lin Zhao
author_sort Shuwei Wang
collection DOAJ
description Along with the increasing proportion of urban public transportation trip, pedestrian flow in transportation hub areas increased. For effectively improving the emergency handling ability of related management apartments and preventing the incident of pedestrian congestion, this paper studied the method of pedestrian flow forecast in Beijing transportation hub areas. Firstly, 34 typical sidewalks in Beijing transportation hub areas were surveyed to obtain 2200 valid data. Secondly, correlation analysis was used to analyze the relationship between pedestrian flow and its influential factors. 11 significant influential factors were extracted. Thirdly, forecasting model was established with modular neural network. The surveyed pedestrian flow sample was fuzzy clustered according to the regional land use where the transportation hub existed. Then, membership function based on the distance measure was constructed. Through fuzzy discrimination, online selection for the subnetwork of the information can be achieved. Consequently, the self-adaptation of the neural network on information processing was improved. Finally, this paper tested the pedestrian flow sample of a transportation hub in Beijing. It was concluded that the accuracy of pedestrian flow forecasting model using modular neural network was higher than other neural network models. There was also improvement in the adaptability to environment.
format Article
id doaj-art-61064044e1a04f1089793c586ccc47bf
institution Kabale University
issn 1026-0226
1607-887X
language English
publishDate 2015-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
spelling doaj-art-61064044e1a04f1089793c586ccc47bf2025-02-03T01:22:54ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1026-02261607-887X2015-01-01201510.1155/2015/749181749181Forecasting Beijing Transportation Hub Areas’s Pedestrian Flow Using Modular Neural NetworkShuwei Wang0Ronggui Zhou1Lin Zhao2Research Institute of Highway, Ministry of Transport, No. 8 Xi Tu Cheng Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100088, ChinaResearch Institute of Highway, Ministry of Transport, No. 8 Xi Tu Cheng Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100088, ChinaKey Laboratory of Transportation Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, No. 100 Ping Le Yuan, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100124, ChinaAlong with the increasing proportion of urban public transportation trip, pedestrian flow in transportation hub areas increased. For effectively improving the emergency handling ability of related management apartments and preventing the incident of pedestrian congestion, this paper studied the method of pedestrian flow forecast in Beijing transportation hub areas. Firstly, 34 typical sidewalks in Beijing transportation hub areas were surveyed to obtain 2200 valid data. Secondly, correlation analysis was used to analyze the relationship between pedestrian flow and its influential factors. 11 significant influential factors were extracted. Thirdly, forecasting model was established with modular neural network. The surveyed pedestrian flow sample was fuzzy clustered according to the regional land use where the transportation hub existed. Then, membership function based on the distance measure was constructed. Through fuzzy discrimination, online selection for the subnetwork of the information can be achieved. Consequently, the self-adaptation of the neural network on information processing was improved. Finally, this paper tested the pedestrian flow sample of a transportation hub in Beijing. It was concluded that the accuracy of pedestrian flow forecasting model using modular neural network was higher than other neural network models. There was also improvement in the adaptability to environment.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/749181
spellingShingle Shuwei Wang
Ronggui Zhou
Lin Zhao
Forecasting Beijing Transportation Hub Areas’s Pedestrian Flow Using Modular Neural Network
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
title Forecasting Beijing Transportation Hub Areas’s Pedestrian Flow Using Modular Neural Network
title_full Forecasting Beijing Transportation Hub Areas’s Pedestrian Flow Using Modular Neural Network
title_fullStr Forecasting Beijing Transportation Hub Areas’s Pedestrian Flow Using Modular Neural Network
title_full_unstemmed Forecasting Beijing Transportation Hub Areas’s Pedestrian Flow Using Modular Neural Network
title_short Forecasting Beijing Transportation Hub Areas’s Pedestrian Flow Using Modular Neural Network
title_sort forecasting beijing transportation hub areas s pedestrian flow using modular neural network
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/749181
work_keys_str_mv AT shuweiwang forecastingbeijingtransportationhubareasspedestrianflowusingmodularneuralnetwork
AT rongguizhou forecastingbeijingtransportationhubareasspedestrianflowusingmodularneuralnetwork
AT linzhao forecastingbeijingtransportationhubareasspedestrianflowusingmodularneuralnetwork