Stochastic Control for Sustainable Hydrogen Generation in Standalone PV–Battery–PEM Electrolyzer Systems

Standalone photovoltaic (PV) systems offer a viable path to decentralized energy access but face limitations during periods of low solar irradiance. While batteries provide short-term storage, their capacity constraints often restrict the use of surplus energy, highlighting the need for long-duratio...

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Main Authors: Mohamed Aatabe, Wissam Jenkal, Mohamed I. Mosaad, Shimaa A. Hussien
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-07-01
Series:Energies
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/15/3899
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author Mohamed Aatabe
Wissam Jenkal
Mohamed I. Mosaad
Shimaa A. Hussien
author_facet Mohamed Aatabe
Wissam Jenkal
Mohamed I. Mosaad
Shimaa A. Hussien
author_sort Mohamed Aatabe
collection DOAJ
description Standalone photovoltaic (PV) systems offer a viable path to decentralized energy access but face limitations during periods of low solar irradiance. While batteries provide short-term storage, their capacity constraints often restrict the use of surplus energy, highlighting the need for long-duration solutions. Green hydrogen, generated via proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolyzers, offers a scalable alternative. This study proposes a stochastic energy management framework that leverages a Markov decision process (MDP) to coordinate PV generation, battery storage, and hydrogen production under variable irradiance and uncertain load demand. The strategy dynamically allocates power flows, ensuring system stability and efficient energy utilization. Real-time weather data from Goiás, Brazil, is used to simulate system behavior under realistic conditions. Compared to the conventional perturb and observe (P&O) technique, the proposed method significantly improves system performance, achieving a <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mn>99.9</mn><mo>%</mo></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula> average efficiency (vs. 98.64%) and a drastically lower average tracking error of 0.3125 (vs. 9.8836). This enhanced tracking accuracy ensures faster convergence to the maximum power point, even during abrupt load changes, thereby increasing the effective use of solar energy. As a direct consequence, green hydrogen production is maximized while energy curtailment is minimized. The results confirm the robustness of the MDP-based control, demonstrating improved responsiveness, reduced downtime, and enhanced hydrogen yield, thus supporting sustainable energy conversion in off-grid environments.
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spelling doaj-art-609db1c4e0bd49a0ac77206cfa55b7ed2025-08-20T04:00:50ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732025-07-011815389910.3390/en18153899Stochastic Control for Sustainable Hydrogen Generation in Standalone PV–Battery–PEM Electrolyzer SystemsMohamed Aatabe0Wissam Jenkal1Mohamed I. Mosaad2Shimaa A. Hussien3LISTI, National School of Applied Sciences, Ibn Zohr University, Agadir B.P. 1136, MoroccoLISTI, National School of Applied Sciences, Ibn Zohr University, Agadir B.P. 1136, MoroccoRoyal, Commission Yanbu Colleges Institutes, Yanbu Industrial College, Yanbu 46452, Saudi ArabiaElectrical Department, College of Engineering, Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, Riyadh 11671, Saudi ArabiaStandalone photovoltaic (PV) systems offer a viable path to decentralized energy access but face limitations during periods of low solar irradiance. While batteries provide short-term storage, their capacity constraints often restrict the use of surplus energy, highlighting the need for long-duration solutions. Green hydrogen, generated via proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolyzers, offers a scalable alternative. This study proposes a stochastic energy management framework that leverages a Markov decision process (MDP) to coordinate PV generation, battery storage, and hydrogen production under variable irradiance and uncertain load demand. The strategy dynamically allocates power flows, ensuring system stability and efficient energy utilization. Real-time weather data from Goiás, Brazil, is used to simulate system behavior under realistic conditions. Compared to the conventional perturb and observe (P&O) technique, the proposed method significantly improves system performance, achieving a <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mn>99.9</mn><mo>%</mo></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula> average efficiency (vs. 98.64%) and a drastically lower average tracking error of 0.3125 (vs. 9.8836). This enhanced tracking accuracy ensures faster convergence to the maximum power point, even during abrupt load changes, thereby increasing the effective use of solar energy. As a direct consequence, green hydrogen production is maximized while energy curtailment is minimized. The results confirm the robustness of the MDP-based control, demonstrating improved responsiveness, reduced downtime, and enhanced hydrogen yield, thus supporting sustainable energy conversion in off-grid environments.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/15/3899standalone PV microgridPEM hydrogen productionstochastic energy managementMarkov decision process
spellingShingle Mohamed Aatabe
Wissam Jenkal
Mohamed I. Mosaad
Shimaa A. Hussien
Stochastic Control for Sustainable Hydrogen Generation in Standalone PV–Battery–PEM Electrolyzer Systems
Energies
standalone PV microgrid
PEM hydrogen production
stochastic energy management
Markov decision process
title Stochastic Control for Sustainable Hydrogen Generation in Standalone PV–Battery–PEM Electrolyzer Systems
title_full Stochastic Control for Sustainable Hydrogen Generation in Standalone PV–Battery–PEM Electrolyzer Systems
title_fullStr Stochastic Control for Sustainable Hydrogen Generation in Standalone PV–Battery–PEM Electrolyzer Systems
title_full_unstemmed Stochastic Control for Sustainable Hydrogen Generation in Standalone PV–Battery–PEM Electrolyzer Systems
title_short Stochastic Control for Sustainable Hydrogen Generation in Standalone PV–Battery–PEM Electrolyzer Systems
title_sort stochastic control for sustainable hydrogen generation in standalone pv battery pem electrolyzer systems
topic standalone PV microgrid
PEM hydrogen production
stochastic energy management
Markov decision process
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/15/3899
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AT wissamjenkal stochasticcontrolforsustainablehydrogengenerationinstandalonepvbatterypemelectrolyzersystems
AT mohamedimosaad stochasticcontrolforsustainablehydrogengenerationinstandalonepvbatterypemelectrolyzersystems
AT shimaaahussien stochasticcontrolforsustainablehydrogengenerationinstandalonepvbatterypemelectrolyzersystems