Construction of a miR-15a-based risk prediction model for vascular calcification detection in patients undergoing hemodialysis

Vascular calcification (VC) is highly prevalent in patients undergoing hemodialysis, and is a significant contributor to the mortality rate. Therefore, biomarkers that can accurately predict the onset of VC are urgently required. Our study aimed to investigate serum miR-15a levels in relation to VC...

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Main Authors: Chen Fu, Yingjie Liu, Huayu Yang, Qiaojing Liang, Wenhu Liu, Weikang Guo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2024-12-01
Series:Renal Failure
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Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/0886022X.2024.2313175
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author Chen Fu
Yingjie Liu
Huayu Yang
Qiaojing Liang
Wenhu Liu
Weikang Guo
author_facet Chen Fu
Yingjie Liu
Huayu Yang
Qiaojing Liang
Wenhu Liu
Weikang Guo
author_sort Chen Fu
collection DOAJ
description Vascular calcification (VC) is highly prevalent in patients undergoing hemodialysis, and is a significant contributor to the mortality rate. Therefore, biomarkers that can accurately predict the onset of VC are urgently required. Our study aimed to investigate serum miR-15a levels in relation to VC and to develop a predictive model for VC in patients undergoing hemodialysis at the Beijing Friendship Hospital hemodialysis center between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2020. The patients were categorized into two groups: VC and non-VC. Logistic regression (LR) models were used to examine the risk factors associated with VC. Additionally, we developed an miR-15a-based nomogram based on the results of the multivariate LR analysis. A total of 138 patients under hemodialysis were investigated (age: 58.41 ± 13.22 years; 54 males). VC occurred in 79 (57.2%) patients. Multivariate LR analysis indicated that serum miR-15a, age, and WBC count were independent risk factors for VC. A miR-15a-based nomogram was developed by incorporating the following five predictors: age, dialysis vintage, predialysis nitrogen, WBC count, and miR-15a. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve had an area under the curve of 0.921, diagnostic threshold of 0.396, sensitivity of 0.722, and specificity of 0.932, indicating that this model had good discrimination. This study concluded that serum miR-15a levels, age, and white blood cell (WBC) count are independent risk factors for VC. A nomogram constructed by integrating these risk factors can be used to predict the risk of VC in patients undergoing hemodialysis.
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spelling doaj-art-603432334ee548509eaa4f0455c64b022025-01-23T04:17:48ZengTaylor & Francis GroupRenal Failure0886-022X1525-60492024-12-0146110.1080/0886022X.2024.2313175Construction of a miR-15a-based risk prediction model for vascular calcification detection in patients undergoing hemodialysisChen Fu0Yingjie Liu1Huayu Yang2Qiaojing Liang3Wenhu Liu4Weikang Guo5Department of Nephrology, Faculty of Kidney Diseases, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, PR ChinaDepartment of Nephrology, Faculty of Kidney Diseases, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, PR ChinaDivision of Geriatrics, Medical and Health Care Center, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, PR ChinaDivision of Geriatrics, Medical and Health Care Center, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, PR ChinaDepartment of Nephrology, Faculty of Kidney Diseases, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, PR ChinaDepartment of Nephrology, Faculty of Kidney Diseases, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, PR ChinaVascular calcification (VC) is highly prevalent in patients undergoing hemodialysis, and is a significant contributor to the mortality rate. Therefore, biomarkers that can accurately predict the onset of VC are urgently required. Our study aimed to investigate serum miR-15a levels in relation to VC and to develop a predictive model for VC in patients undergoing hemodialysis at the Beijing Friendship Hospital hemodialysis center between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2020. The patients were categorized into two groups: VC and non-VC. Logistic regression (LR) models were used to examine the risk factors associated with VC. Additionally, we developed an miR-15a-based nomogram based on the results of the multivariate LR analysis. A total of 138 patients under hemodialysis were investigated (age: 58.41 ± 13.22 years; 54 males). VC occurred in 79 (57.2%) patients. Multivariate LR analysis indicated that serum miR-15a, age, and WBC count were independent risk factors for VC. A miR-15a-based nomogram was developed by incorporating the following five predictors: age, dialysis vintage, predialysis nitrogen, WBC count, and miR-15a. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve had an area under the curve of 0.921, diagnostic threshold of 0.396, sensitivity of 0.722, and specificity of 0.932, indicating that this model had good discrimination. This study concluded that serum miR-15a levels, age, and white blood cell (WBC) count are independent risk factors for VC. A nomogram constructed by integrating these risk factors can be used to predict the risk of VC in patients undergoing hemodialysis.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/0886022X.2024.2313175HemodialysismiR-15avascular calcificationabdominal aortic calcification score (AACS)nomogram model
spellingShingle Chen Fu
Yingjie Liu
Huayu Yang
Qiaojing Liang
Wenhu Liu
Weikang Guo
Construction of a miR-15a-based risk prediction model for vascular calcification detection in patients undergoing hemodialysis
Renal Failure
Hemodialysis
miR-15a
vascular calcification
abdominal aortic calcification score (AACS)
nomogram model
title Construction of a miR-15a-based risk prediction model for vascular calcification detection in patients undergoing hemodialysis
title_full Construction of a miR-15a-based risk prediction model for vascular calcification detection in patients undergoing hemodialysis
title_fullStr Construction of a miR-15a-based risk prediction model for vascular calcification detection in patients undergoing hemodialysis
title_full_unstemmed Construction of a miR-15a-based risk prediction model for vascular calcification detection in patients undergoing hemodialysis
title_short Construction of a miR-15a-based risk prediction model for vascular calcification detection in patients undergoing hemodialysis
title_sort construction of a mir 15a based risk prediction model for vascular calcification detection in patients undergoing hemodialysis
topic Hemodialysis
miR-15a
vascular calcification
abdominal aortic calcification score (AACS)
nomogram model
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/0886022X.2024.2313175
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