Survival Analysis of Fatigue and Rutting Failures in Asphalt Pavements

Fatigue and rutting are two primary failure mechanisms in asphalt pavements. The evaluations of fatigue and rutting performances are significantly uncertain due to large uncertainties involved with the traffic and pavement life parameters. Therefore, deterministically it is inadequate to predict whe...

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Main Authors: Pabitra Rajbongshi, Sonika Thongram
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2016-01-01
Series:Journal of Engineering
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/8359103
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author Pabitra Rajbongshi
Sonika Thongram
author_facet Pabitra Rajbongshi
Sonika Thongram
author_sort Pabitra Rajbongshi
collection DOAJ
description Fatigue and rutting are two primary failure mechanisms in asphalt pavements. The evaluations of fatigue and rutting performances are significantly uncertain due to large uncertainties involved with the traffic and pavement life parameters. Therefore, deterministically it is inadequate to predict when an in-service pavement would fail. Thus, the deterministic failure time which is known as design life (yr) of pavement becomes random in nature. Reliability analysis of such time (t) dependent random variable is the survival analysis of the structure. This paper presents the survival analysis of fatigue and rutting failures in asphalt pavement structures. It is observed that the survival of pavements with time can be obtained using the bathtub concept that contains a constant failure rate period and an increasing failure rate period. The survival function (S(t)), probability density function (pdf), and probability distribution function (PDF) of failure time parameter are derived using bathtub analysis. It is seen that the distribution of failure time follows three parametric Weibull distributions. This paper also works out to find the most reliable life (YrR) of pavement sections corresponding to any reliability level of survivability.
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spelling doaj-art-5efa655b1ce148aaa7800e453e147b822025-02-03T05:53:49ZengWileyJournal of Engineering2314-49042314-49122016-01-01201610.1155/2016/83591038359103Survival Analysis of Fatigue and Rutting Failures in Asphalt PavementsPabitra Rajbongshi0Sonika Thongram1Civil Engineering Department, National Institute of Technology, Silchar, Silchar, Assam 788010, IndiaCivil Engineering Department, National Institute of Technology, Silchar, Silchar, Assam 788010, IndiaFatigue and rutting are two primary failure mechanisms in asphalt pavements. The evaluations of fatigue and rutting performances are significantly uncertain due to large uncertainties involved with the traffic and pavement life parameters. Therefore, deterministically it is inadequate to predict when an in-service pavement would fail. Thus, the deterministic failure time which is known as design life (yr) of pavement becomes random in nature. Reliability analysis of such time (t) dependent random variable is the survival analysis of the structure. This paper presents the survival analysis of fatigue and rutting failures in asphalt pavement structures. It is observed that the survival of pavements with time can be obtained using the bathtub concept that contains a constant failure rate period and an increasing failure rate period. The survival function (S(t)), probability density function (pdf), and probability distribution function (PDF) of failure time parameter are derived using bathtub analysis. It is seen that the distribution of failure time follows three parametric Weibull distributions. This paper also works out to find the most reliable life (YrR) of pavement sections corresponding to any reliability level of survivability.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/8359103
spellingShingle Pabitra Rajbongshi
Sonika Thongram
Survival Analysis of Fatigue and Rutting Failures in Asphalt Pavements
Journal of Engineering
title Survival Analysis of Fatigue and Rutting Failures in Asphalt Pavements
title_full Survival Analysis of Fatigue and Rutting Failures in Asphalt Pavements
title_fullStr Survival Analysis of Fatigue and Rutting Failures in Asphalt Pavements
title_full_unstemmed Survival Analysis of Fatigue and Rutting Failures in Asphalt Pavements
title_short Survival Analysis of Fatigue and Rutting Failures in Asphalt Pavements
title_sort survival analysis of fatigue and rutting failures in asphalt pavements
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/8359103
work_keys_str_mv AT pabitrarajbongshi survivalanalysisoffatigueandruttingfailuresinasphaltpavements
AT sonikathongram survivalanalysisoffatigueandruttingfailuresinasphaltpavements