Bayesian Estimation for Zero-Truncated Bivariate Poisson Regression Model

Bivariate count data occurs when two associated variable counts necessitate joint estimate primarily for efficiency purposes. This paper presents Bayesian estimate for the zero-truncated bivariate Poisson regression model. This bivariate model was established using marginal-conditional models. Bayes...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Prapaporn Rerngchaiyaphum, Monthira Duangsaphon
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Ital Publication 2025-06-01
Series:Emerging Science Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ijournalse.org/index.php/ESJ/article/view/3061
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1849433170602098688
author Prapaporn Rerngchaiyaphum
Monthira Duangsaphon
author_facet Prapaporn Rerngchaiyaphum
Monthira Duangsaphon
author_sort Prapaporn Rerngchaiyaphum
collection DOAJ
description Bivariate count data occurs when two associated variable counts necessitate joint estimate primarily for efficiency purposes. This paper presents Bayesian estimate for the zero-truncated bivariate Poisson regression model. This bivariate model was established using marginal-conditional models. Bayes estimators were executed utilizing the random walk Metropolis-Hastings algorithm with two distinct prior distributions: Laplace and normal distributions. Moreover, estimators employing the bootstrap approach were proposed. Additionally, the credible intervals and the percentile bootstrap confidence intervals were analyzed. The performance of the Bayes estimators was compared with that of the bootstrap estimators and the maximum likelihood estimators via a Monte Carlo simulation analysis, focusing on mean square error. The performance of intervals was evaluated based on coverage probability and average length. Furthermore, the explanatory variables were produced under conditions of both multicollinearity and a lack of multicollinearity. Two empirical datasets were examined to demonstrate the practical use of the suggested model and methodology. The findings from both the simulation and application indicate that the Bayesian method with a normal prior distribution surpasses alternative methods.
format Article
id doaj-art-5ee0c12fbc11499ca14f6b373869b5ef
institution Kabale University
issn 2610-9182
language English
publishDate 2025-06-01
publisher Ital Publication
record_format Article
series Emerging Science Journal
spelling doaj-art-5ee0c12fbc11499ca14f6b373869b5ef2025-08-20T03:27:10ZengItal PublicationEmerging Science Journal2610-91822025-06-01931247126510.28991/ESJ-2025-09-03-072781Bayesian Estimation for Zero-Truncated Bivariate Poisson Regression ModelPrapaporn Rerngchaiyaphum0Monthira Duangsaphon1Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Science and Technology, Thammasat University, Pathumthani 12120Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Science and Technology, Thammasat University, Pathumthani 12120Bivariate count data occurs when two associated variable counts necessitate joint estimate primarily for efficiency purposes. This paper presents Bayesian estimate for the zero-truncated bivariate Poisson regression model. This bivariate model was established using marginal-conditional models. Bayes estimators were executed utilizing the random walk Metropolis-Hastings algorithm with two distinct prior distributions: Laplace and normal distributions. Moreover, estimators employing the bootstrap approach were proposed. Additionally, the credible intervals and the percentile bootstrap confidence intervals were analyzed. The performance of the Bayes estimators was compared with that of the bootstrap estimators and the maximum likelihood estimators via a Monte Carlo simulation analysis, focusing on mean square error. The performance of intervals was evaluated based on coverage probability and average length. Furthermore, the explanatory variables were produced under conditions of both multicollinearity and a lack of multicollinearity. Two empirical datasets were examined to demonstrate the practical use of the suggested model and methodology. The findings from both the simulation and application indicate that the Bayesian method with a normal prior distribution surpasses alternative methods.https://ijournalse.org/index.php/ESJ/article/view/3061bayesian estimationbootstrap methodcount datamaximum likelihood estimationmetropolis-hastings algorithm
spellingShingle Prapaporn Rerngchaiyaphum
Monthira Duangsaphon
Bayesian Estimation for Zero-Truncated Bivariate Poisson Regression Model
Emerging Science Journal
bayesian estimation
bootstrap method
count data
maximum likelihood estimation
metropolis-hastings algorithm
title Bayesian Estimation for Zero-Truncated Bivariate Poisson Regression Model
title_full Bayesian Estimation for Zero-Truncated Bivariate Poisson Regression Model
title_fullStr Bayesian Estimation for Zero-Truncated Bivariate Poisson Regression Model
title_full_unstemmed Bayesian Estimation for Zero-Truncated Bivariate Poisson Regression Model
title_short Bayesian Estimation for Zero-Truncated Bivariate Poisson Regression Model
title_sort bayesian estimation for zero truncated bivariate poisson regression model
topic bayesian estimation
bootstrap method
count data
maximum likelihood estimation
metropolis-hastings algorithm
url https://ijournalse.org/index.php/ESJ/article/view/3061
work_keys_str_mv AT prapapornrerngchaiyaphum bayesianestimationforzerotruncatedbivariatepoissonregressionmodel
AT monthiraduangsaphon bayesianestimationforzerotruncatedbivariatepoissonregressionmodel