Climate Risk in Intermediate Goods Trade: Impacts on China’s Fisheries Production

Climate change, especially extreme weather events, has significantly heightened the vulnerability of fisheries production supply chains. This study firstly investigates the input-driven climate risks through intermediate goods trade and their indirect impacts on China’s fisheries sector and construc...

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Main Authors: Shunxiang Yang, Zefang Liao, Yingli Zhang, Yuqing Ren, Hang Qu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-05-01
Series:Fishes
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2410-3888/10/5/210
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author Shunxiang Yang
Zefang Liao
Yingli Zhang
Yuqing Ren
Hang Qu
author_facet Shunxiang Yang
Zefang Liao
Yingli Zhang
Yuqing Ren
Hang Qu
author_sort Shunxiang Yang
collection DOAJ
description Climate change, especially extreme weather events, has significantly heightened the vulnerability of fisheries production supply chains. This study firstly investigates the input-driven climate risks through intermediate goods trade and their indirect impacts on China’s fisheries sector and constructs the Climate Risk-Trade-Production Model (CRTPM). Key findings include: (1) The input-driven climate risk indicator for China’s fisheries sector has increased over the period 1995–2020, with Brazil, Canada, the United States, Japan, South Korea, and Russia as major contributors. (2) From 1995 to 2020, rising climate risk index in Brazil and Canada negatively affected China’s fisheries output, with a 1% increase in climate risk index resulting in production declines of 0.173% and 0.367%, respectively. (3) In contrast, a reduction in the climate risk index in the United States and Japan lowered intermediate goods prices, boosting China’s output by 0.934% and 0.172%, respectively, for every 1% decrease in the climate risk index. (4) Climate risk index in South Korea and Russia, while initially increasing, eventually stabilized, having minimal impact on China’s fisheries production. It is the importance of monitoring extreme weather events to mitigate the economic vulnerabilities of China’s fisheries.
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id doaj-art-5e97a33b84a749b986b0e458a5871f1d
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publishDate 2025-05-01
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series Fishes
spelling doaj-art-5e97a33b84a749b986b0e458a5871f1d2025-08-20T02:33:54ZengMDPI AGFishes2410-38882025-05-0110521010.3390/fishes10050210Climate Risk in Intermediate Goods Trade: Impacts on China’s Fisheries ProductionShunxiang Yang0Zefang Liao1Yingli Zhang2Yuqing Ren3Hang Qu4College of Economics & Management, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, ChinaCollege of Economics & Management, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, ChinaCollege of Economics & Management, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, ChinaCollege of Economics & Management, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, ChinaCollege of Economics & Management, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, ChinaClimate change, especially extreme weather events, has significantly heightened the vulnerability of fisheries production supply chains. This study firstly investigates the input-driven climate risks through intermediate goods trade and their indirect impacts on China’s fisheries sector and constructs the Climate Risk-Trade-Production Model (CRTPM). Key findings include: (1) The input-driven climate risk indicator for China’s fisheries sector has increased over the period 1995–2020, with Brazil, Canada, the United States, Japan, South Korea, and Russia as major contributors. (2) From 1995 to 2020, rising climate risk index in Brazil and Canada negatively affected China’s fisheries output, with a 1% increase in climate risk index resulting in production declines of 0.173% and 0.367%, respectively. (3) In contrast, a reduction in the climate risk index in the United States and Japan lowered intermediate goods prices, boosting China’s output by 0.934% and 0.172%, respectively, for every 1% decrease in the climate risk index. (4) Climate risk index in South Korea and Russia, while initially increasing, eventually stabilized, having minimal impact on China’s fisheries production. It is the importance of monitoring extreme weather events to mitigate the economic vulnerabilities of China’s fisheries.https://www.mdpi.com/2410-3888/10/5/210input-driven climate risk indicatorfisheries productionintermediate goods tradesupply chain vulnerability
spellingShingle Shunxiang Yang
Zefang Liao
Yingli Zhang
Yuqing Ren
Hang Qu
Climate Risk in Intermediate Goods Trade: Impacts on China’s Fisheries Production
Fishes
input-driven climate risk indicator
fisheries production
intermediate goods trade
supply chain vulnerability
title Climate Risk in Intermediate Goods Trade: Impacts on China’s Fisheries Production
title_full Climate Risk in Intermediate Goods Trade: Impacts on China’s Fisheries Production
title_fullStr Climate Risk in Intermediate Goods Trade: Impacts on China’s Fisheries Production
title_full_unstemmed Climate Risk in Intermediate Goods Trade: Impacts on China’s Fisheries Production
title_short Climate Risk in Intermediate Goods Trade: Impacts on China’s Fisheries Production
title_sort climate risk in intermediate goods trade impacts on china s fisheries production
topic input-driven climate risk indicator
fisheries production
intermediate goods trade
supply chain vulnerability
url https://www.mdpi.com/2410-3888/10/5/210
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AT zefangliao climateriskinintermediategoodstradeimpactsonchinasfisheriesproduction
AT yinglizhang climateriskinintermediategoodstradeimpactsonchinasfisheriesproduction
AT yuqingren climateriskinintermediategoodstradeimpactsonchinasfisheriesproduction
AT hangqu climateriskinintermediategoodstradeimpactsonchinasfisheriesproduction