Preoperative CT-based morphological heterogeneity for predicting survival in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases after surgical resection: a retrospective study

Abstract Objective To explore the value of preoperative CT-based morphological heterogeneity (MH) for predicting local tumor disease-free survival (LTDFS) and progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLM). Methods The latest CT data of 102 CRLM patients w...

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Main Authors: Qian Xing, Yong Cui, Ming Liu, Xiao-Lei Gu, Xiao-Ting Li, Bao-Cai Xing, Ying-Shi Sun
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2024-12-01
Series:BMC Medical Imaging
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12880-024-01524-w
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author Qian Xing
Yong Cui
Ming Liu
Xiao-Lei Gu
Xiao-Ting Li
Bao-Cai Xing
Ying-Shi Sun
author_facet Qian Xing
Yong Cui
Ming Liu
Xiao-Lei Gu
Xiao-Ting Li
Bao-Cai Xing
Ying-Shi Sun
author_sort Qian Xing
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Objective To explore the value of preoperative CT-based morphological heterogeneity (MH) for predicting local tumor disease-free survival (LTDFS) and progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLM). Methods The latest CT data of 102 CRLM patients were retrospectively analyzed. The morphological score of each liver metastasis was obtained, and the morphological heterogeneity difference (MHD) was calculated. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn, and the cutoff value was found. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to draw survival curves of patients with or without MH. The Cox regression analysis was used to build the model with MH and clinical characteristics for predicting PFS. Results In 78 patients without MH, median PFS was 9.0 months (95% CI:6.5–11.5), while in 24 patients with MH, median PFS was 6.0 months (95% CI:4.0-8.1), indicating that MH significantly affected PFS (p = 0.001). MH affected PFS in both the chemotherapy group and the chemotherapy combined with targeted therapy group (p = 0.005, p = 0.043). MH, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and chemotherapy after surgery were independent predictors for postoperative PFS in patients with CRLM. Conclusion Preoperative CT-based MH had good efficacy for predicting LTDFS and PFS of CRLM patients after surgical resection, regardless of preoperative treatment. MH is one of the independent predictors of PFS.
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spelling doaj-art-5e88d0a2f3524e968c65c7d2800f8cee2025-08-20T01:59:48ZengBMCBMC Medical Imaging1471-23422024-12-0124111210.1186/s12880-024-01524-wPreoperative CT-based morphological heterogeneity for predicting survival in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases after surgical resection: a retrospective studyQian Xing0Yong Cui1Ming Liu2Xiao-Lei Gu3Xiao-Ting Li4Bao-Cai Xing5Ying-Shi Sun6Key Laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Translational Research (Ministry of Education/Beijing), Department of Radiology, Peking University Cancer Hospital & InstituteKey Laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Translational Research (Ministry of Education/Beijing), Department of Radiology, Peking University Cancer Hospital & InstituteKey Laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Translational Research (Ministry of Education/Beijing), Hepatopancreatobiliary Surgery Department I, Peking University Cancer Hospital & InstituteKey Laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Translational Research (Ministry of Education/Beijing), Department of Radiology, Peking University Cancer Hospital & InstituteKey Laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Translational Research (Ministry of Education/Beijing), Department of Radiology, Peking University Cancer Hospital & InstituteKey Laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Translational Research (Ministry of Education/Beijing), Hepatopancreatobiliary Surgery Department I, Peking University Cancer Hospital & InstituteKey Laboratory of Carcinogenesis and Translational Research (Ministry of Education/Beijing), Department of Radiology, Peking University Cancer Hospital & InstituteAbstract Objective To explore the value of preoperative CT-based morphological heterogeneity (MH) for predicting local tumor disease-free survival (LTDFS) and progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLM). Methods The latest CT data of 102 CRLM patients were retrospectively analyzed. The morphological score of each liver metastasis was obtained, and the morphological heterogeneity difference (MHD) was calculated. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn, and the cutoff value was found. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to draw survival curves of patients with or without MH. The Cox regression analysis was used to build the model with MH and clinical characteristics for predicting PFS. Results In 78 patients without MH, median PFS was 9.0 months (95% CI:6.5–11.5), while in 24 patients with MH, median PFS was 6.0 months (95% CI:4.0-8.1), indicating that MH significantly affected PFS (p = 0.001). MH affected PFS in both the chemotherapy group and the chemotherapy combined with targeted therapy group (p = 0.005, p = 0.043). MH, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and chemotherapy after surgery were independent predictors for postoperative PFS in patients with CRLM. Conclusion Preoperative CT-based MH had good efficacy for predicting LTDFS and PFS of CRLM patients after surgical resection, regardless of preoperative treatment. MH is one of the independent predictors of PFS.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12880-024-01524-wColorectal cancerLiver metastasesHeterogeneityPrognosisCT
spellingShingle Qian Xing
Yong Cui
Ming Liu
Xiao-Lei Gu
Xiao-Ting Li
Bao-Cai Xing
Ying-Shi Sun
Preoperative CT-based morphological heterogeneity for predicting survival in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases after surgical resection: a retrospective study
BMC Medical Imaging
Colorectal cancer
Liver metastases
Heterogeneity
Prognosis
CT
title Preoperative CT-based morphological heterogeneity for predicting survival in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases after surgical resection: a retrospective study
title_full Preoperative CT-based morphological heterogeneity for predicting survival in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases after surgical resection: a retrospective study
title_fullStr Preoperative CT-based morphological heterogeneity for predicting survival in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases after surgical resection: a retrospective study
title_full_unstemmed Preoperative CT-based morphological heterogeneity for predicting survival in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases after surgical resection: a retrospective study
title_short Preoperative CT-based morphological heterogeneity for predicting survival in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases after surgical resection: a retrospective study
title_sort preoperative ct based morphological heterogeneity for predicting survival in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases after surgical resection a retrospective study
topic Colorectal cancer
Liver metastases
Heterogeneity
Prognosis
CT
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12880-024-01524-w
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