Identification of Self-Organized Critical State on Twitter Based on the Retweets’ Time Series Analysis

There is a number of studies, in which it is established that the observed flows of microposts generated by microblogging social networks (e.g., Twitter) are characterized by avalanche-like behavior. Time series of microposts depicting such streams are the time series with a power-law distribution,...

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Main Authors: Andrey Dmitriev, Victor Dmitriev
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6612785
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author Andrey Dmitriev
Victor Dmitriev
author_facet Andrey Dmitriev
Victor Dmitriev
author_sort Andrey Dmitriev
collection DOAJ
description There is a number of studies, in which it is established that the observed flows of microposts generated by microblogging social networks (e.g., Twitter) are characterized by avalanche-like behavior. Time series of microposts depicting such streams are the time series with a power-law distribution, with 1/f noise and long memory. Despite this, there are no studies devoted to the detection and analysis of self-organized critical state, subcritical phase, and supercritical phase. The presented paper is devoted to the detection and investigation of such critical states and phases. An algorithm is proposed that allowed to detect of critical phases and critical conditions on Twitter, based on the analysis of retweets time series corresponding to the three debates of the 2016 United States Presidential Election, as the most popular debate in the history of America, collecting 84 million live views.
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spelling doaj-art-5d9b264d3fa44782b3c116eba4740acb2025-08-20T02:06:01ZengWileyComplexity1076-27871099-05262021-01-01202110.1155/2021/66127856612785Identification of Self-Organized Critical State on Twitter Based on the Retweets’ Time Series AnalysisAndrey Dmitriev0Victor Dmitriev1Department of Business Informatics, National Research University Higher School of Economics, Moscow, RussiaDepartment of Business Informatics, National Research University Higher School of Economics, Moscow, RussiaThere is a number of studies, in which it is established that the observed flows of microposts generated by microblogging social networks (e.g., Twitter) are characterized by avalanche-like behavior. Time series of microposts depicting such streams are the time series with a power-law distribution, with 1/f noise and long memory. Despite this, there are no studies devoted to the detection and analysis of self-organized critical state, subcritical phase, and supercritical phase. The presented paper is devoted to the detection and investigation of such critical states and phases. An algorithm is proposed that allowed to detect of critical phases and critical conditions on Twitter, based on the analysis of retweets time series corresponding to the three debates of the 2016 United States Presidential Election, as the most popular debate in the history of America, collecting 84 million live views.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6612785
spellingShingle Andrey Dmitriev
Victor Dmitriev
Identification of Self-Organized Critical State on Twitter Based on the Retweets’ Time Series Analysis
Complexity
title Identification of Self-Organized Critical State on Twitter Based on the Retweets’ Time Series Analysis
title_full Identification of Self-Organized Critical State on Twitter Based on the Retweets’ Time Series Analysis
title_fullStr Identification of Self-Organized Critical State on Twitter Based on the Retweets’ Time Series Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Identification of Self-Organized Critical State on Twitter Based on the Retweets’ Time Series Analysis
title_short Identification of Self-Organized Critical State on Twitter Based on the Retweets’ Time Series Analysis
title_sort identification of self organized critical state on twitter based on the retweets time series analysis
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6612785
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