Testing the Perturbation Sensitivity of Abortion-Crime Regressions

The hypothesis that the legalisation of abortion contributed significantly to the reduction of crime in the United States in 1990s is one of the most prominent ideas from the recent “economics-made-fun” movement sparked by the book Freakonomics. This paper expands on the existing literature about th...

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Main Authors: Michał Brzeziński, Maria Halber
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: VIZJA University 2012-06-01
Series:Contemporary Economics
Online Access:http://ce.vizja.pl/en/download-pdf/id/241
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author Michał Brzeziński
Maria Halber
author_facet Michał Brzeziński
Maria Halber
author_sort Michał Brzeziński
collection DOAJ
description The hypothesis that the legalisation of abortion contributed significantly to the reduction of crime in the United States in 1990s is one of the most prominent ideas from the recent “economics-made-fun” movement sparked by the book Freakonomics. This paper expands on the existing literature about the computational stability of abortion-crime regressions by testing the sensitivity of coefficients’ estimates to small amounts of data perturbation. In contrast to previous studies, we use a new data set on crime correlates for each of the US states, the original model specifica-tion and estimation methodology, and an improved data perturbation algorithm. We find that the coefficients’ estimates in abortion-crime regressions are not computationally stable and, therefore, are unreliable.
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spelling doaj-art-5d77e4a5f3734ca5b146daf2dffd76db2025-08-20T01:57:16ZengVIZJA UniversityContemporary Economics2084-08452012-06-016219010.5709/ce.1897-9254.41Testing the Perturbation Sensitivity of Abortion-Crime RegressionsMichał BrzezińskiMaria HalberThe hypothesis that the legalisation of abortion contributed significantly to the reduction of crime in the United States in 1990s is one of the most prominent ideas from the recent “economics-made-fun” movement sparked by the book Freakonomics. This paper expands on the existing literature about the computational stability of abortion-crime regressions by testing the sensitivity of coefficients’ estimates to small amounts of data perturbation. In contrast to previous studies, we use a new data set on crime correlates for each of the US states, the original model specifica-tion and estimation methodology, and an improved data perturbation algorithm. We find that the coefficients’ estimates in abortion-crime regressions are not computationally stable and, therefore, are unreliable.http://ce.vizja.pl/en/download-pdf/id/241
spellingShingle Michał Brzeziński
Maria Halber
Testing the Perturbation Sensitivity of Abortion-Crime Regressions
Contemporary Economics
title Testing the Perturbation Sensitivity of Abortion-Crime Regressions
title_full Testing the Perturbation Sensitivity of Abortion-Crime Regressions
title_fullStr Testing the Perturbation Sensitivity of Abortion-Crime Regressions
title_full_unstemmed Testing the Perturbation Sensitivity of Abortion-Crime Regressions
title_short Testing the Perturbation Sensitivity of Abortion-Crime Regressions
title_sort testing the perturbation sensitivity of abortion crime regressions
url http://ce.vizja.pl/en/download-pdf/id/241
work_keys_str_mv AT michałbrzezinski testingtheperturbationsensitivityofabortioncrimeregressions
AT mariahalber testingtheperturbationsensitivityofabortioncrimeregressions