Are Crypto Assets Connected to Real World Shocks? The Nexus Between Terrorist Attacks, Bitcoin and NFTs

This study investigates the impact of terrorist attacks on the price fluctuations of Bitcoin prices and NFT sales. Although the value proposition of cryptocurrencies, Decentralized Finance, and the whole blockchain revolution is a quicker, cheaper, and more transparent kind of finance, various terro...

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Main Authors: Firuze Simay Sezgin, Caner Özdurak
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Istanbul University Press 2023-01-01
Series:İktisat Politikası Araştırmaları Dergisi
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Online Access:https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/4C30F604F3E1488D9F7DEA33934309AA
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author Firuze Simay Sezgin
Caner Özdurak
author_facet Firuze Simay Sezgin
Caner Özdurak
author_sort Firuze Simay Sezgin
collection DOAJ
description This study investigates the impact of terrorist attacks on the price fluctuations of Bitcoin prices and NFT sales. Although the value proposition of cryptocurrencies, Decentralized Finance, and the whole blockchain revolution is a quicker, cheaper, and more transparent kind of finance, various terrorist organizations tend to use cryptocurrency anonymously to finance their terrorist activities around the world by bypassing the banking system of the regulated countries. The analyses reveal that returns of Bitcoin and NFT markets are positively associated with the organization and funding phases of the terrorist attacks but negatively associated with the post-terrorist attack circumstances, meaning that it generates positive abnormal returns (AR) prior to the attack but creates negative AR right after the attack. Furthermore, while the Bitcoin news impact curve (NIC) is nearly symmetric, the NFT NIC is asymmetric, with positive shocks having significantly more impact on future volatility than negative shocks of the same magnitude. Since previous studies claim that terrorist attack news is good news for Bitcoin returns, we will enrich our AR analysis results with NICs results.
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publisher Istanbul University Press
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series İktisat Politikası Araştırmaları Dergisi
spelling doaj-art-5cbd34ce56564e89833f1fd35b3e0ea72025-08-20T02:57:35ZengIstanbul University Pressİktisat Politikası Araştırmaları Dergisi2148-38762023-01-0110111313210.26650/JEPR1127482123456Are Crypto Assets Connected to Real World Shocks? The Nexus Between Terrorist Attacks, Bitcoin and NFTsFiruze Simay Sezgin0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0793-7480Caner Özdurak1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4319-8315Koç Üniversitesi, Istanbul, TurkiyeYeditepe Üniversitesi, Istanbul, TurkiyeThis study investigates the impact of terrorist attacks on the price fluctuations of Bitcoin prices and NFT sales. Although the value proposition of cryptocurrencies, Decentralized Finance, and the whole blockchain revolution is a quicker, cheaper, and more transparent kind of finance, various terrorist organizations tend to use cryptocurrency anonymously to finance their terrorist activities around the world by bypassing the banking system of the regulated countries. The analyses reveal that returns of Bitcoin and NFT markets are positively associated with the organization and funding phases of the terrorist attacks but negatively associated with the post-terrorist attack circumstances, meaning that it generates positive abnormal returns (AR) prior to the attack but creates negative AR right after the attack. Furthermore, while the Bitcoin news impact curve (NIC) is nearly symmetric, the NFT NIC is asymmetric, with positive shocks having significantly more impact on future volatility than negative shocks of the same magnitude. Since previous studies claim that terrorist attack news is good news for Bitcoin returns, we will enrich our AR analysis results with NICs results.https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/4C30F604F3E1488D9F7DEA33934309AAcryptocurrenciesterror attacksreturnsvolatilityevent studynews impact curves
spellingShingle Firuze Simay Sezgin
Caner Özdurak
Are Crypto Assets Connected to Real World Shocks? The Nexus Between Terrorist Attacks, Bitcoin and NFTs
İktisat Politikası Araştırmaları Dergisi
cryptocurrencies
terror attacks
returns
volatility
event study
news impact curves
title Are Crypto Assets Connected to Real World Shocks? The Nexus Between Terrorist Attacks, Bitcoin and NFTs
title_full Are Crypto Assets Connected to Real World Shocks? The Nexus Between Terrorist Attacks, Bitcoin and NFTs
title_fullStr Are Crypto Assets Connected to Real World Shocks? The Nexus Between Terrorist Attacks, Bitcoin and NFTs
title_full_unstemmed Are Crypto Assets Connected to Real World Shocks? The Nexus Between Terrorist Attacks, Bitcoin and NFTs
title_short Are Crypto Assets Connected to Real World Shocks? The Nexus Between Terrorist Attacks, Bitcoin and NFTs
title_sort are crypto assets connected to real world shocks the nexus between terrorist attacks bitcoin and nfts
topic cryptocurrencies
terror attacks
returns
volatility
event study
news impact curves
url https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/4C30F604F3E1488D9F7DEA33934309AA
work_keys_str_mv AT firuzesimaysezgin arecryptoassetsconnectedtorealworldshocksthenexusbetweenterroristattacksbitcoinandnfts
AT canerozdurak arecryptoassetsconnectedtorealworldshocksthenexusbetweenterroristattacksbitcoinandnfts