Water quality prediction and carbon reduction mechanisms in wastewater treatment in Northwest cities using Random Forest Regression model

Abstract With the accelerated urbanization and economic development in Northwest China, the efficiency of urban wastewater treatment and the importance of water quality management have become increasingly significant. This work aims to explore urban wastewater treatment and carbon reduction mechanis...

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Main Authors: Jingjing Sun, Xin Guan, Xiaojun Sun, Xiaojing Cao, Yepei Tan, Jiarong Liao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-12-01
Series:Scientific Reports
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-83277-8
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author Jingjing Sun
Xin Guan
Xiaojun Sun
Xiaojing Cao
Yepei Tan
Jiarong Liao
author_facet Jingjing Sun
Xin Guan
Xiaojun Sun
Xiaojing Cao
Yepei Tan
Jiarong Liao
author_sort Jingjing Sun
collection DOAJ
description Abstract With the accelerated urbanization and economic development in Northwest China, the efficiency of urban wastewater treatment and the importance of water quality management have become increasingly significant. This work aims to explore urban wastewater treatment and carbon reduction mechanisms in Northwest China to alleviate water resource pressure. By utilizing online monitoring data from pilot systems, it conducts an in-depth analysis of the impacts of different wastewater treatment processes on water quality parameters. This work pays particular attention to their impact on key indicators such as Chemical Oxygen Demand (COD), NH4 +-N, Total Phosphorus (TP), and Total Nitrogen (TN), and the application of predictive models. The work first establishes a Random Forest Regression (RFR) model. The RFR algorithm integrates Bagging ensemble learning and random subspace theory to construct multiple decision trees and aggregate their predictions, thereby enhancing the model’s prediction accuracy and stability. Using bootstrap sampling, the RFR model generates multiple training subsets from the original data and randomly selects subsets of variables to construct regression trees. Its performance in predicting various water quality indicators is then evaluated. The results show that the RFR model exhibits excellent performance, achieving high levels of prediction accuracy and stability for all indicators. For example, the R2 for COD prediction is 0.99954, while the R2 values for NH4 +-N, TP, and TN predictions reach 0.99989. Compared to five other models, the RFR model demonstrates the best performance across all water quality indicator predictions. This work provides critical support for optimizing wastewater treatment technologies and developing water resource management policies. These findings also offer essential theoretical and empirical insights for the future improvement of urban wastewater treatment technologies and water resource management decision-making.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2045-2322
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spelling doaj-art-5bbad1bf9f24467fa7886fe315cdcabd2025-02-09T12:38:21ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222024-12-0114111410.1038/s41598-024-83277-8Water quality prediction and carbon reduction mechanisms in wastewater treatment in Northwest cities using Random Forest Regression modelJingjing Sun0Xin Guan1Xiaojun Sun2Xiaojing Cao3Yepei Tan4Jiarong Liao5School of Public Administration, Guangzhou UniversityGuangzhou Xinhua UniversitySchool of Foreign Languages, Hubei University of EconomicsMaster of Business Administration, London Metropolitan UniversityCyberspace Institute of Advanced Technology, Guangzhou UniversitySchool of Public Administration, Guangzhou UniversityAbstract With the accelerated urbanization and economic development in Northwest China, the efficiency of urban wastewater treatment and the importance of water quality management have become increasingly significant. This work aims to explore urban wastewater treatment and carbon reduction mechanisms in Northwest China to alleviate water resource pressure. By utilizing online monitoring data from pilot systems, it conducts an in-depth analysis of the impacts of different wastewater treatment processes on water quality parameters. This work pays particular attention to their impact on key indicators such as Chemical Oxygen Demand (COD), NH4 +-N, Total Phosphorus (TP), and Total Nitrogen (TN), and the application of predictive models. The work first establishes a Random Forest Regression (RFR) model. The RFR algorithm integrates Bagging ensemble learning and random subspace theory to construct multiple decision trees and aggregate their predictions, thereby enhancing the model’s prediction accuracy and stability. Using bootstrap sampling, the RFR model generates multiple training subsets from the original data and randomly selects subsets of variables to construct regression trees. Its performance in predicting various water quality indicators is then evaluated. The results show that the RFR model exhibits excellent performance, achieving high levels of prediction accuracy and stability for all indicators. For example, the R2 for COD prediction is 0.99954, while the R2 values for NH4 +-N, TP, and TN predictions reach 0.99989. Compared to five other models, the RFR model demonstrates the best performance across all water quality indicator predictions. This work provides critical support for optimizing wastewater treatment technologies and developing water resource management policies. These findings also offer essential theoretical and empirical insights for the future improvement of urban wastewater treatment technologies and water resource management decision-making.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-83277-8Random Forest RegressionWastewater treatmentWater quality indicatorsPredictive modelsCarbon emission reduction mechanism
spellingShingle Jingjing Sun
Xin Guan
Xiaojun Sun
Xiaojing Cao
Yepei Tan
Jiarong Liao
Water quality prediction and carbon reduction mechanisms in wastewater treatment in Northwest cities using Random Forest Regression model
Scientific Reports
Random Forest Regression
Wastewater treatment
Water quality indicators
Predictive models
Carbon emission reduction mechanism
title Water quality prediction and carbon reduction mechanisms in wastewater treatment in Northwest cities using Random Forest Regression model
title_full Water quality prediction and carbon reduction mechanisms in wastewater treatment in Northwest cities using Random Forest Regression model
title_fullStr Water quality prediction and carbon reduction mechanisms in wastewater treatment in Northwest cities using Random Forest Regression model
title_full_unstemmed Water quality prediction and carbon reduction mechanisms in wastewater treatment in Northwest cities using Random Forest Regression model
title_short Water quality prediction and carbon reduction mechanisms in wastewater treatment in Northwest cities using Random Forest Regression model
title_sort water quality prediction and carbon reduction mechanisms in wastewater treatment in northwest cities using random forest regression model
topic Random Forest Regression
Wastewater treatment
Water quality indicators
Predictive models
Carbon emission reduction mechanism
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-83277-8
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