EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION BY ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS: TURKISH CASE

Artificial Neural Networks as one of the Artificial Intelligence applications, which is the leading candidate for the greatest innovation of the century, has been started to be used in solving the complex problems of the economy for a while. Among them, predicting the exchange rate is one of the ut...

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Main Authors: Ayça Sarıalioğlu Hayali, Hasan Babacan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Mehmet Akif Ersoy University 2021-07-01
Series:Mehmet Akif Ersoy Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi
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Online Access:https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/1310885
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author Ayça Sarıalioğlu Hayali
Hasan Babacan
author_facet Ayça Sarıalioğlu Hayali
Hasan Babacan
author_sort Ayça Sarıalioğlu Hayali
collection DOAJ
description Artificial Neural Networks as one of the Artificial Intelligence applications, which is the leading candidate for the greatest innovation of the century, has been started to be used in solving the complex problems of the economy for a while. Among them, predicting the exchange rate is one of the utmost important complex issues to be determined especially for the small open economies, such as Turkey, where the changes in exchange rate influence all the other variables in the economy, from macro variables to micro ones. This paper aims to analyse the exchange rate determination between Turkish Lira and American Dollar by using Artificial Neural Networks through the Monetarist Model. As a result, much closed results to the real values were obtained. It can be said that although in exchange rate estimation both Artificial Neural Networks -Levenberg Marquardt and Artificial Neural Networks-Quasi-Newton models give good results, the Artificial Neural Networks -Levenberg Marquardt model is more successful in general terms.
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publishDate 2021-07-01
publisher Mehmet Akif Ersoy University
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series Mehmet Akif Ersoy Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi
spelling doaj-art-5bb108374dbd43c699ebed6f6cb298d22025-01-27T14:06:32ZengMehmet Akif Ersoy UniversityMehmet Akif Ersoy Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi2149-16582021-07-018274976010.30798/makuiibf.800405273EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION BY ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS: TURKISH CASEAyça Sarıalioğlu Hayali0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6613-7531Hasan Babacan1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9570-1966Karadeniz Technical UniversityAMASYA UNIVERSITYArtificial Neural Networks as one of the Artificial Intelligence applications, which is the leading candidate for the greatest innovation of the century, has been started to be used in solving the complex problems of the economy for a while. Among them, predicting the exchange rate is one of the utmost important complex issues to be determined especially for the small open economies, such as Turkey, where the changes in exchange rate influence all the other variables in the economy, from macro variables to micro ones. This paper aims to analyse the exchange rate determination between Turkish Lira and American Dollar by using Artificial Neural Networks through the Monetarist Model. As a result, much closed results to the real values were obtained. It can be said that although in exchange rate estimation both Artificial Neural Networks -Levenberg Marquardt and Artificial Neural Networks-Quasi-Newton models give good results, the Artificial Neural Networks -Levenberg Marquardt model is more successful in general terms.https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/1310885yapay sinir ağlarıdöviz kuru belirlemetürkiye örneğiartificial neural networksexchange rate determinationturkish case
spellingShingle Ayça Sarıalioğlu Hayali
Hasan Babacan
EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION BY ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS: TURKISH CASE
Mehmet Akif Ersoy Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi
yapay sinir ağları
döviz kuru belirleme
türkiye örneği
artificial neural networks
exchange rate determination
turkish case
title EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION BY ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS: TURKISH CASE
title_full EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION BY ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS: TURKISH CASE
title_fullStr EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION BY ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS: TURKISH CASE
title_full_unstemmed EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION BY ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS: TURKISH CASE
title_short EXCHANGE RATE DETERMINATION BY ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS: TURKISH CASE
title_sort exchange rate determination by artificial neural networks turkish case
topic yapay sinir ağları
döviz kuru belirleme
türkiye örneği
artificial neural networks
exchange rate determination
turkish case
url https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/1310885
work_keys_str_mv AT aycasarıaliogluhayali exchangeratedeterminationbyartificialneuralnetworksturkishcase
AT hasanbabacan exchangeratedeterminationbyartificialneuralnetworksturkishcase