Characteristics of Spring Phenological Changes in China over the Past 50 Years

In order to understand past plant phenological responses to climate change in China (1963–2009), we conducted trends analysis of spring phenophases based on observation data at 33 sites from the Chinese Phenological Observation Network (CPON). The phenological data on first leaf date (FLD) and first...

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Main Authors: Junhu Dai, Huanjiong Wang, Quansheng Ge
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2014-01-01
Series:Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/843568
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author Junhu Dai
Huanjiong Wang
Quansheng Ge
author_facet Junhu Dai
Huanjiong Wang
Quansheng Ge
author_sort Junhu Dai
collection DOAJ
description In order to understand past plant phenological responses to climate change in China (1963–2009), we conducted trends analysis of spring phenophases based on observation data at 33 sites from the Chinese Phenological Observation Network (CPON). The phenological data on first leaf date (FLD) and first flowering date (FFD) for five broad-leaved woody plants from 1963 to 2009 were analyzed. Since most phenological time series are discontinuous because of observation interruptions at certain period, we first interpolated phenological time series by using the optimal model between the spring warming (SW) model and the UniChill model to form continuous time series. Subsequently, by using regression analysis, we found that the spring phenophases of woody plants in China advanced at a mean rate of 0.18 days/year over the past 50 years. Changes of spring phenophases exhibited strong regional difference. The linear trends in spring phenophases were −0.18, −0.28, −0.21, −0.04, and −0.14 days/year for the Northeast China Plain, the North China Plain, the Middle-Lower Yangtze Plain, the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau, and South China, respectively. The spatial differences in phenological trends can be attributed to regional climate change patterns in China.
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spelling doaj-art-5b8419e02fde43009bde6e094697e7b72025-02-03T06:13:24ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172014-01-01201410.1155/2014/843568843568Characteristics of Spring Phenological Changes in China over the Past 50 YearsJunhu Dai0Huanjiong Wang1Quansheng Ge2Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, A 11, Datun Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100101, ChinaInstitute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, A 11, Datun Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100101, ChinaInstitute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, A 11, Datun Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100101, ChinaIn order to understand past plant phenological responses to climate change in China (1963–2009), we conducted trends analysis of spring phenophases based on observation data at 33 sites from the Chinese Phenological Observation Network (CPON). The phenological data on first leaf date (FLD) and first flowering date (FFD) for five broad-leaved woody plants from 1963 to 2009 were analyzed. Since most phenological time series are discontinuous because of observation interruptions at certain period, we first interpolated phenological time series by using the optimal model between the spring warming (SW) model and the UniChill model to form continuous time series. Subsequently, by using regression analysis, we found that the spring phenophases of woody plants in China advanced at a mean rate of 0.18 days/year over the past 50 years. Changes of spring phenophases exhibited strong regional difference. The linear trends in spring phenophases were −0.18, −0.28, −0.21, −0.04, and −0.14 days/year for the Northeast China Plain, the North China Plain, the Middle-Lower Yangtze Plain, the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau, and South China, respectively. The spatial differences in phenological trends can be attributed to regional climate change patterns in China.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/843568
spellingShingle Junhu Dai
Huanjiong Wang
Quansheng Ge
Characteristics of Spring Phenological Changes in China over the Past 50 Years
Advances in Meteorology
title Characteristics of Spring Phenological Changes in China over the Past 50 Years
title_full Characteristics of Spring Phenological Changes in China over the Past 50 Years
title_fullStr Characteristics of Spring Phenological Changes in China over the Past 50 Years
title_full_unstemmed Characteristics of Spring Phenological Changes in China over the Past 50 Years
title_short Characteristics of Spring Phenological Changes in China over the Past 50 Years
title_sort characteristics of spring phenological changes in china over the past 50 years
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/843568
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