Characteristics of Spring Phenological Changes in China over the Past 50 Years
In order to understand past plant phenological responses to climate change in China (1963–2009), we conducted trends analysis of spring phenophases based on observation data at 33 sites from the Chinese Phenological Observation Network (CPON). The phenological data on first leaf date (FLD) and first...
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Wiley
2014-01-01
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Series: | Advances in Meteorology |
Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/843568 |
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author | Junhu Dai Huanjiong Wang Quansheng Ge |
author_facet | Junhu Dai Huanjiong Wang Quansheng Ge |
author_sort | Junhu Dai |
collection | DOAJ |
description | In order to understand past plant phenological responses to climate change in China (1963–2009), we conducted trends analysis of spring phenophases based on observation data at 33 sites from the Chinese Phenological Observation Network (CPON). The phenological data on first leaf date (FLD) and first flowering date (FFD) for five broad-leaved woody plants from 1963 to 2009 were analyzed. Since most phenological time series are discontinuous because of observation interruptions at certain period, we first interpolated phenological time series by using the optimal model between the spring warming (SW) model and the UniChill model to form continuous time series. Subsequently, by using regression analysis, we found that the spring phenophases of woody plants in China advanced at a mean rate of 0.18 days/year over the past 50 years. Changes of spring phenophases exhibited strong regional difference. The linear trends in spring phenophases were −0.18, −0.28, −0.21, −0.04, and −0.14 days/year for the Northeast China Plain, the North China Plain, the Middle-Lower Yangtze Plain, the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau, and South China, respectively. The spatial differences in phenological trends can be attributed to regional climate change patterns in China. |
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id | doaj-art-5b8419e02fde43009bde6e094697e7b7 |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 1687-9309 1687-9317 |
language | English |
publishDate | 2014-01-01 |
publisher | Wiley |
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series | Advances in Meteorology |
spelling | doaj-art-5b8419e02fde43009bde6e094697e7b72025-02-03T06:13:24ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172014-01-01201410.1155/2014/843568843568Characteristics of Spring Phenological Changes in China over the Past 50 YearsJunhu Dai0Huanjiong Wang1Quansheng Ge2Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, A 11, Datun Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100101, ChinaInstitute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, A 11, Datun Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100101, ChinaInstitute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, A 11, Datun Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100101, ChinaIn order to understand past plant phenological responses to climate change in China (1963–2009), we conducted trends analysis of spring phenophases based on observation data at 33 sites from the Chinese Phenological Observation Network (CPON). The phenological data on first leaf date (FLD) and first flowering date (FFD) for five broad-leaved woody plants from 1963 to 2009 were analyzed. Since most phenological time series are discontinuous because of observation interruptions at certain period, we first interpolated phenological time series by using the optimal model between the spring warming (SW) model and the UniChill model to form continuous time series. Subsequently, by using regression analysis, we found that the spring phenophases of woody plants in China advanced at a mean rate of 0.18 days/year over the past 50 years. Changes of spring phenophases exhibited strong regional difference. The linear trends in spring phenophases were −0.18, −0.28, −0.21, −0.04, and −0.14 days/year for the Northeast China Plain, the North China Plain, the Middle-Lower Yangtze Plain, the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau, and South China, respectively. The spatial differences in phenological trends can be attributed to regional climate change patterns in China.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/843568 |
spellingShingle | Junhu Dai Huanjiong Wang Quansheng Ge Characteristics of Spring Phenological Changes in China over the Past 50 Years Advances in Meteorology |
title | Characteristics of Spring Phenological Changes in China over the Past 50 Years |
title_full | Characteristics of Spring Phenological Changes in China over the Past 50 Years |
title_fullStr | Characteristics of Spring Phenological Changes in China over the Past 50 Years |
title_full_unstemmed | Characteristics of Spring Phenological Changes in China over the Past 50 Years |
title_short | Characteristics of Spring Phenological Changes in China over the Past 50 Years |
title_sort | characteristics of spring phenological changes in china over the past 50 years |
url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/843568 |
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