Monte Carlo Uncertainty Quantification Using Quasi-1D SRM Ballistic Model

Compactness, reliability, readiness, and construction simplicity of solid rocket motors make them very appealing for commercial launcher missions and embarked systems. Solid propulsion grants high thrust-to-weight ratio, high volumetric specific impulse, and a Technology Readiness Level of 9. Howeve...

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Main Authors: Davide Viganò, Adriano Annovazzi, Filippo Maggi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2016-01-01
Series:International Journal of Aerospace Engineering
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/3765796
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author Davide Viganò
Adriano Annovazzi
Filippo Maggi
author_facet Davide Viganò
Adriano Annovazzi
Filippo Maggi
author_sort Davide Viganò
collection DOAJ
description Compactness, reliability, readiness, and construction simplicity of solid rocket motors make them very appealing for commercial launcher missions and embarked systems. Solid propulsion grants high thrust-to-weight ratio, high volumetric specific impulse, and a Technology Readiness Level of 9. However, solid rocket systems are missing any throttling capability at run-time, since pressure-time evolution is defined at the design phase. This lack of mission flexibility makes their missions sensitive to deviations of performance from nominal behavior. For this reason, the reliability of predictions and reproducibility of performances represent a primary goal in this field. This paper presents an analysis of SRM performance uncertainties throughout the implementation of a quasi-1D numerical model of motor internal ballistics based on Shapiro’s equations. The code is coupled with a Monte Carlo algorithm to evaluate statistics and propagation of some peculiar uncertainties from design data to rocker performance parameters. The model has been set for the reproduction of a small-scale rocket motor, discussing a set of parametric investigations on uncertainty propagation across the ballistic model.
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spelling doaj-art-5b62a421df8e4aa5b62e7e0af52bc29b2025-08-20T02:05:13ZengWileyInternational Journal of Aerospace Engineering1687-59661687-59742016-01-01201610.1155/2016/37657963765796Monte Carlo Uncertainty Quantification Using Quasi-1D SRM Ballistic ModelDavide Viganò0Adriano Annovazzi1Filippo Maggi2Department of Aerospace Science and Technology, SPLab, Politecnico di Milano, 20156 Milan, ItalySpace Propulsion Design Department, AVIO S.p.A., 00034 Colleferro, ItalyDepartment of Aerospace Science and Technology, SPLab, Politecnico di Milano, 20156 Milan, ItalyCompactness, reliability, readiness, and construction simplicity of solid rocket motors make them very appealing for commercial launcher missions and embarked systems. Solid propulsion grants high thrust-to-weight ratio, high volumetric specific impulse, and a Technology Readiness Level of 9. However, solid rocket systems are missing any throttling capability at run-time, since pressure-time evolution is defined at the design phase. This lack of mission flexibility makes their missions sensitive to deviations of performance from nominal behavior. For this reason, the reliability of predictions and reproducibility of performances represent a primary goal in this field. This paper presents an analysis of SRM performance uncertainties throughout the implementation of a quasi-1D numerical model of motor internal ballistics based on Shapiro’s equations. The code is coupled with a Monte Carlo algorithm to evaluate statistics and propagation of some peculiar uncertainties from design data to rocker performance parameters. The model has been set for the reproduction of a small-scale rocket motor, discussing a set of parametric investigations on uncertainty propagation across the ballistic model.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/3765796
spellingShingle Davide Viganò
Adriano Annovazzi
Filippo Maggi
Monte Carlo Uncertainty Quantification Using Quasi-1D SRM Ballistic Model
International Journal of Aerospace Engineering
title Monte Carlo Uncertainty Quantification Using Quasi-1D SRM Ballistic Model
title_full Monte Carlo Uncertainty Quantification Using Quasi-1D SRM Ballistic Model
title_fullStr Monte Carlo Uncertainty Quantification Using Quasi-1D SRM Ballistic Model
title_full_unstemmed Monte Carlo Uncertainty Quantification Using Quasi-1D SRM Ballistic Model
title_short Monte Carlo Uncertainty Quantification Using Quasi-1D SRM Ballistic Model
title_sort monte carlo uncertainty quantification using quasi 1d srm ballistic model
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/3765796
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