Association between blood glucose level trajectories and 30-day mortality risk in patients with acute ischemic stroke: analysis of the MIMIC database 2001–2019

Abstract Background Hyperglycemia is one of the most common comorbidities in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). This study aimed to assess the impact of short-term longitudinal blood glucose level change trajectories on the 30-day mortality risk in patients with AIS. Methods Data for AIS pat...

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Main Authors: Li Li, Xiaolian Xing, Qian Li, Qinqin Zhang, Zhijun Meng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2024-10-01
Series:Diabetology & Metabolic Syndrome
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s13098-024-01482-x
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author Li Li
Xiaolian Xing
Qian Li
Qinqin Zhang
Zhijun Meng
author_facet Li Li
Xiaolian Xing
Qian Li
Qinqin Zhang
Zhijun Meng
author_sort Li Li
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Hyperglycemia is one of the most common comorbidities in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). This study aimed to assess the impact of short-term longitudinal blood glucose level change trajectories on the 30-day mortality risk in patients with AIS. Methods Data for AIS patients were obtained from the 2001–2019 Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) database. The latent growth mixture modeling (LGMM) was utilized to classify a patient’s blood glucose level trajectory within 24 h of admission. Cox regression analyses were applied to examine the relationship between blood glucose levels at admission and blood glucose level trajectories and the risk of 30-day mortality in patients with AIS. Results A total of 2,432 patients with AIS were included in this retrospective cohort study, with 30-day mortality occurring in 574 (23.60%) patients. The median glucose levels of all patients were 136.00 (110.00, 178.00) mg/dL. Four blood glucose level trajectories were identified: low level-stable trend (type 1), moderate level-stable trend (type 2), high level-decreasing-increasing trend (type 3), and moderate level-increasing-decreasing trend (type 4). Type 2 blood glucose level trajectory was associated with an increased risk of 30-day mortality compared with type 1 blood glucose level trajectory [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.28, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03–1.59), but there were no significant associations between type 3 (HR = 1.16, 95%CI: 0.77–1.74) and type 4 (HR = 1.44, 95%CI: 0.84–2.45) trajectories and 30-day mortality risk. Subgroup analysis demonstrated that the association between type 2 trajectory and 30-day mortality risk was observed in patients aged ≥ 65 years (HR = 1.37, 95%CI: 1.05–1.79), female (HR = 1.42, 95%CI: 1.05–1.94), with (HR = 1.44, 95%CI: 1.02–2.02) or without (HR = 1.42, 95%CI: 1.01–1.99) diabetes, and not using insulin (HR = 2.80, 95%CI: 1.43–5.49). Conclusion AIS patients with consistently high blood glucose levels within 24 h of admission increased the risk of 30-day mortality.
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spelling doaj-art-5b37cec41ed5477f9ce66258fec5898f2025-08-20T01:50:38ZengBMCDiabetology & Metabolic Syndrome1758-59962024-10-0116111110.1186/s13098-024-01482-xAssociation between blood glucose level trajectories and 30-day mortality risk in patients with acute ischemic stroke: analysis of the MIMIC database 2001–2019Li Li0Xiaolian Xing1Qian Li2Qinqin Zhang3Zhijun Meng4Department of Neurology, Shanxi Provincial People’s HospitalDepartment of Neurology, Taiyuan City Central HospitalDepartment of Neurology, Shanxi Provincial People’s HospitalDepartment of Neurology, Shanxi Provincial People’s HospitalDepartment of Clinical Laboratory, Shanxi Provincial People’s HospitalAbstract Background Hyperglycemia is one of the most common comorbidities in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). This study aimed to assess the impact of short-term longitudinal blood glucose level change trajectories on the 30-day mortality risk in patients with AIS. Methods Data for AIS patients were obtained from the 2001–2019 Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) database. The latent growth mixture modeling (LGMM) was utilized to classify a patient’s blood glucose level trajectory within 24 h of admission. Cox regression analyses were applied to examine the relationship between blood glucose levels at admission and blood glucose level trajectories and the risk of 30-day mortality in patients with AIS. Results A total of 2,432 patients with AIS were included in this retrospective cohort study, with 30-day mortality occurring in 574 (23.60%) patients. The median glucose levels of all patients were 136.00 (110.00, 178.00) mg/dL. Four blood glucose level trajectories were identified: low level-stable trend (type 1), moderate level-stable trend (type 2), high level-decreasing-increasing trend (type 3), and moderate level-increasing-decreasing trend (type 4). Type 2 blood glucose level trajectory was associated with an increased risk of 30-day mortality compared with type 1 blood glucose level trajectory [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.28, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03–1.59), but there were no significant associations between type 3 (HR = 1.16, 95%CI: 0.77–1.74) and type 4 (HR = 1.44, 95%CI: 0.84–2.45) trajectories and 30-day mortality risk. Subgroup analysis demonstrated that the association between type 2 trajectory and 30-day mortality risk was observed in patients aged ≥ 65 years (HR = 1.37, 95%CI: 1.05–1.79), female (HR = 1.42, 95%CI: 1.05–1.94), with (HR = 1.44, 95%CI: 1.02–2.02) or without (HR = 1.42, 95%CI: 1.01–1.99) diabetes, and not using insulin (HR = 2.80, 95%CI: 1.43–5.49). Conclusion AIS patients with consistently high blood glucose levels within 24 h of admission increased the risk of 30-day mortality.https://doi.org/10.1186/s13098-024-01482-xAcute ischemic strokeBlood glucoseTrajectory30-day mortality
spellingShingle Li Li
Xiaolian Xing
Qian Li
Qinqin Zhang
Zhijun Meng
Association between blood glucose level trajectories and 30-day mortality risk in patients with acute ischemic stroke: analysis of the MIMIC database 2001–2019
Diabetology & Metabolic Syndrome
Acute ischemic stroke
Blood glucose
Trajectory
30-day mortality
title Association between blood glucose level trajectories and 30-day mortality risk in patients with acute ischemic stroke: analysis of the MIMIC database 2001–2019
title_full Association between blood glucose level trajectories and 30-day mortality risk in patients with acute ischemic stroke: analysis of the MIMIC database 2001–2019
title_fullStr Association between blood glucose level trajectories and 30-day mortality risk in patients with acute ischemic stroke: analysis of the MIMIC database 2001–2019
title_full_unstemmed Association between blood glucose level trajectories and 30-day mortality risk in patients with acute ischemic stroke: analysis of the MIMIC database 2001–2019
title_short Association between blood glucose level trajectories and 30-day mortality risk in patients with acute ischemic stroke: analysis of the MIMIC database 2001–2019
title_sort association between blood glucose level trajectories and 30 day mortality risk in patients with acute ischemic stroke analysis of the mimic database 2001 2019
topic Acute ischemic stroke
Blood glucose
Trajectory
30-day mortality
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s13098-024-01482-x
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