Factors of Foreign Trade Resilience of European Countries in the Context of Global Competition: the Role of Intra-industry Trade

The article dwells onto the identification and quantitative assessment of the factors of the European countries’ bilateral trade resilience. The factors were studied separately for two groups, namely those responsible for maintaining of trade linkages and those characterising their ability to recove...

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Main Authors: Roman M. Plyusnin, Alexander D. Vasilchenko
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Russian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Europe 2024-08-01
Series:Современная Европа
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sov-europe.ru/images/pdf/2024/4-2024/Plyusnin-4-24.pdf
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author Roman M. Plyusnin
Alexander D. Vasilchenko
author_facet Roman M. Plyusnin
Alexander D. Vasilchenko
author_sort Roman M. Plyusnin
collection DOAJ
description The article dwells onto the identification and quantitative assessment of the factors of the European countries’ bilateral trade resilience. The factors were studied separately for two groups, namely those responsible for maintaining of trade linkages and those characterising their ability to recover after external shocks. The paper covers only the first group of factors that were furtherly split onto inherent (endogenous) and acquired (exogenous). The inherent factors include geographical proximity and historical linkages, whereas acquired factors consist of bilateral trade intensity and degree of intra-industry trade between a pair of countries. Identifying factors that ensure resistance to foreign trade shocks using the example of relations within Europe is useful because from a historical and geographical point of view, this region is an example of the deep development of trade relations. Therefore, the identified factors will be significant for conducting research in the case of other countries. The indicators allowing for the factors’ assessment are calculated for the European states, except Turkey, Russia and several microstates. The conclusion is drawn that it is only degree of intra-industry trade that is responsible for preserving bilateral trade flows during crises. The results obtained suggest that upgrading intra-industry trade through participation in global value chains is necessary for trade resilience. This takeaway is critical for the foreign trade and industrial policies’ recalibration both in Europe and other regions, such as Africa and the Middle East.
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spelling doaj-art-5b26fd4e66ef4105a79238a99d1924002025-08-20T02:17:46ZengRussian Academy of Sciences, Institute of EuropeСовременная Европа0201-70832024-08-01410011510.31857/S0201708324040089Factors of Foreign Trade Resilience of European Countries in the Context of Global Competition: the Role of Intra-industry TradeRoman M. Plyusnin0Alexander D. Vasilchenko1Institute of Europe Russian Academy of SciencesInstitute of Europe Russian Academy of SciencesThe article dwells onto the identification and quantitative assessment of the factors of the European countries’ bilateral trade resilience. The factors were studied separately for two groups, namely those responsible for maintaining of trade linkages and those characterising their ability to recover after external shocks. The paper covers only the first group of factors that were furtherly split onto inherent (endogenous) and acquired (exogenous). The inherent factors include geographical proximity and historical linkages, whereas acquired factors consist of bilateral trade intensity and degree of intra-industry trade between a pair of countries. Identifying factors that ensure resistance to foreign trade shocks using the example of relations within Europe is useful because from a historical and geographical point of view, this region is an example of the deep development of trade relations. Therefore, the identified factors will be significant for conducting research in the case of other countries. The indicators allowing for the factors’ assessment are calculated for the European states, except Turkey, Russia and several microstates. The conclusion is drawn that it is only degree of intra-industry trade that is responsible for preserving bilateral trade flows during crises. The results obtained suggest that upgrading intra-industry trade through participation in global value chains is necessary for trade resilience. This takeaway is critical for the foreign trade and industrial policies’ recalibration both in Europe and other regions, such as Africa and the Middle East.http://www.sov-europe.ru/images/pdf/2024/4-2024/Plyusnin-4-24.pdfresiliencefactors of resilienceeuropeforeign tradeintra-industry trade
spellingShingle Roman M. Plyusnin
Alexander D. Vasilchenko
Factors of Foreign Trade Resilience of European Countries in the Context of Global Competition: the Role of Intra-industry Trade
Современная Европа
resilience
factors of resilience
europe
foreign trade
intra-industry trade
title Factors of Foreign Trade Resilience of European Countries in the Context of Global Competition: the Role of Intra-industry Trade
title_full Factors of Foreign Trade Resilience of European Countries in the Context of Global Competition: the Role of Intra-industry Trade
title_fullStr Factors of Foreign Trade Resilience of European Countries in the Context of Global Competition: the Role of Intra-industry Trade
title_full_unstemmed Factors of Foreign Trade Resilience of European Countries in the Context of Global Competition: the Role of Intra-industry Trade
title_short Factors of Foreign Trade Resilience of European Countries in the Context of Global Competition: the Role of Intra-industry Trade
title_sort factors of foreign trade resilience of european countries in the context of global competition the role of intra industry trade
topic resilience
factors of resilience
europe
foreign trade
intra-industry trade
url http://www.sov-europe.ru/images/pdf/2024/4-2024/Plyusnin-4-24.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT romanmplyusnin factorsofforeigntraderesilienceofeuropeancountriesinthecontextofglobalcompetitiontheroleofintraindustrytrade
AT alexanderdvasilchenko factorsofforeigntraderesilienceofeuropeancountriesinthecontextofglobalcompetitiontheroleofintraindustrytrade