Does Uncertainty Affect the Banks’ Non-Performing Loans/Non-Performing Finance in the MENA Region? A Comparison Study Between Conventional and Islamic Banks in the MENA Regions

This study investigates the impact of uncertainties on the non-performing loans/ finance (NPL/NPF) of conventional and Islamic banks in the MENA region using data from 2005 to 2022. Based on inclusion and exclusion criteria and the purposive sampling technique, 92 banks were selected from 13 MENA co...

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Main Authors: Shadi Ratib Mohammad Aledeimat, Murad Abdurahman Bein
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2025-02-01
Series:SAGE Open
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/21582440251320239
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author Shadi Ratib Mohammad Aledeimat
Murad Abdurahman Bein
author_facet Shadi Ratib Mohammad Aledeimat
Murad Abdurahman Bein
author_sort Shadi Ratib Mohammad Aledeimat
collection DOAJ
description This study investigates the impact of uncertainties on the non-performing loans/ finance (NPL/NPF) of conventional and Islamic banks in the MENA region using data from 2005 to 2022. Based on inclusion and exclusion criteria and the purposive sampling technique, 92 banks were selected from 13 MENA countries, 42 of which are Islamic and 50 of which are conventional banks. The study used two estimation methods: Augmented Mean Group (AMG) and two-step Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) to estimate the relationship between uncertainty and NPL/NPF. These estimation methods were chosen for their ability to provide unbiased results in the presence of cross-sectional dependence and deal with endogeneity. The study revealed that world pandemic uncertainty had a negative and significant influence on the NPL of conventional banks while showing a positive and significant influence on the NPF of Islamic banks. US trade policy uncertainty was found to have a negative and significant influence on the NPL of conventional banks. In contrast, it exhibited a positive and significant influence on the NPF of Islamic banks. We discovered a positive and significant influence of US sovereign debt risk uncertainty on the NPL/NPF of conventional and Islamic banks in the MENA region. The findings revealed a negative and significant influence of oil price uncertainty on the NPL/NPF of conventional and Islamic banks in the MENA regions. These findings reassure us that bank in the MENA region should adopt and tailor risk strategies based on sector-specific responses, engage in proactive risk monitoring, and maintain loan quality amid economic uncertainties.
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spelling doaj-art-5aeb4b3b67a44e3e9a5805e800aec3f02025-08-20T02:45:05ZengSAGE PublishingSAGE Open2158-24402025-02-011510.1177/21582440251320239Does Uncertainty Affect the Banks’ Non-Performing Loans/Non-Performing Finance in the MENA Region? A Comparison Study Between Conventional and Islamic Banks in the MENA RegionsShadi Ratib Mohammad Aledeimat0Murad Abdurahman Bein1 Department of Accounting and Finance, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Cyprus International University, Lefkosa, North Cyprus, Turkey Department of Accounting and Finance, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Cyprus International University, Lefkosa, North Cyprus, TurkeyThis study investigates the impact of uncertainties on the non-performing loans/ finance (NPL/NPF) of conventional and Islamic banks in the MENA region using data from 2005 to 2022. Based on inclusion and exclusion criteria and the purposive sampling technique, 92 banks were selected from 13 MENA countries, 42 of which are Islamic and 50 of which are conventional banks. The study used two estimation methods: Augmented Mean Group (AMG) and two-step Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) to estimate the relationship between uncertainty and NPL/NPF. These estimation methods were chosen for their ability to provide unbiased results in the presence of cross-sectional dependence and deal with endogeneity. The study revealed that world pandemic uncertainty had a negative and significant influence on the NPL of conventional banks while showing a positive and significant influence on the NPF of Islamic banks. US trade policy uncertainty was found to have a negative and significant influence on the NPL of conventional banks. In contrast, it exhibited a positive and significant influence on the NPF of Islamic banks. We discovered a positive and significant influence of US sovereign debt risk uncertainty on the NPL/NPF of conventional and Islamic banks in the MENA region. The findings revealed a negative and significant influence of oil price uncertainty on the NPL/NPF of conventional and Islamic banks in the MENA regions. These findings reassure us that bank in the MENA region should adopt and tailor risk strategies based on sector-specific responses, engage in proactive risk monitoring, and maintain loan quality amid economic uncertainties.https://doi.org/10.1177/21582440251320239
spellingShingle Shadi Ratib Mohammad Aledeimat
Murad Abdurahman Bein
Does Uncertainty Affect the Banks’ Non-Performing Loans/Non-Performing Finance in the MENA Region? A Comparison Study Between Conventional and Islamic Banks in the MENA Regions
SAGE Open
title Does Uncertainty Affect the Banks’ Non-Performing Loans/Non-Performing Finance in the MENA Region? A Comparison Study Between Conventional and Islamic Banks in the MENA Regions
title_full Does Uncertainty Affect the Banks’ Non-Performing Loans/Non-Performing Finance in the MENA Region? A Comparison Study Between Conventional and Islamic Banks in the MENA Regions
title_fullStr Does Uncertainty Affect the Banks’ Non-Performing Loans/Non-Performing Finance in the MENA Region? A Comparison Study Between Conventional and Islamic Banks in the MENA Regions
title_full_unstemmed Does Uncertainty Affect the Banks’ Non-Performing Loans/Non-Performing Finance in the MENA Region? A Comparison Study Between Conventional and Islamic Banks in the MENA Regions
title_short Does Uncertainty Affect the Banks’ Non-Performing Loans/Non-Performing Finance in the MENA Region? A Comparison Study Between Conventional and Islamic Banks in the MENA Regions
title_sort does uncertainty affect the banks non performing loans non performing finance in the mena region a comparison study between conventional and islamic banks in the mena regions
url https://doi.org/10.1177/21582440251320239
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