A Large Simulation Set of Geomagnetic Storms—Can Simulations Predict Ground Magnetometer Station Observations of Magnetic Field Perturbations?

Abstract We use the Space Weather Modeling Framework Geospace configuration to simulate a total of 122 storms from the period 2010–2019. With the focus on the storm main phase, each storm period was run for 54 hr starting from 6 hr prior to the start of the Dst depression. The simulation output of g...

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Main Authors: Q. Al Shidi, T. Pulkkinen, G. Toth, A. Brenner, S. Zou, J. Gjerloev
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-11-01
Series:Space Weather
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2022SW003049
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author Q. Al Shidi
T. Pulkkinen
G. Toth
A. Brenner
S. Zou
J. Gjerloev
author_facet Q. Al Shidi
T. Pulkkinen
G. Toth
A. Brenner
S. Zou
J. Gjerloev
author_sort Q. Al Shidi
collection DOAJ
description Abstract We use the Space Weather Modeling Framework Geospace configuration to simulate a total of 122 storms from the period 2010–2019. With the focus on the storm main phase, each storm period was run for 54 hr starting from 6 hr prior to the start of the Dst depression. The simulation output of ground magnetic variations, ΔBH in particular, were compared with ground magnetometer station data provided by SuperMAG to statistically assess the Geospace model regional magnetic perturbation prediction performance. Our results show that the regional predictions at mid‐latitudes are quite accurate, but the high‐latitude regional disturbances are still difficult to predict.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 1542-7390
language English
publishDate 2022-11-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Space Weather
spelling doaj-art-5ad9ac4b3d49460ea31372fe2f0a773e2025-01-14T16:35:33ZengWileySpace Weather1542-73902022-11-012011n/an/a10.1029/2022SW003049A Large Simulation Set of Geomagnetic Storms—Can Simulations Predict Ground Magnetometer Station Observations of Magnetic Field Perturbations?Q. Al Shidi0T. Pulkkinen1G. Toth2A. Brenner3S. Zou4J. Gjerloev5Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering University of Michigan Ann Arbor MI USAClimate and Space Sciences and Engineering University of Michigan Ann Arbor MI USAClimate and Space Sciences and Engineering University of Michigan Ann Arbor MI USAClimate and Space Sciences and Engineering University of Michigan Ann Arbor MI USAClimate and Space Sciences and Engineering University of Michigan Ann Arbor MI USAApplied Physics Laboratory John Hopkins University Baltimore MD USAAbstract We use the Space Weather Modeling Framework Geospace configuration to simulate a total of 122 storms from the period 2010–2019. With the focus on the storm main phase, each storm period was run for 54 hr starting from 6 hr prior to the start of the Dst depression. The simulation output of ground magnetic variations, ΔBH in particular, were compared with ground magnetometer station data provided by SuperMAG to statistically assess the Geospace model regional magnetic perturbation prediction performance. Our results show that the regional predictions at mid‐latitudes are quite accurate, but the high‐latitude regional disturbances are still difficult to predict.https://doi.org/10.1029/2022SW003049ground magnetometerssimulationsSWMFforecastingmagnetosphereionosphere
spellingShingle Q. Al Shidi
T. Pulkkinen
G. Toth
A. Brenner
S. Zou
J. Gjerloev
A Large Simulation Set of Geomagnetic Storms—Can Simulations Predict Ground Magnetometer Station Observations of Magnetic Field Perturbations?
Space Weather
ground magnetometers
simulations
SWMF
forecasting
magnetosphere
ionosphere
title A Large Simulation Set of Geomagnetic Storms—Can Simulations Predict Ground Magnetometer Station Observations of Magnetic Field Perturbations?
title_full A Large Simulation Set of Geomagnetic Storms—Can Simulations Predict Ground Magnetometer Station Observations of Magnetic Field Perturbations?
title_fullStr A Large Simulation Set of Geomagnetic Storms—Can Simulations Predict Ground Magnetometer Station Observations of Magnetic Field Perturbations?
title_full_unstemmed A Large Simulation Set of Geomagnetic Storms—Can Simulations Predict Ground Magnetometer Station Observations of Magnetic Field Perturbations?
title_short A Large Simulation Set of Geomagnetic Storms—Can Simulations Predict Ground Magnetometer Station Observations of Magnetic Field Perturbations?
title_sort large simulation set of geomagnetic storms can simulations predict ground magnetometer station observations of magnetic field perturbations
topic ground magnetometers
simulations
SWMF
forecasting
magnetosphere
ionosphere
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2022SW003049
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