Ecological tourism suitability evaluation and landscape ecological risk analysis of the Yangtze River Delta Region from 2000 to 2020 based on the MaxEnt model

This study aims to assess the changes in ecotourism suitability (ETS) in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) and reveal the underlying ecological carrying capacity and potential risks, offering significant academic and practical value. Using multisource spatial data from 2000 to 2020 and incorporating 14...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Junjie Li, Xiaodong Liu, Yonggang Wang, Xiangbin Peng, Huanchen Tang, Maoguo Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2025-05-01
Series:Journal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13467581.2025.2510617
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1849688523537383424
author Junjie Li
Xiaodong Liu
Yonggang Wang
Xiangbin Peng
Huanchen Tang
Maoguo Li
author_facet Junjie Li
Xiaodong Liu
Yonggang Wang
Xiangbin Peng
Huanchen Tang
Maoguo Li
author_sort Junjie Li
collection DOAJ
description This study aims to assess the changes in ecotourism suitability (ETS) in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) and reveal the underlying ecological carrying capacity and potential risks, offering significant academic and practical value. Using multisource spatial data from 2000 to 2020 and incorporating 14 variables such as the natural environment, human activities, and climate conditions, an ETS evaluation system is constructed. The study employs the Maximum Entropy model (MaxEnt) to simulate spatiotemporal evolution and uses the Landscape Pattern (LP) index and Landscape Ecological Risk (LER) evaluation model to explore the spatial correlation between ETS and ecological risk. The results show: (1) ETS exhibits clear spatial differentiation in the YRD, with higher suitability in the central and eastern regions, and lower suitability in the west. Over the 20-year period, 60.10% of the area remained stable, 16.70% increased, and 23.20% decreased; (2) LP indicates increased fragmentation and enhanced diversity, with decreased connectivity of ecological patches; (3) LER overall increased, with more medium-risk areas; (4) After 2005, a significant spatial coupling between ETS and LER emerged, with some areas showing a “high suitability – high risk” pattern, indicating ecological pressure. The findings provide scientific evidence for the development of YRD’s ecotourism resources and sustainable planning.
format Article
id doaj-art-5a80e50e0dba4e459596700042366ef3
institution DOAJ
issn 1347-2852
language English
publishDate 2025-05-01
publisher Taylor & Francis Group
record_format Article
series Journal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering
spelling doaj-art-5a80e50e0dba4e459596700042366ef32025-08-20T03:21:56ZengTaylor & Francis GroupJournal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering1347-28522025-05-010011810.1080/13467581.2025.25106172510617Ecological tourism suitability evaluation and landscape ecological risk analysis of the Yangtze River Delta Region from 2000 to 2020 based on the MaxEnt modelJunjie Li0Xiaodong Liu1Yonggang Wang2Xiangbin Peng3Huanchen Tang4Maoguo Li5Donghua UniversityDonghua UniversityChina Construction Second Engineering Bureau CoNanjing Forestry UniversityDonghua UniversityWuhan University of TechnologyThis study aims to assess the changes in ecotourism suitability (ETS) in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) and reveal the underlying ecological carrying capacity and potential risks, offering significant academic and practical value. Using multisource spatial data from 2000 to 2020 and incorporating 14 variables such as the natural environment, human activities, and climate conditions, an ETS evaluation system is constructed. The study employs the Maximum Entropy model (MaxEnt) to simulate spatiotemporal evolution and uses the Landscape Pattern (LP) index and Landscape Ecological Risk (LER) evaluation model to explore the spatial correlation between ETS and ecological risk. The results show: (1) ETS exhibits clear spatial differentiation in the YRD, with higher suitability in the central and eastern regions, and lower suitability in the west. Over the 20-year period, 60.10% of the area remained stable, 16.70% increased, and 23.20% decreased; (2) LP indicates increased fragmentation and enhanced diversity, with decreased connectivity of ecological patches; (3) LER overall increased, with more medium-risk areas; (4) After 2005, a significant spatial coupling between ETS and LER emerged, with some areas showing a “high suitability – high risk” pattern, indicating ecological pressure. The findings provide scientific evidence for the development of YRD’s ecotourism resources and sustainable planning.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13467581.2025.2510617ecotourism suitabilitymaxentlandscape ecological risklandscape patternyangtze river delta region
spellingShingle Junjie Li
Xiaodong Liu
Yonggang Wang
Xiangbin Peng
Huanchen Tang
Maoguo Li
Ecological tourism suitability evaluation and landscape ecological risk analysis of the Yangtze River Delta Region from 2000 to 2020 based on the MaxEnt model
Journal of Asian Architecture and Building Engineering
ecotourism suitability
maxent
landscape ecological risk
landscape pattern
yangtze river delta region
title Ecological tourism suitability evaluation and landscape ecological risk analysis of the Yangtze River Delta Region from 2000 to 2020 based on the MaxEnt model
title_full Ecological tourism suitability evaluation and landscape ecological risk analysis of the Yangtze River Delta Region from 2000 to 2020 based on the MaxEnt model
title_fullStr Ecological tourism suitability evaluation and landscape ecological risk analysis of the Yangtze River Delta Region from 2000 to 2020 based on the MaxEnt model
title_full_unstemmed Ecological tourism suitability evaluation and landscape ecological risk analysis of the Yangtze River Delta Region from 2000 to 2020 based on the MaxEnt model
title_short Ecological tourism suitability evaluation and landscape ecological risk analysis of the Yangtze River Delta Region from 2000 to 2020 based on the MaxEnt model
title_sort ecological tourism suitability evaluation and landscape ecological risk analysis of the yangtze river delta region from 2000 to 2020 based on the maxent model
topic ecotourism suitability
maxent
landscape ecological risk
landscape pattern
yangtze river delta region
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13467581.2025.2510617
work_keys_str_mv AT junjieli ecologicaltourismsuitabilityevaluationandlandscapeecologicalriskanalysisoftheyangtzeriverdeltaregionfrom2000to2020basedonthemaxentmodel
AT xiaodongliu ecologicaltourismsuitabilityevaluationandlandscapeecologicalriskanalysisoftheyangtzeriverdeltaregionfrom2000to2020basedonthemaxentmodel
AT yonggangwang ecologicaltourismsuitabilityevaluationandlandscapeecologicalriskanalysisoftheyangtzeriverdeltaregionfrom2000to2020basedonthemaxentmodel
AT xiangbinpeng ecologicaltourismsuitabilityevaluationandlandscapeecologicalriskanalysisoftheyangtzeriverdeltaregionfrom2000to2020basedonthemaxentmodel
AT huanchentang ecologicaltourismsuitabilityevaluationandlandscapeecologicalriskanalysisoftheyangtzeriverdeltaregionfrom2000to2020basedonthemaxentmodel
AT maoguoli ecologicaltourismsuitabilityevaluationandlandscapeecologicalriskanalysisoftheyangtzeriverdeltaregionfrom2000to2020basedonthemaxentmodel