Analysis of Factors Affecting the Over-Representation of Sequential Crashes in Freeway Tunnels: Using Rule-Based Data Mining Method

The paper provides an empirical analysis of road/tunnel design, traffic volume, and environmental factors associated with the increased likelihood of sequential crashes in freeway tunnels. The association rule mining and decision tree methods are employed since both of them are capable of identifyin...

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Main Authors: Shun Li, Shuai Huang, Jie Wang, Shijian He
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2023-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/7128408
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author Shun Li
Shuai Huang
Jie Wang
Shijian He
author_facet Shun Li
Shuai Huang
Jie Wang
Shijian He
author_sort Shun Li
collection DOAJ
description The paper provides an empirical analysis of road/tunnel design, traffic volume, and environmental factors associated with the increased likelihood of sequential crashes in freeway tunnels. The association rule mining and decision tree methods are employed since both of them are capable of identifying complicated interactions among variables and expressing them in the form of rules. Results show that tunnel length, traffic congestion, time of day, season, and vehicle type are the significant factors influencing the likelihood of sequential crashes in freeway tunnels. More importantly, association rule mining and decision tree analysis reveal that a combination of road/tunnel design, traffic, and environmental factors produces even a higher likelihood of sequential crashes, leading to a series of hazardous situations. For example, when factors including long tunnel and grade ≤ 2%, fourth level, and winter are combined, the proportion of sequential crashes is more than twice the average proportion of sequential crashes in the complete tunnel crash database. Traffic safety management should pay more attention to monitoring these hazardous situations which are more likely to be linked to sequential crashes.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2042-3195
language English
publishDate 2023-01-01
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spelling doaj-art-5a2e542fb5ac4d23a8907bb9c4684ebf2025-08-20T03:34:58ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation2042-31952023-01-01202310.1155/2023/7128408Analysis of Factors Affecting the Over-Representation of Sequential Crashes in Freeway Tunnels: Using Rule-Based Data Mining MethodShun Li0Shuai Huang1Jie Wang2Shijian He3School of Traffic and Transportation EngineeringSchool of Traffic and Transportation EngineeringSchool of Traffic and Transportation EngineeringSchool of Traffic and Transportation EngineeringThe paper provides an empirical analysis of road/tunnel design, traffic volume, and environmental factors associated with the increased likelihood of sequential crashes in freeway tunnels. The association rule mining and decision tree methods are employed since both of them are capable of identifying complicated interactions among variables and expressing them in the form of rules. Results show that tunnel length, traffic congestion, time of day, season, and vehicle type are the significant factors influencing the likelihood of sequential crashes in freeway tunnels. More importantly, association rule mining and decision tree analysis reveal that a combination of road/tunnel design, traffic, and environmental factors produces even a higher likelihood of sequential crashes, leading to a series of hazardous situations. For example, when factors including long tunnel and grade ≤ 2%, fourth level, and winter are combined, the proportion of sequential crashes is more than twice the average proportion of sequential crashes in the complete tunnel crash database. Traffic safety management should pay more attention to monitoring these hazardous situations which are more likely to be linked to sequential crashes.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/7128408
spellingShingle Shun Li
Shuai Huang
Jie Wang
Shijian He
Analysis of Factors Affecting the Over-Representation of Sequential Crashes in Freeway Tunnels: Using Rule-Based Data Mining Method
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title Analysis of Factors Affecting the Over-Representation of Sequential Crashes in Freeway Tunnels: Using Rule-Based Data Mining Method
title_full Analysis of Factors Affecting the Over-Representation of Sequential Crashes in Freeway Tunnels: Using Rule-Based Data Mining Method
title_fullStr Analysis of Factors Affecting the Over-Representation of Sequential Crashes in Freeway Tunnels: Using Rule-Based Data Mining Method
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of Factors Affecting the Over-Representation of Sequential Crashes in Freeway Tunnels: Using Rule-Based Data Mining Method
title_short Analysis of Factors Affecting the Over-Representation of Sequential Crashes in Freeway Tunnels: Using Rule-Based Data Mining Method
title_sort analysis of factors affecting the over representation of sequential crashes in freeway tunnels using rule based data mining method
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/7128408
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AT jiewang analysisoffactorsaffectingtheoverrepresentationofsequentialcrashesinfreewaytunnelsusingrulebaseddataminingmethod
AT shijianhe analysisoffactorsaffectingtheoverrepresentationofsequentialcrashesinfreewaytunnelsusingrulebaseddataminingmethod