Enhancing green bean crop maturity and yield prediction by harnessing the power of statistical analysis, crop records and weather data.

Climate change impacts require us to reexamine crop growth and yield under increasing temperatures and continuing yearly climate variability. Agronomic and agro-meteorological variables were concorded for a large number of plantings of green bean (Phaseolus vulgaris L.) in three growing seasons over...

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Main Authors: Miranda Y Mortlock, David Carey, Hamish Murray, Peter J Baker, Paul G Corry
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2025-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0306266
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author Miranda Y Mortlock
David Carey
Hamish Murray
Peter J Baker
Paul G Corry
author_facet Miranda Y Mortlock
David Carey
Hamish Murray
Peter J Baker
Paul G Corry
author_sort Miranda Y Mortlock
collection DOAJ
description Climate change impacts require us to reexamine crop growth and yield under increasing temperatures and continuing yearly climate variability. Agronomic and agro-meteorological variables were concorded for a large number of plantings of green bean (Phaseolus vulgaris L.) in three growing seasons over several years from semi-tropical Queensland. Using the Queensland government's SILO meteorological database matched to sowing dates and crop phenology, we derived planting specific agro-meteorological variables. Linear and nonlinear statistical models were used to predict duration of vegetative and pod filling periods and fresh yield using agro-meteorological variables including thermal time, radiation and days of high temperature stress. High temperatures over 27.5∘C and 30∘C in the pod fill period were associated with a lower fresh bean yield. Differences between specific bean growing sites were examined using our bespoke open source software to derive agro-meteorological variables. Agronomically informed statistical models using production data were useful in predicting time of harvest. These methods can be applied to other commercial crops when crop phenology dates are collected.
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spelling doaj-art-59aadc59900a4e52952c7701737671362025-08-20T03:08:18ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032025-01-01203e030626610.1371/journal.pone.0306266Enhancing green bean crop maturity and yield prediction by harnessing the power of statistical analysis, crop records and weather data.Miranda Y MortlockDavid CareyHamish MurrayPeter J BakerPaul G CorryClimate change impacts require us to reexamine crop growth and yield under increasing temperatures and continuing yearly climate variability. Agronomic and agro-meteorological variables were concorded for a large number of plantings of green bean (Phaseolus vulgaris L.) in three growing seasons over several years from semi-tropical Queensland. Using the Queensland government's SILO meteorological database matched to sowing dates and crop phenology, we derived planting specific agro-meteorological variables. Linear and nonlinear statistical models were used to predict duration of vegetative and pod filling periods and fresh yield using agro-meteorological variables including thermal time, radiation and days of high temperature stress. High temperatures over 27.5∘C and 30∘C in the pod fill period were associated with a lower fresh bean yield. Differences between specific bean growing sites were examined using our bespoke open source software to derive agro-meteorological variables. Agronomically informed statistical models using production data were useful in predicting time of harvest. These methods can be applied to other commercial crops when crop phenology dates are collected.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0306266
spellingShingle Miranda Y Mortlock
David Carey
Hamish Murray
Peter J Baker
Paul G Corry
Enhancing green bean crop maturity and yield prediction by harnessing the power of statistical analysis, crop records and weather data.
PLoS ONE
title Enhancing green bean crop maturity and yield prediction by harnessing the power of statistical analysis, crop records and weather data.
title_full Enhancing green bean crop maturity and yield prediction by harnessing the power of statistical analysis, crop records and weather data.
title_fullStr Enhancing green bean crop maturity and yield prediction by harnessing the power of statistical analysis, crop records and weather data.
title_full_unstemmed Enhancing green bean crop maturity and yield prediction by harnessing the power of statistical analysis, crop records and weather data.
title_short Enhancing green bean crop maturity and yield prediction by harnessing the power of statistical analysis, crop records and weather data.
title_sort enhancing green bean crop maturity and yield prediction by harnessing the power of statistical analysis crop records and weather data
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0306266
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