Network Risk Diffusion and Resilience in Emerging Stock Markets

With the acceleration of globalization, the connections between emerging market economies are becoming increasingly intricate, making it crucial to understand the mechanisms of risk transmission. This study employs the transfer entropy model to analyze risk diffusion and network resilience across te...

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Main Authors: Jiang-Cheng Li, Yi-Zhen Xu, Chen Tao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-05-01
Series:Entropy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/27/5/533
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author Jiang-Cheng Li
Yi-Zhen Xu
Chen Tao
author_facet Jiang-Cheng Li
Yi-Zhen Xu
Chen Tao
author_sort Jiang-Cheng Li
collection DOAJ
description With the acceleration of globalization, the connections between emerging market economies are becoming increasingly intricate, making it crucial to understand the mechanisms of risk transmission. This study employs the transfer entropy model to analyze risk diffusion and network resilience across ten emerging market countries. The findings reveal that Brazil, Mexico, and Saudi Arabia are the primary risk exporters, while countries such as India, South Africa, and Indonesia predominantly act as risk receivers. The research highlights the profound impact of major events such as the 2008 global financial crisis and the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic on risk diffusion, with risk diffusion peaking during the pandemic. Additionally, the study underscores the importance of network resilience, suggesting that certain levels of noise and shocks can enhance resilience and improve network stability. While the global economy gradually recovered following the 2008 financial crisis, the post-pandemic recovery has been slower, with external shocks and noise presenting long-term challenges to network resilience. This study emphasizes the importance of understanding network resilience and risk diffusion mechanisms, offering new insights for managing risk transmission in future global economic crises.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 1099-4300
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publishDate 2025-05-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Entropy
spelling doaj-art-58ae492556a84785915fcec80681cb4e2025-08-20T03:47:49ZengMDPI AGEntropy1099-43002025-05-0127553310.3390/e27050533Network Risk Diffusion and Resilience in Emerging Stock MarketsJiang-Cheng Li0Yi-Zhen Xu1Chen Tao2School of Finance, Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, Kunming 650221, ChinaSchool of Economics, Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, Kunming 650221, ChinaSchool of Economics, Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, Kunming 650221, ChinaWith the acceleration of globalization, the connections between emerging market economies are becoming increasingly intricate, making it crucial to understand the mechanisms of risk transmission. This study employs the transfer entropy model to analyze risk diffusion and network resilience across ten emerging market countries. The findings reveal that Brazil, Mexico, and Saudi Arabia are the primary risk exporters, while countries such as India, South Africa, and Indonesia predominantly act as risk receivers. The research highlights the profound impact of major events such as the 2008 global financial crisis and the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic on risk diffusion, with risk diffusion peaking during the pandemic. Additionally, the study underscores the importance of network resilience, suggesting that certain levels of noise and shocks can enhance resilience and improve network stability. While the global economy gradually recovered following the 2008 financial crisis, the post-pandemic recovery has been slower, with external shocks and noise presenting long-term challenges to network resilience. This study emphasizes the importance of understanding network resilience and risk diffusion mechanisms, offering new insights for managing risk transmission in future global economic crises.https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/27/5/533risk diffusionnetwork resilienceemerging market economiesextreme risk events
spellingShingle Jiang-Cheng Li
Yi-Zhen Xu
Chen Tao
Network Risk Diffusion and Resilience in Emerging Stock Markets
Entropy
risk diffusion
network resilience
emerging market economies
extreme risk events
title Network Risk Diffusion and Resilience in Emerging Stock Markets
title_full Network Risk Diffusion and Resilience in Emerging Stock Markets
title_fullStr Network Risk Diffusion and Resilience in Emerging Stock Markets
title_full_unstemmed Network Risk Diffusion and Resilience in Emerging Stock Markets
title_short Network Risk Diffusion and Resilience in Emerging Stock Markets
title_sort network risk diffusion and resilience in emerging stock markets
topic risk diffusion
network resilience
emerging market economies
extreme risk events
url https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/27/5/533
work_keys_str_mv AT jiangchengli networkriskdiffusionandresilienceinemergingstockmarkets
AT yizhenxu networkriskdiffusionandresilienceinemergingstockmarkets
AT chentao networkriskdiffusionandresilienceinemergingstockmarkets