Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Drought and the Ecohydrological Response in Central Asia

Due to the influences of climate change and human activities, the resources and environments of the “One Belt and One Road” initiative are facing severe challenges. Using drought indicators, this study aimed to analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of the drought environment and the response of...

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Main Authors: Keting Feng, Yanping Cao, Erji Du, Zengguang Zhou, Yaonan Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-01-01
Series:Remote Sensing
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/17/1/166
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author Keting Feng
Yanping Cao
Erji Du
Zengguang Zhou
Yaonan Zhang
author_facet Keting Feng
Yanping Cao
Erji Du
Zengguang Zhou
Yaonan Zhang
author_sort Keting Feng
collection DOAJ
description Due to the influences of climate change and human activities, the resources and environments of the “One Belt and One Road” initiative are facing severe challenges. Using drought indicators, this study aimed to analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of the drought environment and the response of vegetation cover in the area to drought conditions. The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) drought severity index (GRACE-DSI), GRACE water storage deficit index (GRACE-WSDI) and standardized precipitation index (SPI) were calculated to measure hydrological drought. Additionally, based on GRACE and Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) data, groundwater data in Central Asia was retrieved to calculate the groundwater drought index using the GRACE Standardized Groundwater Level Index (GRACE-SGI). The findings indicate that, from 2000, Central Asia’s annual precipitation decreased at a rate of 1.80 mm/year (<i>p</i> < 0.1), and its annual temperature increased slightly, at a rate of 0.008 °C/year (<i>p</i> = 0.62). Water storage decreased significantly at a rate of −3.53 mm/year (<i>p</i> < 0.001) and showed an increase-decrease-increase-decrease pattern. During the study period, the aridity in Central Asia deteriorated, especially on the eastern coast of the Caspian Sea and the Aral Sea basin. After 2020, most of Central Asia experienced droughts at both the hydrological and groundwater droughts levels and of varying lengths and severity. During the growing season, there was a substantial positive association between the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and drought indicators such as GRACE-DSI and GRACE-WSDI. Nonetheless, the NDVI of cultivated land and grassland distribution areas in Central Asia displayed a strong negative correlation with GRACE-SGI. This study concludes that the arid environment in Central Asia affected the growth of vegetation. The ecological system in Central Asia may be put under additional stress if drought conditions continue to worsen. This paper explores the drought characteristics in Central Asia, especially those of groundwater drought, and analyzes the response of vegetation, which is very important for the ecological and environmental protection of the region.
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institution Kabale University
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spelling doaj-art-589232f065fa4e1eaca84688f610c9742025-01-10T13:20:27ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922025-01-0117116610.3390/rs17010166Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Drought and the Ecohydrological Response in Central AsiaKeting Feng0Yanping Cao1Erji Du2Zengguang Zhou3Yaonan Zhang4Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi’an 710061, ChinaFaculty of Geographical Science and Engineering, Henan University, Zhengzhou 450046, ChinaNorthwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, ChinaAerospace Information Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100094, ChinaNorthwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, ChinaDue to the influences of climate change and human activities, the resources and environments of the “One Belt and One Road” initiative are facing severe challenges. Using drought indicators, this study aimed to analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of the drought environment and the response of vegetation cover in the area to drought conditions. The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) drought severity index (GRACE-DSI), GRACE water storage deficit index (GRACE-WSDI) and standardized precipitation index (SPI) were calculated to measure hydrological drought. Additionally, based on GRACE and Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) data, groundwater data in Central Asia was retrieved to calculate the groundwater drought index using the GRACE Standardized Groundwater Level Index (GRACE-SGI). The findings indicate that, from 2000, Central Asia’s annual precipitation decreased at a rate of 1.80 mm/year (<i>p</i> < 0.1), and its annual temperature increased slightly, at a rate of 0.008 °C/year (<i>p</i> = 0.62). Water storage decreased significantly at a rate of −3.53 mm/year (<i>p</i> < 0.001) and showed an increase-decrease-increase-decrease pattern. During the study period, the aridity in Central Asia deteriorated, especially on the eastern coast of the Caspian Sea and the Aral Sea basin. After 2020, most of Central Asia experienced droughts at both the hydrological and groundwater droughts levels and of varying lengths and severity. During the growing season, there was a substantial positive association between the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and drought indicators such as GRACE-DSI and GRACE-WSDI. Nonetheless, the NDVI of cultivated land and grassland distribution areas in Central Asia displayed a strong negative correlation with GRACE-SGI. This study concludes that the arid environment in Central Asia affected the growth of vegetation. The ecological system in Central Asia may be put under additional stress if drought conditions continue to worsen. This paper explores the drought characteristics in Central Asia, especially those of groundwater drought, and analyzes the response of vegetation, which is very important for the ecological and environmental protection of the region.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/17/1/166GRACEdroughtvegetationwater storagegroundwater
spellingShingle Keting Feng
Yanping Cao
Erji Du
Zengguang Zhou
Yaonan Zhang
Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Drought and the Ecohydrological Response in Central Asia
Remote Sensing
GRACE
drought
vegetation
water storage
groundwater
title Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Drought and the Ecohydrological Response in Central Asia
title_full Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Drought and the Ecohydrological Response in Central Asia
title_fullStr Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Drought and the Ecohydrological Response in Central Asia
title_full_unstemmed Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Drought and the Ecohydrological Response in Central Asia
title_short Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Drought and the Ecohydrological Response in Central Asia
title_sort spatiotemporal dynamics of drought and the ecohydrological response in central asia
topic GRACE
drought
vegetation
water storage
groundwater
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/17/1/166
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AT yanpingcao spatiotemporaldynamicsofdroughtandtheecohydrologicalresponseincentralasia
AT erjidu spatiotemporaldynamicsofdroughtandtheecohydrologicalresponseincentralasia
AT zengguangzhou spatiotemporaldynamicsofdroughtandtheecohydrologicalresponseincentralasia
AT yaonanzhang spatiotemporaldynamicsofdroughtandtheecohydrologicalresponseincentralasia