Hotspot analysis of COVID-19 infection in Tokyo based on influx patterns

Abstract We analyse the relationship between population influx and the effective reproduction number in the 23 wards of Tokyo during the COVID-19 pandemic to estimate hotspots of infection. We identify some patterns of population influx via factor analysis and estimate specific areas as infection-re...

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Main Authors: Yu Kimura, Tatsunori Seki, Keisuke Chujo, Toshiki Murata, Tomoaki Sakurai, Satoshi Miyata, Hiroyasu Inoue, Nobuyasu Ito
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-01-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-82962-y
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author Yu Kimura
Tatsunori Seki
Keisuke Chujo
Toshiki Murata
Tomoaki Sakurai
Satoshi Miyata
Hiroyasu Inoue
Nobuyasu Ito
author_facet Yu Kimura
Tatsunori Seki
Keisuke Chujo
Toshiki Murata
Tomoaki Sakurai
Satoshi Miyata
Hiroyasu Inoue
Nobuyasu Ito
author_sort Yu Kimura
collection DOAJ
description Abstract We analyse the relationship between population influx and the effective reproduction number in the 23 wards of Tokyo during the COVID-19 pandemic to estimate hotspots of infection. We identify some patterns of population influx via factor analysis and estimate specific areas as infection-related hotspots by focusing on influx patterns that are highly correlated with the effective reproduction number. As a result, several influx patterns are assumed to be directly related to the subsequent spread of the infection. This analytical method has the potential to detect unknown hotspots related to pandemics in the future.
format Article
id doaj-art-5809ebfafe08403f9642384f9fa53f1a
institution Kabale University
issn 2045-2322
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
record_format Article
series Scientific Reports
spelling doaj-art-5809ebfafe08403f9642384f9fa53f1a2025-01-12T12:24:31ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-01-0115111110.1038/s41598-024-82962-yHotspot analysis of COVID-19 infection in Tokyo based on influx patternsYu Kimura0Tatsunori Seki1Keisuke Chujo2Toshiki Murata3Tomoaki Sakurai4Satoshi Miyata5Hiroyasu Inoue6Nobuyasu Ito7SoftBank CorporationSoftBank CorporationSoftBank CorporationSoftBank CorporationSoftBank CorporationSoftBank CorporationGraduate School of Information Science, University of HyogoRIKEN Center for Computational ScienceAbstract We analyse the relationship between population influx and the effective reproduction number in the 23 wards of Tokyo during the COVID-19 pandemic to estimate hotspots of infection. We identify some patterns of population influx via factor analysis and estimate specific areas as infection-related hotspots by focusing on influx patterns that are highly correlated with the effective reproduction number. As a result, several influx patterns are assumed to be directly related to the subsequent spread of the infection. This analytical method has the potential to detect unknown hotspots related to pandemics in the future.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-82962-y
spellingShingle Yu Kimura
Tatsunori Seki
Keisuke Chujo
Toshiki Murata
Tomoaki Sakurai
Satoshi Miyata
Hiroyasu Inoue
Nobuyasu Ito
Hotspot analysis of COVID-19 infection in Tokyo based on influx patterns
Scientific Reports
title Hotspot analysis of COVID-19 infection in Tokyo based on influx patterns
title_full Hotspot analysis of COVID-19 infection in Tokyo based on influx patterns
title_fullStr Hotspot analysis of COVID-19 infection in Tokyo based on influx patterns
title_full_unstemmed Hotspot analysis of COVID-19 infection in Tokyo based on influx patterns
title_short Hotspot analysis of COVID-19 infection in Tokyo based on influx patterns
title_sort hotspot analysis of covid 19 infection in tokyo based on influx patterns
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-82962-y
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