How can the “resource curse” be broken? Transition factor flows, the urban life cycle and value chain upgrades in resource-based cities

Abstract Resource-based cities (RBCs) face persistent challenges from the “resource curse,” making industrial transition imperative for sustainable development. While the necessity of this transition is clear, the optimal pathways for implementation remain debated. This study investigates how extern...

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Main Authors: Shuo Lu, Jiaming Li, Wenzhong Zhang, Fan Xiao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer Nature 2025-02-01
Series:Humanities & Social Sciences Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-025-04518-3
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author Shuo Lu
Jiaming Li
Wenzhong Zhang
Fan Xiao
author_facet Shuo Lu
Jiaming Li
Wenzhong Zhang
Fan Xiao
author_sort Shuo Lu
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Resource-based cities (RBCs) face persistent challenges from the “resource curse,” making industrial transition imperative for sustainable development. While the necessity of this transition is clear, the optimal pathways for implementation remain debated. This study investigates how external factor flows drive national value chain (NVC) upgrading in RBCs across different development stages. This study uses a city-level multiregional input-output table and a dynamic panel model to analyse how technology, capital, and labor flows affect the NVC positions of resource- and nonresource-based sectors across 80 Chinese RBCs. Our findings reveal that external technology and capital inflows enhance overall NVC positions, with capital specifically boosting resource-based sectors and both factors elevating nonresource-based sectors. The effectiveness of these factors varies significantly across urban development periods: during the growth period, capital and skilled labor drive respective upgrades in resource- and nonresource-based sectors. During the maturity period, technology inhibits the upgrading, with capital only restraining the upgrading of nonresource-based sectors and skilled labor upgrading nonresource-based sectors. During the depletion period, only capital drives the upgrading of resource-based sectors. In the regeneration period, technology drives the upgrading of both resource- and nonresource-based sectors, whereas capital and skilled labor drive the upgrading of nonresource- and resource-based sectors, respectively. These findings offer strategic guidance for RBC policymakers to align external engagement strategies with specific development stages, advancing sustainable development goals.
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spelling doaj-art-56eb02b297ae4883a6d02065fa87ecd92025-08-20T02:15:06ZengSpringer NatureHumanities & Social Sciences Communications2662-99922025-02-0112111510.1057/s41599-025-04518-3How can the “resource curse” be broken? Transition factor flows, the urban life cycle and value chain upgrades in resource-based citiesShuo Lu0Jiaming Li1Wenzhong Zhang2Fan Xiao3Key Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of SciencesKey Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of SciencesKey Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of SciencesSchool of Geography, South China Normal University, GuangzhouAbstract Resource-based cities (RBCs) face persistent challenges from the “resource curse,” making industrial transition imperative for sustainable development. While the necessity of this transition is clear, the optimal pathways for implementation remain debated. This study investigates how external factor flows drive national value chain (NVC) upgrading in RBCs across different development stages. This study uses a city-level multiregional input-output table and a dynamic panel model to analyse how technology, capital, and labor flows affect the NVC positions of resource- and nonresource-based sectors across 80 Chinese RBCs. Our findings reveal that external technology and capital inflows enhance overall NVC positions, with capital specifically boosting resource-based sectors and both factors elevating nonresource-based sectors. The effectiveness of these factors varies significantly across urban development periods: during the growth period, capital and skilled labor drive respective upgrades in resource- and nonresource-based sectors. During the maturity period, technology inhibits the upgrading, with capital only restraining the upgrading of nonresource-based sectors and skilled labor upgrading nonresource-based sectors. During the depletion period, only capital drives the upgrading of resource-based sectors. In the regeneration period, technology drives the upgrading of both resource- and nonresource-based sectors, whereas capital and skilled labor drive the upgrading of nonresource- and resource-based sectors, respectively. These findings offer strategic guidance for RBC policymakers to align external engagement strategies with specific development stages, advancing sustainable development goals.https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-025-04518-3
spellingShingle Shuo Lu
Jiaming Li
Wenzhong Zhang
Fan Xiao
How can the “resource curse” be broken? Transition factor flows, the urban life cycle and value chain upgrades in resource-based cities
Humanities & Social Sciences Communications
title How can the “resource curse” be broken? Transition factor flows, the urban life cycle and value chain upgrades in resource-based cities
title_full How can the “resource curse” be broken? Transition factor flows, the urban life cycle and value chain upgrades in resource-based cities
title_fullStr How can the “resource curse” be broken? Transition factor flows, the urban life cycle and value chain upgrades in resource-based cities
title_full_unstemmed How can the “resource curse” be broken? Transition factor flows, the urban life cycle and value chain upgrades in resource-based cities
title_short How can the “resource curse” be broken? Transition factor flows, the urban life cycle and value chain upgrades in resource-based cities
title_sort how can the resource curse be broken transition factor flows the urban life cycle and value chain upgrades in resource based cities
url https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-025-04518-3
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AT wenzhongzhang howcantheresourcecursebebrokentransitionfactorflowstheurbanlifecycleandvaluechainupgradesinresourcebasedcities
AT fanxiao howcantheresourcecursebebrokentransitionfactorflowstheurbanlifecycleandvaluechainupgradesinresourcebasedcities