Multiple hazards and population change in Japan’s Suzu City after the 2024 Noto Peninsula Earthquake

The earthquake that struck Japan’s Noto Peninsula on January 1, 2024, caused extensive damage, leading to the first major tsunami warning since the 2011 Tohoku earthquake. It remains unclear where people moved immediately after the earthquake and how earthquake-induced multiple hazards affected huma...

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Main Authors: Shohei Nagata, Erick Mas, Yuriko Takeda, Tomoki Nakaya, Shunichi Koshimura
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-01-01
Series:Progress in Disaster Science
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000863
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author Shohei Nagata
Erick Mas
Yuriko Takeda
Tomoki Nakaya
Shunichi Koshimura
author_facet Shohei Nagata
Erick Mas
Yuriko Takeda
Tomoki Nakaya
Shunichi Koshimura
author_sort Shohei Nagata
collection DOAJ
description The earthquake that struck Japan’s Noto Peninsula on January 1, 2024, caused extensive damage, leading to the first major tsunami warning since the 2011 Tohoku earthquake. It remains unclear where people moved immediately after the earthquake and how earthquake-induced multiple hazards affected human mobility, reflecting evacuation movement. This study examines the human mobility change in Suzu City, severely damaged by strong ground shaking and multiple hazards, including tsunamis and liquefaction, from January 1 to January 3, 2024, using population estimates based on cell phone networks. Specifically, we unravel the detailed spatiotemporal changes in population distribution in the affected areas, reflecting evacuation from the tsunami and other multiple hazard factors. Our results reveal that immediately after the earthquake, people concentrated in inland areas, suggesting that the major tsunami warning facilitated the evacuation from the coast to inland areas. Furthermore, the sense of strong ground shaking and tsunami inundation risk may have triggered tsunami evacuation. A clear drop in population was delayed by one to two days after the earthquake in areas with a high liquefaction potential and landslide occurrence. This study’s outcomes contribute to a better understanding of human mobility during disasters, thereby aiding future disaster-management decisions.
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spelling doaj-art-56dcd44d780b433cb959f8dccf72effb2025-08-20T02:55:04ZengElsevierProgress in Disaster Science2590-06172025-01-012510039610.1016/j.pdisas.2024.100396Multiple hazards and population change in Japan’s Suzu City after the 2024 Noto Peninsula EarthquakeShohei Nagata0Erick Mas1Yuriko Takeda2Tomoki Nakaya3Shunichi Koshimura4International Research Institute of Disaster Science, Tohoku University, 468-1 Aoba, Aramaki, Aoba-ku, Sendai 980-8572, Japan; Corresponding author.International Research Institute of Disaster Science, Tohoku University, 468-1 Aoba, Aramaki, Aoba-ku, Sendai 980-8572, JapanInternational Research Institute of Disaster Science, Tohoku University, 468-1 Aoba, Aramaki, Aoba-ku, Sendai 980-8572, JapanGraduate School of Environmental Studies, Tohoku University, 468-1 Aoba, Aramaki, Aoba-ku, Sendai 980-0845, Japan; Department of Earth Science, Graduate School of Science, Tohoku University, 6-3 Aramaki-Aza-Aoba, Aoba-Ku, Sendai 980-8578, JapanInternational Research Institute of Disaster Science, Tohoku University, 468-1 Aoba, Aramaki, Aoba-ku, Sendai 980-8572, JapanThe earthquake that struck Japan’s Noto Peninsula on January 1, 2024, caused extensive damage, leading to the first major tsunami warning since the 2011 Tohoku earthquake. It remains unclear where people moved immediately after the earthquake and how earthquake-induced multiple hazards affected human mobility, reflecting evacuation movement. This study examines the human mobility change in Suzu City, severely damaged by strong ground shaking and multiple hazards, including tsunamis and liquefaction, from January 1 to January 3, 2024, using population estimates based on cell phone networks. Specifically, we unravel the detailed spatiotemporal changes in population distribution in the affected areas, reflecting evacuation from the tsunami and other multiple hazard factors. Our results reveal that immediately after the earthquake, people concentrated in inland areas, suggesting that the major tsunami warning facilitated the evacuation from the coast to inland areas. Furthermore, the sense of strong ground shaking and tsunami inundation risk may have triggered tsunami evacuation. A clear drop in population was delayed by one to two days after the earthquake in areas with a high liquefaction potential and landslide occurrence. This study’s outcomes contribute to a better understanding of human mobility during disasters, thereby aiding future disaster-management decisions.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S25900617240008632024 Noto Peninsula EarthquakeTsunamiEvacuationHuman mobilityPopulation change
spellingShingle Shohei Nagata
Erick Mas
Yuriko Takeda
Tomoki Nakaya
Shunichi Koshimura
Multiple hazards and population change in Japan’s Suzu City after the 2024 Noto Peninsula Earthquake
Progress in Disaster Science
2024 Noto Peninsula Earthquake
Tsunami
Evacuation
Human mobility
Population change
title Multiple hazards and population change in Japan’s Suzu City after the 2024 Noto Peninsula Earthquake
title_full Multiple hazards and population change in Japan’s Suzu City after the 2024 Noto Peninsula Earthquake
title_fullStr Multiple hazards and population change in Japan’s Suzu City after the 2024 Noto Peninsula Earthquake
title_full_unstemmed Multiple hazards and population change in Japan’s Suzu City after the 2024 Noto Peninsula Earthquake
title_short Multiple hazards and population change in Japan’s Suzu City after the 2024 Noto Peninsula Earthquake
title_sort multiple hazards and population change in japan s suzu city after the 2024 noto peninsula earthquake
topic 2024 Noto Peninsula Earthquake
Tsunami
Evacuation
Human mobility
Population change
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061724000863
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