The Spatiotemporal Pattern Evolution Characteristics of Ship Traffic on the Arctic Northeast Passage Based on AIS Data

Warming weather has led to melting sea ice, and increasingly complex global geopolitics has drawn more countries’ attention to the Arctic. The Arctic Northeast Passage, as an emerging route connecting Eurasia, has seen a sharp increase in vessel activity. The period from 2015 to 2020, being a stable...

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Main Authors: Changrong Li, Zhenfu Li, Chunrui Song
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-09-01
Series:Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/12/9/1508
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author Changrong Li
Zhenfu Li
Chunrui Song
author_facet Changrong Li
Zhenfu Li
Chunrui Song
author_sort Changrong Li
collection DOAJ
description Warming weather has led to melting sea ice, and increasingly complex global geopolitics has drawn more countries’ attention to the Arctic. The Arctic Northeast Passage, as an emerging route connecting Eurasia, has seen a sharp increase in vessel activity. The period from 2015 to 2020, being a stable and undisturbed data period, is of significant theoretical importance for exploring the natural development of the Arctic Northeast Passage. The study found that the research period can be divided into three stages: from 2015 to 2017, the number of vessels grew slowly. In 2018 and 2019, the number of vessels and vessel activities saw significant growth, but an unexpected reverse growth occurred in 2020. Different types of vessels have unique activity characteristics and evolutionary patterns, influenced by the Arctic’s unique geographical environment, abundant natural resources, deepening Sino-Russian cooperation, and increasing global trade supply and demand. The results of this study aim to provide policymakers with analysis based on the initial development stage of the route, offering data support for future policy formulation, route planning, and research on the navigation safety of vessels on the Arctic Northeast Passage.
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publishDate 2024-09-01
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spelling doaj-art-56b0bfc27bc3445b8d8c6e7c1bea9bac2025-08-20T01:55:34ZengMDPI AGJournal of Marine Science and Engineering2077-13122024-09-01129150810.3390/jmse12091508The Spatiotemporal Pattern Evolution Characteristics of Ship Traffic on the Arctic Northeast Passage Based on AIS DataChangrong Li0Zhenfu Li1Chunrui Song2College of Transportation Engineering, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 110626, ChinaCollege of Transportation Engineering, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 110626, ChinaCollege of Transportation Engineering, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 110626, ChinaWarming weather has led to melting sea ice, and increasingly complex global geopolitics has drawn more countries’ attention to the Arctic. The Arctic Northeast Passage, as an emerging route connecting Eurasia, has seen a sharp increase in vessel activity. The period from 2015 to 2020, being a stable and undisturbed data period, is of significant theoretical importance for exploring the natural development of the Arctic Northeast Passage. The study found that the research period can be divided into three stages: from 2015 to 2017, the number of vessels grew slowly. In 2018 and 2019, the number of vessels and vessel activities saw significant growth, but an unexpected reverse growth occurred in 2020. Different types of vessels have unique activity characteristics and evolutionary patterns, influenced by the Arctic’s unique geographical environment, abundant natural resources, deepening Sino-Russian cooperation, and increasing global trade supply and demand. The results of this study aim to provide policymakers with analysis based on the initial development stage of the route, offering data support for future policy formulation, route planning, and research on the navigation safety of vessels on the Arctic Northeast Passage.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/12/9/1508Arctic Northeast Passagespatiotemporal patternsAIS Data
spellingShingle Changrong Li
Zhenfu Li
Chunrui Song
The Spatiotemporal Pattern Evolution Characteristics of Ship Traffic on the Arctic Northeast Passage Based on AIS Data
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
Arctic Northeast Passage
spatiotemporal patterns
AIS Data
title The Spatiotemporal Pattern Evolution Characteristics of Ship Traffic on the Arctic Northeast Passage Based on AIS Data
title_full The Spatiotemporal Pattern Evolution Characteristics of Ship Traffic on the Arctic Northeast Passage Based on AIS Data
title_fullStr The Spatiotemporal Pattern Evolution Characteristics of Ship Traffic on the Arctic Northeast Passage Based on AIS Data
title_full_unstemmed The Spatiotemporal Pattern Evolution Characteristics of Ship Traffic on the Arctic Northeast Passage Based on AIS Data
title_short The Spatiotemporal Pattern Evolution Characteristics of Ship Traffic on the Arctic Northeast Passage Based on AIS Data
title_sort spatiotemporal pattern evolution characteristics of ship traffic on the arctic northeast passage based on ais data
topic Arctic Northeast Passage
spatiotemporal patterns
AIS Data
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/12/9/1508
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