Effects of Jet Break on Summer Precipitation in Central Asia

Abstract The intensity and position of the westerly jet influence precipitation in Central Asia, while the impact of its structural changes on precipitation remains underexplored. This study defines a Jet Break Index based on ERA5 reanalysis data to examine how jet break events affect summer precipi...

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Main Authors: Mingzhen Gu, Jiali Luo, Nanxuan Jiang, Lei Wang, Zhiting Wang, Fuhai Luo, Chongyang Zhang, Xufan Xia, Jiankai Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-07-01
Series:Geophysical Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL116349
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author Mingzhen Gu
Jiali Luo
Nanxuan Jiang
Lei Wang
Zhiting Wang
Fuhai Luo
Chongyang Zhang
Xufan Xia
Jiankai Zhang
author_facet Mingzhen Gu
Jiali Luo
Nanxuan Jiang
Lei Wang
Zhiting Wang
Fuhai Luo
Chongyang Zhang
Xufan Xia
Jiankai Zhang
author_sort Mingzhen Gu
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The intensity and position of the westerly jet influence precipitation in Central Asia, while the impact of its structural changes on precipitation remains underexplored. This study defines a Jet Break Index based on ERA5 reanalysis data to examine how jet break events affect summer precipitation in the region. Results show that the index, derived using relative vorticity at 200 hPa, effectively identifies jet break events. The convergence and southward strengthening of Rossby waves as they propagate into Central Asia lead to jet break and trigger tropopause folding events. As stratospheric air intrudes into the troposphere, the resulting disturbance induces ascending (descending) motion in the downstream (upstream) region and is accompanied by positive (negative) vertical moisture advection contributions, thereby enhancing (suppressing) precipitation accordingly. These findings highlight the significant impact of jet break on precipitation anomalies and its implications for forecasting over Central Asia.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 0094-8276
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language English
publishDate 2025-07-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Geophysical Research Letters
spelling doaj-art-560049a2f4514ade9133d0a486d07e202025-08-20T03:58:44ZengWileyGeophysical Research Letters0094-82761944-80072025-07-015214n/an/a10.1029/2025GL116349Effects of Jet Break on Summer Precipitation in Central AsiaMingzhen Gu0Jiali Luo1Nanxuan Jiang2Lei Wang3Zhiting Wang4Fuhai Luo5Chongyang Zhang6Xufan Xia7Jiankai Zhang8College of Atmospheric Sciences Lanzhou University Lanzhou ChinaCollege of Atmospheric Sciences Lanzhou University Lanzhou ChinaClimate Change Research Centre Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing ChinaDepartment of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences & Institute of Atmospheric Sciences Fudan University Shanghai ChinaCollege of Atmospheric Sciences Lanzhou University Lanzhou ChinaSchool of Systems Science Beijing Normal University Beijing ChinaCollege of Atmospheric Sciences Lanzhou University Lanzhou ChinaCollege of Atmospheric Sciences Lanzhou University Lanzhou ChinaCollege of Atmospheric Sciences Lanzhou University Lanzhou ChinaAbstract The intensity and position of the westerly jet influence precipitation in Central Asia, while the impact of its structural changes on precipitation remains underexplored. This study defines a Jet Break Index based on ERA5 reanalysis data to examine how jet break events affect summer precipitation in the region. Results show that the index, derived using relative vorticity at 200 hPa, effectively identifies jet break events. The convergence and southward strengthening of Rossby waves as they propagate into Central Asia lead to jet break and trigger tropopause folding events. As stratospheric air intrudes into the troposphere, the resulting disturbance induces ascending (descending) motion in the downstream (upstream) region and is accompanied by positive (negative) vertical moisture advection contributions, thereby enhancing (suppressing) precipitation accordingly. These findings highlight the significant impact of jet break on precipitation anomalies and its implications for forecasting over Central Asia.https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL116349westerly jetCentral AsiaprecipitationRossby wavestropopause folding
spellingShingle Mingzhen Gu
Jiali Luo
Nanxuan Jiang
Lei Wang
Zhiting Wang
Fuhai Luo
Chongyang Zhang
Xufan Xia
Jiankai Zhang
Effects of Jet Break on Summer Precipitation in Central Asia
Geophysical Research Letters
westerly jet
Central Asia
precipitation
Rossby waves
tropopause folding
title Effects of Jet Break on Summer Precipitation in Central Asia
title_full Effects of Jet Break on Summer Precipitation in Central Asia
title_fullStr Effects of Jet Break on Summer Precipitation in Central Asia
title_full_unstemmed Effects of Jet Break on Summer Precipitation in Central Asia
title_short Effects of Jet Break on Summer Precipitation in Central Asia
title_sort effects of jet break on summer precipitation in central asia
topic westerly jet
Central Asia
precipitation
Rossby waves
tropopause folding
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL116349
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AT nanxuanjiang effectsofjetbreakonsummerprecipitationincentralasia
AT leiwang effectsofjetbreakonsummerprecipitationincentralasia
AT zhitingwang effectsofjetbreakonsummerprecipitationincentralasia
AT fuhailuo effectsofjetbreakonsummerprecipitationincentralasia
AT chongyangzhang effectsofjetbreakonsummerprecipitationincentralasia
AT xufanxia effectsofjetbreakonsummerprecipitationincentralasia
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