High resolution assessment of air quality and health in Europe under different climate mitigation scenarios
Abstract Climate change mitigation policies lower greenhouse gas emissions and generally reduce fine particulate matter (P M 2.5) concentrations, hereby bringing health co-benefits. Yet, the spatial and distributional air quality co-benefits in Europe of such policies are not fully understood. Here,...
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Nature Portfolio
2025-06-01
|
| Series: | Nature Communications |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-60449-2 |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1849725053690707968 |
|---|---|
| author | Enrico Pisoni Stefano Zauli-Sajani Claudio A. Belis Sasha Khomenko Philippe Thunis Corrado Motta Rita Van Dingenen Bertrand Bessagnet Fabio Monforti-Ferrario Joachim Maes Luc Feyen |
| author_facet | Enrico Pisoni Stefano Zauli-Sajani Claudio A. Belis Sasha Khomenko Philippe Thunis Corrado Motta Rita Van Dingenen Bertrand Bessagnet Fabio Monforti-Ferrario Joachim Maes Luc Feyen |
| author_sort | Enrico Pisoni |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Climate change mitigation policies lower greenhouse gas emissions and generally reduce fine particulate matter (P M 2.5) concentrations, hereby bringing health co-benefits. Yet, the spatial and distributional air quality co-benefits in Europe of such policies are not fully understood. Here, We quantify premature mortality from air pollution in 1366 regions of Europe for different scenarios obtained from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6. We model P M 2.5 concentrations at high spatial resolution and then combine it with population data and regional age structure and total mortality, to calculate attributable deaths. We find that the share of the European population meeting WHO (World Health Organization) guideline value for P M 2.5 could exceed 90% by 2100 under the most ambitious scenario, while less than 10% under the least ambitious one. Corresponding premature deaths in Europe would total 67,000 (95% CI: 13,000–141,000) per year by the end of the century compared to 282,000 (95% CI: 202,000–364,000). |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-55da0c8bf6924ed9ad0e4eed69c0687c |
| institution | DOAJ |
| issn | 2041-1723 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-06-01 |
| publisher | Nature Portfolio |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Nature Communications |
| spelling | doaj-art-55da0c8bf6924ed9ad0e4eed69c0687c2025-08-20T03:10:34ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232025-06-0116111110.1038/s41467-025-60449-2High resolution assessment of air quality and health in Europe under different climate mitigation scenariosEnrico Pisoni0Stefano Zauli-Sajani1Claudio A. Belis2Sasha Khomenko3Philippe Thunis4Corrado Motta5Rita Van Dingenen6Bertrand Bessagnet7Fabio Monforti-Ferrario8Joachim Maes9Luc Feyen10European Commission, Joint Research CentreEuropean Commission, Joint Research CentreEuropean Commission, Joint Research CentreInstitute for Global Health (ISGlobal)European Commission, Joint Research CentreArcadia SITEuropean Commission, Joint Research CentreEuropean Commission, Joint Research CentreEuropean Commission, Joint Research CentreEuropean Commission, Directorate-General for Regional and Urban PolicyEuropean Commission, Joint Research CentreAbstract Climate change mitigation policies lower greenhouse gas emissions and generally reduce fine particulate matter (P M 2.5) concentrations, hereby bringing health co-benefits. Yet, the spatial and distributional air quality co-benefits in Europe of such policies are not fully understood. Here, We quantify premature mortality from air pollution in 1366 regions of Europe for different scenarios obtained from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6. We model P M 2.5 concentrations at high spatial resolution and then combine it with population data and regional age structure and total mortality, to calculate attributable deaths. We find that the share of the European population meeting WHO (World Health Organization) guideline value for P M 2.5 could exceed 90% by 2100 under the most ambitious scenario, while less than 10% under the least ambitious one. Corresponding premature deaths in Europe would total 67,000 (95% CI: 13,000–141,000) per year by the end of the century compared to 282,000 (95% CI: 202,000–364,000).https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-60449-2 |
| spellingShingle | Enrico Pisoni Stefano Zauli-Sajani Claudio A. Belis Sasha Khomenko Philippe Thunis Corrado Motta Rita Van Dingenen Bertrand Bessagnet Fabio Monforti-Ferrario Joachim Maes Luc Feyen High resolution assessment of air quality and health in Europe under different climate mitigation scenarios Nature Communications |
| title | High resolution assessment of air quality and health in Europe under different climate mitigation scenarios |
| title_full | High resolution assessment of air quality and health in Europe under different climate mitigation scenarios |
| title_fullStr | High resolution assessment of air quality and health in Europe under different climate mitigation scenarios |
| title_full_unstemmed | High resolution assessment of air quality and health in Europe under different climate mitigation scenarios |
| title_short | High resolution assessment of air quality and health in Europe under different climate mitigation scenarios |
| title_sort | high resolution assessment of air quality and health in europe under different climate mitigation scenarios |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-60449-2 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT enricopisoni highresolutionassessmentofairqualityandhealthineuropeunderdifferentclimatemitigationscenarios AT stefanozaulisajani highresolutionassessmentofairqualityandhealthineuropeunderdifferentclimatemitigationscenarios AT claudioabelis highresolutionassessmentofairqualityandhealthineuropeunderdifferentclimatemitigationscenarios AT sashakhomenko highresolutionassessmentofairqualityandhealthineuropeunderdifferentclimatemitigationscenarios AT philippethunis highresolutionassessmentofairqualityandhealthineuropeunderdifferentclimatemitigationscenarios AT corradomotta highresolutionassessmentofairqualityandhealthineuropeunderdifferentclimatemitigationscenarios AT ritavandingenen highresolutionassessmentofairqualityandhealthineuropeunderdifferentclimatemitigationscenarios AT bertrandbessagnet highresolutionassessmentofairqualityandhealthineuropeunderdifferentclimatemitigationscenarios AT fabiomonfortiferrario highresolutionassessmentofairqualityandhealthineuropeunderdifferentclimatemitigationscenarios AT joachimmaes highresolutionassessmentofairqualityandhealthineuropeunderdifferentclimatemitigationscenarios AT lucfeyen highresolutionassessmentofairqualityandhealthineuropeunderdifferentclimatemitigationscenarios |