Breakthrough of Lake Progress (East Antarctica): a phenomenological model and approaches to assessing the characteristics of a flash flood

On January 14, 2019, a breakthrough of water masses occurred on the Lake Progress (the oasis of the Larsemann hills, East Antarctica) with the formation of a flash flood. During the summer field seasons of the 63rd and 64th Russian Antarctic Expeditions (2017–2019), comprehensive hydrological, GPR a...

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Main Authors: G. V. Pryakhina, A. A. Chetverova, S. D. Grigorieva, A. S. Boronina, S. V. Popov
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Nauka 2020-11-01
Series:Лëд и снег
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Online Access:https://ice-snow.igras.ru/jour/article/view/846
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author G. V. Pryakhina
A. A. Chetverova
S. D. Grigorieva
A. S. Boronina
S. V. Popov
author_facet G. V. Pryakhina
A. A. Chetverova
S. D. Grigorieva
A. S. Boronina
S. V. Popov
author_sort G. V. Pryakhina
collection DOAJ
description On January 14, 2019, a breakthrough of water masses occurred on the Lake Progress (the oasis of the Larsemann hills, East Antarctica) with the formation of a flash flood. During the summer field seasons of the 63rd and 64th Russian Antarctic Expeditions (2017–2019), comprehensive hydrological, GPR and geodetic surveys were conducted in this area to ensure the safety of transport operations. The results of field measurements and calculations based on mathematical modeling of the breakthrough flood from the Lake are presented. The purpose of this study was to compare field observations and model calculations of the breakthrough flood and then to verify the existing model of Yu.B. Vinogradov on real data, since detailed observations of breakthrough floods of lakes of the Antarctic oases have not been previously carried out. The results of complex hydrological and geophysical investigations of LH73–Progress–Sibtorp lake system focused on areas where lake outburst are possible (snow-ice dams) made possible to formulate phenomenological model of the outburst process. It was emphasized that the lake water was discharged through a tunnel developed in the snow–ice dam, which subsequently evolved into a real riverbed. The maximum water discharge was formed approximately in 7.5 h after the start of the outflow, and it was estimated 5.4 m3s-1 according to the in-situ measurements, and 4.94 m3s-1 – by the model. The calculated volume of the flood is 76 320 m3. The differences between the model and in-situ measurements are about 9% that can be explained by the fact that the time of water retention by the snow-ice dam is not considered in the model.
format Article
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spelling doaj-art-55c228c0ce594f3dac23d5079a0f2c2e2025-08-20T03:00:45ZrusNaukaЛëд и снег2076-67342412-37652020-11-0160461362210.31857/S2076673420040065641Breakthrough of Lake Progress (East Antarctica): a phenomenological model and approaches to assessing the characteristics of a flash floodG. V. Pryakhina0A. A. Chetverova1S. D. Grigorieva2A. S. Boronina3S. V. Popov4Saint Petersburg State UniversitySaint Petersburg State University; Arctic and Antarctic Research InstituteArctic and Antarctic Research Institute; Saint Petersburg State UniversitySaint Petersburg State UniversityPolar Marine Geosurvey Expedition; Saint Petersburg State UniversityOn January 14, 2019, a breakthrough of water masses occurred on the Lake Progress (the oasis of the Larsemann hills, East Antarctica) with the formation of a flash flood. During the summer field seasons of the 63rd and 64th Russian Antarctic Expeditions (2017–2019), comprehensive hydrological, GPR and geodetic surveys were conducted in this area to ensure the safety of transport operations. The results of field measurements and calculations based on mathematical modeling of the breakthrough flood from the Lake are presented. The purpose of this study was to compare field observations and model calculations of the breakthrough flood and then to verify the existing model of Yu.B. Vinogradov on real data, since detailed observations of breakthrough floods of lakes of the Antarctic oases have not been previously carried out. The results of complex hydrological and geophysical investigations of LH73–Progress–Sibtorp lake system focused on areas where lake outburst are possible (snow-ice dams) made possible to formulate phenomenological model of the outburst process. It was emphasized that the lake water was discharged through a tunnel developed in the snow–ice dam, which subsequently evolved into a real riverbed. The maximum water discharge was formed approximately in 7.5 h after the start of the outflow, and it was estimated 5.4 m3s-1 according to the in-situ measurements, and 4.94 m3s-1 – by the model. The calculated volume of the flood is 76 320 m3. The differences between the model and in-situ measurements are about 9% that can be explained by the fact that the time of water retention by the snow-ice dam is not considered in the model.https://ice-snow.igras.ru/jour/article/view/846antarctic lakeseast antarcticageophysicshydrograph modelinghydrologyoutburst/breakthrough floodprogress station
spellingShingle G. V. Pryakhina
A. A. Chetverova
S. D. Grigorieva
A. S. Boronina
S. V. Popov
Breakthrough of Lake Progress (East Antarctica): a phenomenological model and approaches to assessing the characteristics of a flash flood
Лëд и снег
antarctic lakes
east antarctica
geophysics
hydrograph modeling
hydrology
outburst/breakthrough flood
progress station
title Breakthrough of Lake Progress (East Antarctica): a phenomenological model and approaches to assessing the characteristics of a flash flood
title_full Breakthrough of Lake Progress (East Antarctica): a phenomenological model and approaches to assessing the characteristics of a flash flood
title_fullStr Breakthrough of Lake Progress (East Antarctica): a phenomenological model and approaches to assessing the characteristics of a flash flood
title_full_unstemmed Breakthrough of Lake Progress (East Antarctica): a phenomenological model and approaches to assessing the characteristics of a flash flood
title_short Breakthrough of Lake Progress (East Antarctica): a phenomenological model and approaches to assessing the characteristics of a flash flood
title_sort breakthrough of lake progress east antarctica a phenomenological model and approaches to assessing the characteristics of a flash flood
topic antarctic lakes
east antarctica
geophysics
hydrograph modeling
hydrology
outburst/breakthrough flood
progress station
url https://ice-snow.igras.ru/jour/article/view/846
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