Global marine modeling of CO2 hydrate stability

Abstract Hydrates have recently come to the forefront because of their importance for the environmental impact and subsurface exploration. However, the conditions that affect their stability, particularly in the marine environment, are not yet fully understood. This study presents a static model on...

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Main Authors: Umberta Tinivella, Michela Giustiniani
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-07-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-10802-8
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author Umberta Tinivella
Michela Giustiniani
author_facet Umberta Tinivella
Michela Giustiniani
author_sort Umberta Tinivella
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Hydrates have recently come to the forefront because of their importance for the environmental impact and subsurface exploration. However, the conditions that affect their stability, particularly in the marine environment, are not yet fully understood. This study presents a static model on a global scale to assess CO2 hydrate stability. This analysis allowed evaluating the effects of salinity, sea water depth and geothermal gradient changes on CO2 hydrate stability also taking into account the thickness of the porous media. The results indicate that shallow water depth and low geothermal gradient favour the formation of CO2 hydrates. Furthermore, this modelling suggests that the actual salinity values rather than assuming constant values significantly improves the accuracy of stability predictions. A focus analysis was performed in the polar regions, where environmental conditions are most favourable for CO2 hydrate formation. The results provide a comprehensive global understanding of CO2 hydrate formation and optimal conditions, facilitating future local-scale applications.
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spelling doaj-art-5527d76f08eb4fa680bc21a3362a835b2025-08-20T03:05:22ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-07-0115111210.1038/s41598-025-10802-8Global marine modeling of CO2 hydrate stabilityUmberta Tinivella0Michela Giustiniani1Istituto Nazionale di Oceanografia e di Geofisica Sperimentale – OGSIstituto Nazionale di Oceanografia e di Geofisica Sperimentale – OGSAbstract Hydrates have recently come to the forefront because of their importance for the environmental impact and subsurface exploration. However, the conditions that affect their stability, particularly in the marine environment, are not yet fully understood. This study presents a static model on a global scale to assess CO2 hydrate stability. This analysis allowed evaluating the effects of salinity, sea water depth and geothermal gradient changes on CO2 hydrate stability also taking into account the thickness of the porous media. The results indicate that shallow water depth and low geothermal gradient favour the formation of CO2 hydrates. Furthermore, this modelling suggests that the actual salinity values rather than assuming constant values significantly improves the accuracy of stability predictions. A focus analysis was performed in the polar regions, where environmental conditions are most favourable for CO2 hydrate formation. The results provide a comprehensive global understanding of CO2 hydrate formation and optimal conditions, facilitating future local-scale applications.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-10802-8
spellingShingle Umberta Tinivella
Michela Giustiniani
Global marine modeling of CO2 hydrate stability
Scientific Reports
title Global marine modeling of CO2 hydrate stability
title_full Global marine modeling of CO2 hydrate stability
title_fullStr Global marine modeling of CO2 hydrate stability
title_full_unstemmed Global marine modeling of CO2 hydrate stability
title_short Global marine modeling of CO2 hydrate stability
title_sort global marine modeling of co2 hydrate stability
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-10802-8
work_keys_str_mv AT umbertatinivella globalmarinemodelingofco2hydratestability
AT michelagiustiniani globalmarinemodelingofco2hydratestability