Applying Extensions of Evidence Theory to Detect Frauds in Financial Infrastructures

The Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory of evidence has significant weaknesses when dealing with conflicting information sources, as demonstrated by preeminent mathematicians. This problem may invalidate its effectiveness when it is used to implement decision-making tools that monitor a great number of para...

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Main Authors: Luigi Coppolino, Salvatore D'Antonio, Valerio Formicola, Luigi Romano
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2015-10-01
Series:International Journal of Distributed Sensor Networks
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1155/2015/980629
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author Luigi Coppolino
Salvatore D'Antonio
Valerio Formicola
Luigi Romano
author_facet Luigi Coppolino
Salvatore D'Antonio
Valerio Formicola
Luigi Romano
author_sort Luigi Coppolino
collection DOAJ
description The Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory of evidence has significant weaknesses when dealing with conflicting information sources, as demonstrated by preeminent mathematicians. This problem may invalidate its effectiveness when it is used to implement decision-making tools that monitor a great number of parameters and metrics. Indeed, in this case, very different estimations are likely to happen and can produce unfair and biased results. In order to solve these flaws, a number of amendments and extensions of the initial DS model have been proposed in literature. In this work, we present a Fraud Detection System that classifies transactions in a Mobile Money Transfer infrastructure by using the data fusion algorithms derived from these new models. We tested it in a simulated environment that closely mimics a real Mobile Money Transfer infrastructure and its actors. Results show substantial improvements of the performance in terms of true positive and false positive rates with respect to the classical DS theory.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1550-1477
language English
publishDate 2015-10-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series International Journal of Distributed Sensor Networks
spelling doaj-art-54bde2fd8fbf41eebe8b819c003bf9da2025-08-20T03:34:21ZengWileyInternational Journal of Distributed Sensor Networks1550-14772015-10-011110.1155/2015/980629980629Applying Extensions of Evidence Theory to Detect Frauds in Financial InfrastructuresLuigi CoppolinoSalvatore D'AntonioValerio FormicolaLuigi RomanoThe Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory of evidence has significant weaknesses when dealing with conflicting information sources, as demonstrated by preeminent mathematicians. This problem may invalidate its effectiveness when it is used to implement decision-making tools that monitor a great number of parameters and metrics. Indeed, in this case, very different estimations are likely to happen and can produce unfair and biased results. In order to solve these flaws, a number of amendments and extensions of the initial DS model have been proposed in literature. In this work, we present a Fraud Detection System that classifies transactions in a Mobile Money Transfer infrastructure by using the data fusion algorithms derived from these new models. We tested it in a simulated environment that closely mimics a real Mobile Money Transfer infrastructure and its actors. Results show substantial improvements of the performance in terms of true positive and false positive rates with respect to the classical DS theory.https://doi.org/10.1155/2015/980629
spellingShingle Luigi Coppolino
Salvatore D'Antonio
Valerio Formicola
Luigi Romano
Applying Extensions of Evidence Theory to Detect Frauds in Financial Infrastructures
International Journal of Distributed Sensor Networks
title Applying Extensions of Evidence Theory to Detect Frauds in Financial Infrastructures
title_full Applying Extensions of Evidence Theory to Detect Frauds in Financial Infrastructures
title_fullStr Applying Extensions of Evidence Theory to Detect Frauds in Financial Infrastructures
title_full_unstemmed Applying Extensions of Evidence Theory to Detect Frauds in Financial Infrastructures
title_short Applying Extensions of Evidence Theory to Detect Frauds in Financial Infrastructures
title_sort applying extensions of evidence theory to detect frauds in financial infrastructures
url https://doi.org/10.1155/2015/980629
work_keys_str_mv AT luigicoppolino applyingextensionsofevidencetheorytodetectfraudsinfinancialinfrastructures
AT salvatoredantonio applyingextensionsofevidencetheorytodetectfraudsinfinancialinfrastructures
AT valerioformicola applyingextensionsofevidencetheorytodetectfraudsinfinancialinfrastructures
AT luigiromano applyingextensionsofevidencetheorytodetectfraudsinfinancialinfrastructures