Mass HIV Treatment and Sex Disparities in Life Expectancy: Demographic Surveillance in Rural South Africa.

<h4>Background</h4>Women have better patient outcomes in HIV care and treatment than men in sub-Saharan Africa. We assessed--at the population level--whether and to what extent mass HIV treatment is associated with changes in sex disparities in adult life expectancy, a summary metric of...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Jacob Bor, Sydney Rosen, Natsayi Chimbindi, Noah Haber, Kobus Herbst, Tinofa Mutevedzi, Frank Tanser, Deenan Pillay, Till Bärnighausen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2015-11-01
Series:PLoS Medicine
Online Access:https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.1001905&type=printable
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1850134754136948736
author Jacob Bor
Sydney Rosen
Natsayi Chimbindi
Noah Haber
Kobus Herbst
Tinofa Mutevedzi
Frank Tanser
Deenan Pillay
Till Bärnighausen
author_facet Jacob Bor
Sydney Rosen
Natsayi Chimbindi
Noah Haber
Kobus Herbst
Tinofa Mutevedzi
Frank Tanser
Deenan Pillay
Till Bärnighausen
author_sort Jacob Bor
collection DOAJ
description <h4>Background</h4>Women have better patient outcomes in HIV care and treatment than men in sub-Saharan Africa. We assessed--at the population level--whether and to what extent mass HIV treatment is associated with changes in sex disparities in adult life expectancy, a summary metric of survival capturing mortality across the full cascade of HIV care. We also determined sex-specific trends in HIV mortality and the distribution of HIV-related deaths in men and women prior to and at each stage of the clinical cascade.<h4>Methods and findings</h4>Data were collected on all deaths occurring from 2001 to 2011 in a large population-based surveillance cohort (52,964 women and 45,688 men, ages 15 y and older) in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. Cause of death was ascertained by verbal autopsy (93% response rate). Demographic data were linked at the individual level to clinical records from the public sector HIV treatment and care program that serves the region. Annual rates of HIV-related mortality were assessed for men and women separately, and female-to-male rate ratios were estimated in exponential hazard models. Sex-specific trends in adult life expectancy and HIV-cause-deleted adult life expectancy were calculated. The proportions of HIV deaths that accrued to men and women at different stages in the HIV cascade of care were estimated annually. Following the beginning of HIV treatment scale-up in 2004, HIV mortality declined among both men and women. Female adult life expectancy increased from 51.3 y (95% CI 49.7, 52.8) in 2003 to 64.5 y (95% CI 62.7, 66.4) in 2011, a gain of 13.2 y. Male adult life expectancy increased from 46.9 y (95% CI 45.6, 48.2) in 2003 to 55.9 y (95% CI 54.3, 57.5) in 2011, a gain of 9.0 y. The gap between female and male adult life expectancy doubled, from 4.4 y in 2003 to 8.6 y in 2011, a difference of 4.3 y (95% CI 0.9, 7.6). For women, HIV mortality declined from 1.60 deaths per 100 person-years (95% CI 1.46, 1.75) in 2003 to 0.56 per 100 person-years (95% CI 0.48, 0.65) in 2011. For men, HIV-related mortality declined from 1.71 per 100 person-years (95% CI 1.55, 1.88) to 0.76 per 100 person-years (95% CI 0.67, 0.87) in the same period. The female-to-male rate ratio for HIV mortality declined from 0.93 (95% CI 0.82-1.07) in 2003 to 0.73 (95% CI 0.60-0.89) in 2011, a statistically significant decline (p = 0.046). In 2011, 57% and 41% of HIV-related deaths occurred among men and women, respectively, who had never sought care for HIV in spite of the widespread availability of free HIV treatment. The results presented here come from a poor rural setting in southern Africa with high HIV prevalence and high HIV treatment coverage; broader generalizability is unknown. Additionally, factors other than HIV treatment scale-up may have influenced population mortality trends.<h4>Conclusions</h4>Mass HIV treatment has been accompanied by faster declines in HIV mortality among women than men and a growing female-male disparity in adult life expectancy at the population level. In 2011, over half of male HIV deaths occurred in men who had never sought clinical HIV care. Interventions to increase HIV testing and linkage to care among men are urgently needed.
format Article
id doaj-art-5477af4eb0504a8791abf9a3ee503eb8
institution OA Journals
issn 1549-1277
1549-1676
language English
publishDate 2015-11-01
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
record_format Article
series PLoS Medicine
spelling doaj-art-5477af4eb0504a8791abf9a3ee503eb82025-08-20T02:31:39ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS Medicine1549-12771549-16762015-11-011211e1001905; discussion e100190510.1371/journal.pmed.1001905Mass HIV Treatment and Sex Disparities in Life Expectancy: Demographic Surveillance in Rural South Africa.Jacob BorSydney RosenNatsayi ChimbindiNoah HaberKobus HerbstTinofa MutevedziFrank TanserDeenan PillayTill Bärnighausen<h4>Background</h4>Women have better patient outcomes in HIV care and treatment than men in sub-Saharan Africa. We assessed--at the population level--whether and to what extent mass HIV treatment is associated with changes in sex disparities in adult life expectancy, a summary metric of survival capturing mortality across the full cascade of HIV care. We also determined sex-specific trends in HIV mortality and the distribution of HIV-related deaths in men and women prior to and at each stage of the clinical cascade.<h4>Methods and findings</h4>Data were collected on all deaths occurring from 2001 to 2011 in a large population-based surveillance cohort (52,964 women and 45,688 men, ages 15 y and older) in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. Cause of death was ascertained by verbal autopsy (93% response rate). Demographic data were linked at the individual level to clinical records from the public sector HIV treatment and care program that serves the region. Annual rates of HIV-related mortality were assessed for men and women separately, and female-to-male rate ratios were estimated in exponential hazard models. Sex-specific trends in adult life expectancy and HIV-cause-deleted adult life expectancy were calculated. The proportions of HIV deaths that accrued to men and women at different stages in the HIV cascade of care were estimated annually. Following the beginning of HIV treatment scale-up in 2004, HIV mortality declined among both men and women. Female adult life expectancy increased from 51.3 y (95% CI 49.7, 52.8) in 2003 to 64.5 y (95% CI 62.7, 66.4) in 2011, a gain of 13.2 y. Male adult life expectancy increased from 46.9 y (95% CI 45.6, 48.2) in 2003 to 55.9 y (95% CI 54.3, 57.5) in 2011, a gain of 9.0 y. The gap between female and male adult life expectancy doubled, from 4.4 y in 2003 to 8.6 y in 2011, a difference of 4.3 y (95% CI 0.9, 7.6). For women, HIV mortality declined from 1.60 deaths per 100 person-years (95% CI 1.46, 1.75) in 2003 to 0.56 per 100 person-years (95% CI 0.48, 0.65) in 2011. For men, HIV-related mortality declined from 1.71 per 100 person-years (95% CI 1.55, 1.88) to 0.76 per 100 person-years (95% CI 0.67, 0.87) in the same period. The female-to-male rate ratio for HIV mortality declined from 0.93 (95% CI 0.82-1.07) in 2003 to 0.73 (95% CI 0.60-0.89) in 2011, a statistically significant decline (p = 0.046). In 2011, 57% and 41% of HIV-related deaths occurred among men and women, respectively, who had never sought care for HIV in spite of the widespread availability of free HIV treatment. The results presented here come from a poor rural setting in southern Africa with high HIV prevalence and high HIV treatment coverage; broader generalizability is unknown. Additionally, factors other than HIV treatment scale-up may have influenced population mortality trends.<h4>Conclusions</h4>Mass HIV treatment has been accompanied by faster declines in HIV mortality among women than men and a growing female-male disparity in adult life expectancy at the population level. In 2011, over half of male HIV deaths occurred in men who had never sought clinical HIV care. Interventions to increase HIV testing and linkage to care among men are urgently needed.https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.1001905&type=printable
spellingShingle Jacob Bor
Sydney Rosen
Natsayi Chimbindi
Noah Haber
Kobus Herbst
Tinofa Mutevedzi
Frank Tanser
Deenan Pillay
Till Bärnighausen
Mass HIV Treatment and Sex Disparities in Life Expectancy: Demographic Surveillance in Rural South Africa.
PLoS Medicine
title Mass HIV Treatment and Sex Disparities in Life Expectancy: Demographic Surveillance in Rural South Africa.
title_full Mass HIV Treatment and Sex Disparities in Life Expectancy: Demographic Surveillance in Rural South Africa.
title_fullStr Mass HIV Treatment and Sex Disparities in Life Expectancy: Demographic Surveillance in Rural South Africa.
title_full_unstemmed Mass HIV Treatment and Sex Disparities in Life Expectancy: Demographic Surveillance in Rural South Africa.
title_short Mass HIV Treatment and Sex Disparities in Life Expectancy: Demographic Surveillance in Rural South Africa.
title_sort mass hiv treatment and sex disparities in life expectancy demographic surveillance in rural south africa
url https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.1001905&type=printable
work_keys_str_mv AT jacobbor masshivtreatmentandsexdisparitiesinlifeexpectancydemographicsurveillanceinruralsouthafrica
AT sydneyrosen masshivtreatmentandsexdisparitiesinlifeexpectancydemographicsurveillanceinruralsouthafrica
AT natsayichimbindi masshivtreatmentandsexdisparitiesinlifeexpectancydemographicsurveillanceinruralsouthafrica
AT noahhaber masshivtreatmentandsexdisparitiesinlifeexpectancydemographicsurveillanceinruralsouthafrica
AT kobusherbst masshivtreatmentandsexdisparitiesinlifeexpectancydemographicsurveillanceinruralsouthafrica
AT tinofamutevedzi masshivtreatmentandsexdisparitiesinlifeexpectancydemographicsurveillanceinruralsouthafrica
AT franktanser masshivtreatmentandsexdisparitiesinlifeexpectancydemographicsurveillanceinruralsouthafrica
AT deenanpillay masshivtreatmentandsexdisparitiesinlifeexpectancydemographicsurveillanceinruralsouthafrica
AT tillbarnighausen masshivtreatmentandsexdisparitiesinlifeexpectancydemographicsurveillanceinruralsouthafrica