Analysis of Weak Links in the Mechanized Mining of Underground Metal Mines: Insights from Machine Learning and SHAP Explainability Models

In the mechanized mining of metal mines, identifying and optimizing vulnerabilities within the production system is essential for enhancing operational efficiency and ensuring sustainable development. By leveraging data from 88 stopes at Guangxi Tongkeng Mine over a decade, we constructed a comprehe...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Chengye Yang, Keping Zhou, Jielin Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-07-01
Series:Applied Sciences
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/13/7391
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Summary:In the mechanized mining of metal mines, identifying and optimizing vulnerabilities within the production system is essential for enhancing operational efficiency and ensuring sustainable development. By leveraging data from 88 stopes at Guangxi Tongkeng Mine over a decade, we constructed a comprehensive dataset encompassing drilling, charging, blasting, ventilation, support, ore drawing, and maintenance. The XGBoost algorithm was employed to model factors influencing stope production capacity (PC), with its parameters optimized using the Marine Predator Algorithm (MPA). The MPA–XGBoost model demonstrates a high predictive accuracy for PC (<i>R</i><sup>2</sup> = 0.958, <i>VAF</i> = 95.981%, <i>MAE</i> = 4.844, <i>RMSE</i> = 7.033). A Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) analysis reveals that drilling efficiency (DE) contributes most positively (35.6%), while ventilation time (VT) and equipment maintenance time (EMT) negatively impact PC. SHAP dependence plots indicate that increasing DE significantly enhances PC, whereas excessive VT or EMT leads to a substantial decline in PC. These findings offer valuable insights and a robust foundation for optimizing design and improving production management in mechanized mining operations.
ISSN:2076-3417