Remotely Sensed Variables Predict Grassland Diversity Better at Scales Below 1,000 km as Opposed to Abiotic Variables That Predict It Better at Larger Scales

Abstract Global spatial patterns of vascular plant diversity have been mapped at coarse grain based on climate‐dominated environment–diversity relationships and, where possible, at finer grain using remote sensing. However, for grasslands with their small plant sizes, the limited availability of veg...

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Main Authors: Yujin Zhao, Bernhard Schmid, Zhaoju Zheng, Yang Wang, Jin Wu, Yao Wang, Ziyan Chen, Xia Zhao, Dan Zhao, Yuan Zeng, Yongfei Bai
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-11-01
Series:Earth's Future
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004648
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author Yujin Zhao
Bernhard Schmid
Zhaoju Zheng
Yang Wang
Jin Wu
Yao Wang
Ziyan Chen
Xia Zhao
Dan Zhao
Yuan Zeng
Yongfei Bai
author_facet Yujin Zhao
Bernhard Schmid
Zhaoju Zheng
Yang Wang
Jin Wu
Yao Wang
Ziyan Chen
Xia Zhao
Dan Zhao
Yuan Zeng
Yongfei Bai
author_sort Yujin Zhao
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Global spatial patterns of vascular plant diversity have been mapped at coarse grain based on climate‐dominated environment–diversity relationships and, where possible, at finer grain using remote sensing. However, for grasslands with their small plant sizes, the limited availability of vegetation plot data has caused large uncertainties in fine‐grained mapping of species diversity. Here we used vegetation survey data from 1,609 field sites (>4,000 plots of 1 m2), remotely sensed data (ecosystem productivity and phenology, habitat heterogeneity, functional traits and spectral diversity), and abiotic data (water‐ and energy‐related, characterizing climate‐dominated environment) together with machine learning and spatial autoregressive models to predict and map grassland species richness per 100 m2 across the Mongolian Plateau at 500 m resolution. Combining all variables yielded a predictive accuracy of 69% compared with 64% using remotely sensed variables or 65% using abiotic variables alone. Among remotely sensed variables, functional traits showed the highest predictive power (55%) in species richness estimation, followed by productivity and phenology (48%), spectral diversity (48%) and habitat heterogeneity (48%). When considering spatial autocorrelation, remotely sensed variables explained 52% and abiotic variables explained 41%. Moreover, Remotely sensed variables provided better prediction at smaller grain size (<∼1,000 km), while water‐ and energy‐dominated macro‐environment variables were the most important drivers and dominated the effects of remotely sensed variables on diversity patterns at macro‐scale (>∼1,000 km). These findings indicate that while remotely sensed vegetation characteristics and climate‐dominated macro‐environment provide similar predictions for mapping grassland plant species richness, they offer complementary explanations across broad spatial scales.
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spelling doaj-art-523ff31741e5434fb6de071d2532f0052025-08-20T02:22:09ZengWileyEarth's Future2328-42772024-11-011211n/an/a10.1029/2024EF004648Remotely Sensed Variables Predict Grassland Diversity Better at Scales Below 1,000 km as Opposed to Abiotic Variables That Predict It Better at Larger ScalesYujin Zhao0Bernhard Schmid1Zhaoju Zheng2Yang Wang3Jin Wu4Yao Wang5Ziyan Chen6Xia Zhao7Dan Zhao8Yuan Zeng9Yongfei Bai10State Key Laboratory of Vegetation and Environmental Change Institute of Botany Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing ChinaDepartment of Geography Remote Sensing Laboratories University of Zurich Zurich SwitzerlandKey Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Digital Earth Aerospace Information Research Institute Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing ChinaState Key Laboratory of Vegetation and Environmental Change Institute of Botany Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing ChinaDivision for Ecology and Biodiversity School of Biological Sciences The University of Hong Kong Hong Kong ChinaCollege of Grassland Agriculture Northwest A&F University Yangling ChinaCollege of Grassland Agriculture Northwest A&F University Yangling ChinaState Key Laboratory of Vegetation and Environmental Change Institute of Botany Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing ChinaKey Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Digital Earth Aerospace Information Research Institute Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing ChinaKey Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Digital Earth Aerospace Information Research Institute Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing ChinaState Key Laboratory of Vegetation and Environmental Change Institute of Botany Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing ChinaAbstract Global spatial patterns of vascular plant diversity have been mapped at coarse grain based on climate‐dominated environment–diversity relationships and, where possible, at finer grain using remote sensing. However, for grasslands with their small plant sizes, the limited availability of vegetation plot data has caused large uncertainties in fine‐grained mapping of species diversity. Here we used vegetation survey data from 1,609 field sites (>4,000 plots of 1 m2), remotely sensed data (ecosystem productivity and phenology, habitat heterogeneity, functional traits and spectral diversity), and abiotic data (water‐ and energy‐related, characterizing climate‐dominated environment) together with machine learning and spatial autoregressive models to predict and map grassland species richness per 100 m2 across the Mongolian Plateau at 500 m resolution. Combining all variables yielded a predictive accuracy of 69% compared with 64% using remotely sensed variables or 65% using abiotic variables alone. Among remotely sensed variables, functional traits showed the highest predictive power (55%) in species richness estimation, followed by productivity and phenology (48%), spectral diversity (48%) and habitat heterogeneity (48%). When considering spatial autocorrelation, remotely sensed variables explained 52% and abiotic variables explained 41%. Moreover, Remotely sensed variables provided better prediction at smaller grain size (<∼1,000 km), while water‐ and energy‐dominated macro‐environment variables were the most important drivers and dominated the effects of remotely sensed variables on diversity patterns at macro‐scale (>∼1,000 km). These findings indicate that while remotely sensed vegetation characteristics and climate‐dominated macro‐environment provide similar predictions for mapping grassland plant species richness, they offer complementary explanations across broad spatial scales.https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004648climate‐dominated macro‐environmentessential biodiversity variables (EBVs)fine‐grained mapping of species diversityfunctional traitsMongolian Plateauspectral diversity
spellingShingle Yujin Zhao
Bernhard Schmid
Zhaoju Zheng
Yang Wang
Jin Wu
Yao Wang
Ziyan Chen
Xia Zhao
Dan Zhao
Yuan Zeng
Yongfei Bai
Remotely Sensed Variables Predict Grassland Diversity Better at Scales Below 1,000 km as Opposed to Abiotic Variables That Predict It Better at Larger Scales
Earth's Future
climate‐dominated macro‐environment
essential biodiversity variables (EBVs)
fine‐grained mapping of species diversity
functional traits
Mongolian Plateau
spectral diversity
title Remotely Sensed Variables Predict Grassland Diversity Better at Scales Below 1,000 km as Opposed to Abiotic Variables That Predict It Better at Larger Scales
title_full Remotely Sensed Variables Predict Grassland Diversity Better at Scales Below 1,000 km as Opposed to Abiotic Variables That Predict It Better at Larger Scales
title_fullStr Remotely Sensed Variables Predict Grassland Diversity Better at Scales Below 1,000 km as Opposed to Abiotic Variables That Predict It Better at Larger Scales
title_full_unstemmed Remotely Sensed Variables Predict Grassland Diversity Better at Scales Below 1,000 km as Opposed to Abiotic Variables That Predict It Better at Larger Scales
title_short Remotely Sensed Variables Predict Grassland Diversity Better at Scales Below 1,000 km as Opposed to Abiotic Variables That Predict It Better at Larger Scales
title_sort remotely sensed variables predict grassland diversity better at scales below 1 000 km as opposed to abiotic variables that predict it better at larger scales
topic climate‐dominated macro‐environment
essential biodiversity variables (EBVs)
fine‐grained mapping of species diversity
functional traits
Mongolian Plateau
spectral diversity
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004648
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