Interdecadal Variability of Easterly Waves Over the Tropical Northeastern Pacific

Abstract A time‐series analysis of Easterly Wave (EW) activity, based on dynamical and convective variance measures, was carried out over the tropical northeastern Pacific (EPAC). A significant interdecadal change in EW‐activity was identified shifting from reduced activity in 1980–1997, to increase...

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Main Authors: V. M. Torres, C. D. Thorncroft
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-08-01
Series:Geophysical Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL099090
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author V. M. Torres
C. D. Thorncroft
author_facet V. M. Torres
C. D. Thorncroft
author_sort V. M. Torres
collection DOAJ
description Abstract A time‐series analysis of Easterly Wave (EW) activity, based on dynamical and convective variance measures, was carried out over the tropical northeastern Pacific (EPAC). A significant interdecadal change in EW‐activity was identified shifting from reduced activity in 1980–1997, to increased activity during 1998–2015. The changes in EW‐activity are modulated on interdecadal timescales by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). EW‐activity is increased when there is a positive AMO index and, to a lesser extent, a negative PDO index. The opposite occurred with a negative AMO index and positive PDO index. This relationship can be understood in terms of how the AMO and PDO impact sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the EPAC. Warmer SSTs tend to be associated with more EW‐related convection and associated vorticity generation in the EW troughs and vice versa. These results suggest potential predictability of EW‐activity in the EPAC on interdecadal timescales.
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spelling doaj-art-51d38d621ec74e9d8f93bea6ea2973bd2025-08-20T03:10:20ZengWileyGeophysical Research Letters0094-82761944-80072022-08-014915n/an/a10.1029/2022GL099090Interdecadal Variability of Easterly Waves Over the Tropical Northeastern PacificV. M. Torres0C. D. Thorncroft1Atmospheric Sciences Research Center University at Albany State University of New York Albany NY USAAtmospheric Sciences Research Center University at Albany State University of New York Albany NY USAAbstract A time‐series analysis of Easterly Wave (EW) activity, based on dynamical and convective variance measures, was carried out over the tropical northeastern Pacific (EPAC). A significant interdecadal change in EW‐activity was identified shifting from reduced activity in 1980–1997, to increased activity during 1998–2015. The changes in EW‐activity are modulated on interdecadal timescales by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). EW‐activity is increased when there is a positive AMO index and, to a lesser extent, a negative PDO index. The opposite occurred with a negative AMO index and positive PDO index. This relationship can be understood in terms of how the AMO and PDO impact sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the EPAC. Warmer SSTs tend to be associated with more EW‐related convection and associated vorticity generation in the EW troughs and vice versa. These results suggest potential predictability of EW‐activity in the EPAC on interdecadal timescales.https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL099090Easterly Waveseastern Pacificinterdecadal variabilityWestern Hemisphere Warm PoolAtlantic Multidecadal OscillationPacific Decadal Oscillation
spellingShingle V. M. Torres
C. D. Thorncroft
Interdecadal Variability of Easterly Waves Over the Tropical Northeastern Pacific
Geophysical Research Letters
Easterly Waves
eastern Pacific
interdecadal variability
Western Hemisphere Warm Pool
Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation
Pacific Decadal Oscillation
title Interdecadal Variability of Easterly Waves Over the Tropical Northeastern Pacific
title_full Interdecadal Variability of Easterly Waves Over the Tropical Northeastern Pacific
title_fullStr Interdecadal Variability of Easterly Waves Over the Tropical Northeastern Pacific
title_full_unstemmed Interdecadal Variability of Easterly Waves Over the Tropical Northeastern Pacific
title_short Interdecadal Variability of Easterly Waves Over the Tropical Northeastern Pacific
title_sort interdecadal variability of easterly waves over the tropical northeastern pacific
topic Easterly Waves
eastern Pacific
interdecadal variability
Western Hemisphere Warm Pool
Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation
Pacific Decadal Oscillation
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL099090
work_keys_str_mv AT vmtorres interdecadalvariabilityofeasterlywavesoverthetropicalnortheasternpacific
AT cdthorncroft interdecadalvariabilityofeasterlywavesoverthetropicalnortheasternpacific