Plasma Protein Biomarkers and Long‐Term Cardiovascular Mortality Risk in Patients With Chronic Coronary Heart Disease

Background Protein biomarkers that reflect different pathophysiological pathways have been associated with the risk of adverse cardiovascular events. However, it is uncertain whether these associations are sustained with increasing years after the biomarkers are measured. Methods and Results In this...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ralph A. H. Stewart, Kristy P. Robledo, Andrew M. Tonkin, Anthony Keech, Leonard Kritharides, Ian Marschner, Edward Janus, Peter L. Thompson, Gerald F. Watts, Tanja Zeller, Harvey D. White, John Simes
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-11-01
Series:Journal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/JAHA.123.034367
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1846149880164122624
author Ralph A. H. Stewart
Kristy P. Robledo
Andrew M. Tonkin
Anthony Keech
Leonard Kritharides
Ian Marschner
Edward Janus
Peter L. Thompson
Gerald F. Watts
Tanja Zeller
Harvey D. White
John Simes
author_facet Ralph A. H. Stewart
Kristy P. Robledo
Andrew M. Tonkin
Anthony Keech
Leonard Kritharides
Ian Marschner
Edward Janus
Peter L. Thompson
Gerald F. Watts
Tanja Zeller
Harvey D. White
John Simes
author_sort Ralph A. H. Stewart
collection DOAJ
description Background Protein biomarkers that reflect different pathophysiological pathways have been associated with the risk of adverse cardiovascular events. However, it is uncertain whether these associations are sustained with increasing years after the biomarkers are measured. Methods and Results In this cohort study, 7745 patients with coronary heart disease who participated in the LIPID (Long‐Term Intervention With Pravastatin in Ischemic Disease) trial, BNP (B‐type natriuretic peptide), troponin I, cystatin‐C, C‐reactive protein, d‐dimer and midregional proadrenomedullin were measured at baseline and after 1 year. Discrimination of plasma biomarker concentrations for cardiovascular death were evaluated in landmark analyses from 1 year for the next 5 years of the randomized trial, and for 10 additional years after trial completion. All 6 biomarkers were associated with risk of cardiovascular death (n=1903) both during and after the clinical trial (each P<0.001). C‐statistics for BNP were 0.706 and 0.704; cystatin‐C, 0.686 and 0.693; troponin I, 0.686 and 0.689; C‐reactive protein, 0.655 and 0.684; d‐dimer, 0.670 and 0.679, and midregional adrenomedullin, 0.686 and 0.688, respectively. In multivariable models, adding all 6 biomarkers to models with clinical risk factors increased the C‐statistic for cardiovascular death from 0.709 to 0.775 during the clinical trial, and from 0.713 to 0.751 during 10‐year follow‐up after the randomized trial (P<0.001 for both). Conclusions In patients with chronic coronary heart disease, biomarkers that reflect different pathophysiological pathways are associated with the risk of cardiovascular death for at least the next 15 years.
format Article
id doaj-art-517a94d40daf42009dae9aab721227e4
institution Kabale University
issn 2047-9980
language English
publishDate 2024-11-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Journal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease
spelling doaj-art-517a94d40daf42009dae9aab721227e42024-11-29T09:50:51ZengWileyJournal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease2047-99802024-11-01132110.1161/JAHA.123.034367Plasma Protein Biomarkers and Long‐Term Cardiovascular Mortality Risk in Patients With Chronic Coronary Heart DiseaseRalph A. H. Stewart0Kristy P. Robledo1Andrew M. Tonkin2Anthony Keech3Leonard Kritharides4Ian Marschner5Edward Janus6Peter L. Thompson7Gerald F. Watts8Tanja Zeller9Harvey D. White10John Simes11Green Lane Cardiovascular Service, Auckland City Hospital, Te Toka Tumai, Te Whatu Ora—Health New Zealand Auckland New ZealandFaculty Medicine and Health, NHMRC Clinical Trials Centre University of Syndey and The Royal Prince Alfred Hospital Camperdown NSW AustraliaSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine Monash University Melbourne VIC AustraliaFaculty Medicine and Health, NHMRC Clinical Trials Centre University of Syndey and The Royal Prince Alfred Hospital Camperdown NSW AustraliaDepartment of Cardiology, Concord Hospital The University of Sydney Concord NSW AustraliaFaculty Medicine and Health, NHMRC Clinical Trials Centre University of Syndey and The Royal Prince Alfred Hospital Camperdown NSW AustraliaWestern Health Chronic Disease Alliance and Department of Medicine, Western Health—Melbourne Medical School University of Melbourne Parkville Vic 3010 AustraliaSchool of Population and Global Health The University of Western Australia Perth WA AustraliaMedical School The University of Western Australia Perth WA AustraliaUniversity Heart Centre Hamburg Hamburg GermanyGreen Lane Cardiovascular Service, Auckland City Hospital, Te Toka Tumai, Te Whatu Ora—Health New Zealand Auckland New ZealandFaculty Medicine and Health, NHMRC Clinical Trials Centre University of Syndey and The Royal Prince Alfred Hospital Camperdown NSW AustraliaBackground Protein biomarkers that reflect different pathophysiological pathways have been associated with the risk of adverse cardiovascular events. However, it is uncertain whether these associations are sustained with increasing years after the biomarkers are measured. Methods and Results In this cohort study, 7745 patients with coronary heart disease who participated in the LIPID (Long‐Term Intervention With Pravastatin in Ischemic Disease) trial, BNP (B‐type natriuretic peptide), troponin I, cystatin‐C, C‐reactive protein, d‐dimer and midregional proadrenomedullin were measured at baseline and after 1 year. Discrimination of plasma biomarker concentrations for cardiovascular death were evaluated in landmark analyses from 1 year for the next 5 years of the randomized trial, and for 10 additional years after trial completion. All 6 biomarkers were associated with risk of cardiovascular death (n=1903) both during and after the clinical trial (each P<0.001). C‐statistics for BNP were 0.706 and 0.704; cystatin‐C, 0.686 and 0.693; troponin I, 0.686 and 0.689; C‐reactive protein, 0.655 and 0.684; d‐dimer, 0.670 and 0.679, and midregional adrenomedullin, 0.686 and 0.688, respectively. In multivariable models, adding all 6 biomarkers to models with clinical risk factors increased the C‐statistic for cardiovascular death from 0.709 to 0.775 during the clinical trial, and from 0.713 to 0.751 during 10‐year follow‐up after the randomized trial (P<0.001 for both). Conclusions In patients with chronic coronary heart disease, biomarkers that reflect different pathophysiological pathways are associated with the risk of cardiovascular death for at least the next 15 years.https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/JAHA.123.034367biomarkerscardiovascular riskcoronary heart diseasedeathlong‐term survival
spellingShingle Ralph A. H. Stewart
Kristy P. Robledo
Andrew M. Tonkin
Anthony Keech
Leonard Kritharides
Ian Marschner
Edward Janus
Peter L. Thompson
Gerald F. Watts
Tanja Zeller
Harvey D. White
John Simes
Plasma Protein Biomarkers and Long‐Term Cardiovascular Mortality Risk in Patients With Chronic Coronary Heart Disease
Journal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease
biomarkers
cardiovascular risk
coronary heart disease
death
long‐term survival
title Plasma Protein Biomarkers and Long‐Term Cardiovascular Mortality Risk in Patients With Chronic Coronary Heart Disease
title_full Plasma Protein Biomarkers and Long‐Term Cardiovascular Mortality Risk in Patients With Chronic Coronary Heart Disease
title_fullStr Plasma Protein Biomarkers and Long‐Term Cardiovascular Mortality Risk in Patients With Chronic Coronary Heart Disease
title_full_unstemmed Plasma Protein Biomarkers and Long‐Term Cardiovascular Mortality Risk in Patients With Chronic Coronary Heart Disease
title_short Plasma Protein Biomarkers and Long‐Term Cardiovascular Mortality Risk in Patients With Chronic Coronary Heart Disease
title_sort plasma protein biomarkers and long term cardiovascular mortality risk in patients with chronic coronary heart disease
topic biomarkers
cardiovascular risk
coronary heart disease
death
long‐term survival
url https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/JAHA.123.034367
work_keys_str_mv AT ralphahstewart plasmaproteinbiomarkersandlongtermcardiovascularmortalityriskinpatientswithchroniccoronaryheartdisease
AT kristyprobledo plasmaproteinbiomarkersandlongtermcardiovascularmortalityriskinpatientswithchroniccoronaryheartdisease
AT andrewmtonkin plasmaproteinbiomarkersandlongtermcardiovascularmortalityriskinpatientswithchroniccoronaryheartdisease
AT anthonykeech plasmaproteinbiomarkersandlongtermcardiovascularmortalityriskinpatientswithchroniccoronaryheartdisease
AT leonardkritharides plasmaproteinbiomarkersandlongtermcardiovascularmortalityriskinpatientswithchroniccoronaryheartdisease
AT ianmarschner plasmaproteinbiomarkersandlongtermcardiovascularmortalityriskinpatientswithchroniccoronaryheartdisease
AT edwardjanus plasmaproteinbiomarkersandlongtermcardiovascularmortalityriskinpatientswithchroniccoronaryheartdisease
AT peterlthompson plasmaproteinbiomarkersandlongtermcardiovascularmortalityriskinpatientswithchroniccoronaryheartdisease
AT geraldfwatts plasmaproteinbiomarkersandlongtermcardiovascularmortalityriskinpatientswithchroniccoronaryheartdisease
AT tanjazeller plasmaproteinbiomarkersandlongtermcardiovascularmortalityriskinpatientswithchroniccoronaryheartdisease
AT harveydwhite plasmaproteinbiomarkersandlongtermcardiovascularmortalityriskinpatientswithchroniccoronaryheartdisease
AT johnsimes plasmaproteinbiomarkersandlongtermcardiovascularmortalityriskinpatientswithchroniccoronaryheartdisease