Increasing risk of global forest loss from extreme wildfires under climate change

Climate change has intensified the frequency and severity of forest fires, driving a global increase in fire-induced forest losses. Although extreme forest fires have been extensively studied at regional scales, the global characteristics of extreme fire-induced forest loss (EFFL) remain poorly unde...

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Main Authors: Ke Huang, Xiaoyang Wu, Liqiang Zhang, Hao Geng, Ying Qu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2025-08-01
Series:International Journal of Digital Earth
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Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/17538947.2025.2483982
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author Ke Huang
Xiaoyang Wu
Liqiang Zhang
Hao Geng
Ying Qu
author_facet Ke Huang
Xiaoyang Wu
Liqiang Zhang
Hao Geng
Ying Qu
author_sort Ke Huang
collection DOAJ
description Climate change has intensified the frequency and severity of forest fires, driving a global increase in fire-induced forest losses. Although extreme forest fires have been extensively studied at regional scales, the global characteristics of extreme fire-induced forest loss (EFFL) remain poorly understood. Here, we used high-resolution remote-sensing data to assess the spatiotemporal dynamics, ecological impacts, and climatic drivers of EFFL events worldwide. Our results show that from 2001 to 2023, EFFLs were widespread across global forest ecosystems, with boreal forests having the highest frequency and extent, contributing to 57.53% and 58.37% of the global EFFLs, respectively. During this period, the frequency of EFFLs increased 2.02-fold. Moreover, 8.79% of endangered forest vertebrates (662 species) experienced EFFLs in >10% of their geographic range, and 1.76 × 109 tons of aboveground biomass (AGB) was affected. High-risk regions, including the Amazon rainforest, Southeast Asia, and southeastern Australia, face severe threats to species conservation and carbon stocks. The occurrence of EFFLs was consistently associated with dry and hot anomalies. Our findings underscore the urgent need for enhanced forest monitoring and conservation, and provide a scientific basis for developing targeted fire prevention and management strategies.
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spelling doaj-art-513ee5d84d1543d7ad57fc47e3ca2a672025-08-25T11:24:55ZengTaylor & Francis GroupInternational Journal of Digital Earth1753-89471753-89552025-08-0118110.1080/17538947.2025.2483982Increasing risk of global forest loss from extreme wildfires under climate changeKe Huang0Xiaoyang Wu1Liqiang Zhang2Hao Geng3Ying Qu4Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, People’s Republic of ChinaCollege of Resources and Environment, Shandong Agricultural University, Taian, People’s Republic of ChinaFaculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, People’s Republic of ChinaFaculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, People’s Republic of ChinaFaculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, People’s Republic of ChinaClimate change has intensified the frequency and severity of forest fires, driving a global increase in fire-induced forest losses. Although extreme forest fires have been extensively studied at regional scales, the global characteristics of extreme fire-induced forest loss (EFFL) remain poorly understood. Here, we used high-resolution remote-sensing data to assess the spatiotemporal dynamics, ecological impacts, and climatic drivers of EFFL events worldwide. Our results show that from 2001 to 2023, EFFLs were widespread across global forest ecosystems, with boreal forests having the highest frequency and extent, contributing to 57.53% and 58.37% of the global EFFLs, respectively. During this period, the frequency of EFFLs increased 2.02-fold. Moreover, 8.79% of endangered forest vertebrates (662 species) experienced EFFLs in >10% of their geographic range, and 1.76 × 109 tons of aboveground biomass (AGB) was affected. High-risk regions, including the Amazon rainforest, Southeast Asia, and southeastern Australia, face severe threats to species conservation and carbon stocks. The occurrence of EFFLs was consistently associated with dry and hot anomalies. Our findings underscore the urgent need for enhanced forest monitoring and conservation, and provide a scientific basis for developing targeted fire prevention and management strategies.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/17538947.2025.2483982Forest lossextreme firesendangered speciesaboveground biomassspatiotemporal distribution
spellingShingle Ke Huang
Xiaoyang Wu
Liqiang Zhang
Hao Geng
Ying Qu
Increasing risk of global forest loss from extreme wildfires under climate change
International Journal of Digital Earth
Forest loss
extreme fires
endangered species
aboveground biomass
spatiotemporal distribution
title Increasing risk of global forest loss from extreme wildfires under climate change
title_full Increasing risk of global forest loss from extreme wildfires under climate change
title_fullStr Increasing risk of global forest loss from extreme wildfires under climate change
title_full_unstemmed Increasing risk of global forest loss from extreme wildfires under climate change
title_short Increasing risk of global forest loss from extreme wildfires under climate change
title_sort increasing risk of global forest loss from extreme wildfires under climate change
topic Forest loss
extreme fires
endangered species
aboveground biomass
spatiotemporal distribution
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/17538947.2025.2483982
work_keys_str_mv AT kehuang increasingriskofglobalforestlossfromextremewildfiresunderclimatechange
AT xiaoyangwu increasingriskofglobalforestlossfromextremewildfiresunderclimatechange
AT liqiangzhang increasingriskofglobalforestlossfromextremewildfiresunderclimatechange
AT haogeng increasingriskofglobalforestlossfromextremewildfiresunderclimatechange
AT yingqu increasingriskofglobalforestlossfromextremewildfiresunderclimatechange