Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Coupling Coordination Degree Between New Urbanization and Urban Resilience: A Case of Huaihai Economic Zone
Rapid urbanization and climate extremes expose cities to multi-dimensional risks, necessitating the coordinated development of new urbanization and urban resilience for achieving urban sustainability. While existing studies focus on core economic zones like the Yangtze River Delta, secondary economi...
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2025-07-01
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| author | Heng Zhang Shuang Li Jiang Chang |
| author_facet | Heng Zhang Shuang Li Jiang Chang |
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| description | Rapid urbanization and climate extremes expose cities to multi-dimensional risks, necessitating the coordinated development of new urbanization and urban resilience for achieving urban sustainability. While existing studies focus on core economic zones like the Yangtze River Delta, secondary economic cooperation regions remain understudied. This study examined the Huaihai Economic Zone (HEZ)—a quadri-provincial border area—by constructing the evaluation systems for new urbanization and urban resilience. The development indices of the two systems were measured using the entropy weight-CRITIC method. The spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of their coupling coordination degree (CCD) were analyzed through a CCD model, while key driving factors influencing the CCD were investigated using a grey relational analysis model. The results indicated that both the new urbanization construction and urban resilience development indices in the HEZ exhibited a steady upward trend during the study period, with the urban resilience development index surpassing the new urbanization construction index. The new urbanization index increased from 0.3026 (2013) to 0.4702 (2023), and the urban resilience index increased from 0.3520 (2013) to 0.6366 (2023). The CCD between new urbanization and urban resilience reached 0.7368 by 2023, with 80% of cities in the HEZ achieving good coordination types. The variation of the CCD among cities was minimal, revealing a spatially clustered coordinated development pattern. In terms of driving factors, economic development level, public service capacity, and municipal resilience level were identified as core drivers for enhancing coupling coordination. Infrastructure construction, digital capabilities, and spatial intensification served as important supports, while ecological governance capacity remained a weakness. This study establishes a transferable framework for the coordinated development of secondary economic cooperation region, though future research should integrate diverse data sources and expand indicator coverage for higher precision. Moreover, the use of linear models to analyze the key driving factors of the CCD has limitations. The incorporation of non-linear techniques can better elucidate the complex interactions among factors. |
| format | Article |
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| spelling | doaj-art-512d172da20648b6b8da0b9bafbae44c2025-08-20T03:32:32ZengMDPI AGISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information2220-99642025-07-0114727110.3390/ijgi14070271Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Coupling Coordination Degree Between New Urbanization and Urban Resilience: A Case of Huaihai Economic ZoneHeng Zhang0Shuang Li1Jiang Chang2School of Mechanics and Civil Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, ChinaSchool of Information Engineering, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, Wuhan 430073, ChinaSchool of Architecture and Design, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, ChinaRapid urbanization and climate extremes expose cities to multi-dimensional risks, necessitating the coordinated development of new urbanization and urban resilience for achieving urban sustainability. While existing studies focus on core economic zones like the Yangtze River Delta, secondary economic cooperation regions remain understudied. This study examined the Huaihai Economic Zone (HEZ)—a quadri-provincial border area—by constructing the evaluation systems for new urbanization and urban resilience. The development indices of the two systems were measured using the entropy weight-CRITIC method. The spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of their coupling coordination degree (CCD) were analyzed through a CCD model, while key driving factors influencing the CCD were investigated using a grey relational analysis model. The results indicated that both the new urbanization construction and urban resilience development indices in the HEZ exhibited a steady upward trend during the study period, with the urban resilience development index surpassing the new urbanization construction index. The new urbanization index increased from 0.3026 (2013) to 0.4702 (2023), and the urban resilience index increased from 0.3520 (2013) to 0.6366 (2023). The CCD between new urbanization and urban resilience reached 0.7368 by 2023, with 80% of cities in the HEZ achieving good coordination types. The variation of the CCD among cities was minimal, revealing a spatially clustered coordinated development pattern. In terms of driving factors, economic development level, public service capacity, and municipal resilience level were identified as core drivers for enhancing coupling coordination. Infrastructure construction, digital capabilities, and spatial intensification served as important supports, while ecological governance capacity remained a weakness. This study establishes a transferable framework for the coordinated development of secondary economic cooperation region, though future research should integrate diverse data sources and expand indicator coverage for higher precision. Moreover, the use of linear models to analyze the key driving factors of the CCD has limitations. The incorporation of non-linear techniques can better elucidate the complex interactions among factors.https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/14/7/271new urbanizationurban resiliencecoupling coordination degree (CCD)driving factorsHuaihai Economic Zone (HEZ) |
| spellingShingle | Heng Zhang Shuang Li Jiang Chang Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Coupling Coordination Degree Between New Urbanization and Urban Resilience: A Case of Huaihai Economic Zone ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information new urbanization urban resilience coupling coordination degree (CCD) driving factors Huaihai Economic Zone (HEZ) |
| title | Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Coupling Coordination Degree Between New Urbanization and Urban Resilience: A Case of Huaihai Economic Zone |
| title_full | Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Coupling Coordination Degree Between New Urbanization and Urban Resilience: A Case of Huaihai Economic Zone |
| title_fullStr | Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Coupling Coordination Degree Between New Urbanization and Urban Resilience: A Case of Huaihai Economic Zone |
| title_full_unstemmed | Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Coupling Coordination Degree Between New Urbanization and Urban Resilience: A Case of Huaihai Economic Zone |
| title_short | Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Coupling Coordination Degree Between New Urbanization and Urban Resilience: A Case of Huaihai Economic Zone |
| title_sort | spatiotemporal evolution and driving factors of coupling coordination degree between new urbanization and urban resilience a case of huaihai economic zone |
| topic | new urbanization urban resilience coupling coordination degree (CCD) driving factors Huaihai Economic Zone (HEZ) |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/14/7/271 |
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