Risk attitude and risk perceptions of climate change among Indian cotton farmers

Abstract Indian farmers have been facing significant production risks that have substantially decreased their potential yield. To reduce these risks, farmers employ various tactical strategies. The choice of strategy, however, depends mainly on their risk attitude and perceptions. This study examine...

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Main Authors: Reddyprasanna Diyyala, Qingxia Jenny Wang, Shahbaz Mushtaq, N. Venkatesa Palanichamy, D. Murugananthi, V. Geethalakshmi, M. Rajavel
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-06-01
Series:Scientific Reports
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-99125-2
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author Reddyprasanna Diyyala
Qingxia Jenny Wang
Shahbaz Mushtaq
N. Venkatesa Palanichamy
D. Murugananthi
V. Geethalakshmi
M. Rajavel
author_facet Reddyprasanna Diyyala
Qingxia Jenny Wang
Shahbaz Mushtaq
N. Venkatesa Palanichamy
D. Murugananthi
V. Geethalakshmi
M. Rajavel
author_sort Reddyprasanna Diyyala
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Indian farmers have been facing significant production risks that have substantially decreased their potential yield. To reduce these risks, farmers employ various tactical strategies. The choice of strategy, however, depends mainly on their risk attitude and perceptions. This study examines the factors influencing farmers’ risk attitude and perceptions based on the survey of 350 cotton farmers from Virudhunagar district in Tamil Nadu, India. Risk attitude is evaluated using a Multiple Price List (MPL) experimental method, while the risk matrix is utilised to measure the risk perception of drought, uneven rainfall distribution, and pests and diseases. Logit model is applied to assess the variables associated with farmers’ risk attitude and perceptions. The findings reveal that 75% of the respondents exhibit risk-averse behaviour, while only 12% display a risk-seeking attitude. The majority of respondents identify drought and rainfall as major risks compared to pests and diseases. Logit model results show that gender, education, organisational membership, irrigation access, farming experience, access to credit, contact with extension personnel, and yield loss negatively influence farmers’ risk attitude. Similarly, organisational membership, a higher share of non-farm income, more farm size, irrigation availability, and credit accessibility reduce the farmers’ risk perceptions. These findings help policymakers understand how local farmers perceive farm risks such as drought, rainfall variations, and pests and diseases and consider these viewpoints when developing sustainable adaptation measures. This study highlights the significance of farmer group organisations, improved extension services, and credit access in shaping farmers’ risk attitude and perceptions, thereby enhancing farm productivity.
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spelling doaj-art-503f88ee9a5148f6b8a8aa5471ca49962025-08-20T03:26:43ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-06-0115111210.1038/s41598-025-99125-2Risk attitude and risk perceptions of climate change among Indian cotton farmersReddyprasanna Diyyala0Qingxia Jenny Wang1Shahbaz Mushtaq2N. Venkatesa Palanichamy3D. Murugananthi4V. Geethalakshmi5M. Rajavel6Centre for Applied Climate Sciences, University of Southern Queensland (UniSQ)Centre for Applied Climate Sciences, University of Southern Queensland (UniSQ)Centre for Applied Climate Sciences, University of Southern Queensland (UniSQ)Agricultural College & Research Institute, Tamil Nadu Agricultural UniversityDirectorate of Agribusiness Development, Tamil Nadu Agricultural UniversityTamil Nadu Agricultural UniversityTamil Nadu Agricultural UniversityAbstract Indian farmers have been facing significant production risks that have substantially decreased their potential yield. To reduce these risks, farmers employ various tactical strategies. The choice of strategy, however, depends mainly on their risk attitude and perceptions. This study examines the factors influencing farmers’ risk attitude and perceptions based on the survey of 350 cotton farmers from Virudhunagar district in Tamil Nadu, India. Risk attitude is evaluated using a Multiple Price List (MPL) experimental method, while the risk matrix is utilised to measure the risk perception of drought, uneven rainfall distribution, and pests and diseases. Logit model is applied to assess the variables associated with farmers’ risk attitude and perceptions. The findings reveal that 75% of the respondents exhibit risk-averse behaviour, while only 12% display a risk-seeking attitude. The majority of respondents identify drought and rainfall as major risks compared to pests and diseases. Logit model results show that gender, education, organisational membership, irrigation access, farming experience, access to credit, contact with extension personnel, and yield loss negatively influence farmers’ risk attitude. Similarly, organisational membership, a higher share of non-farm income, more farm size, irrigation availability, and credit accessibility reduce the farmers’ risk perceptions. These findings help policymakers understand how local farmers perceive farm risks such as drought, rainfall variations, and pests and diseases and consider these viewpoints when developing sustainable adaptation measures. This study highlights the significance of farmer group organisations, improved extension services, and credit access in shaping farmers’ risk attitude and perceptions, thereby enhancing farm productivity.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-99125-2Risk perceptionRisk attitudeClimate riskPests and diseases riskCotton farmers
spellingShingle Reddyprasanna Diyyala
Qingxia Jenny Wang
Shahbaz Mushtaq
N. Venkatesa Palanichamy
D. Murugananthi
V. Geethalakshmi
M. Rajavel
Risk attitude and risk perceptions of climate change among Indian cotton farmers
Scientific Reports
Risk perception
Risk attitude
Climate risk
Pests and diseases risk
Cotton farmers
title Risk attitude and risk perceptions of climate change among Indian cotton farmers
title_full Risk attitude and risk perceptions of climate change among Indian cotton farmers
title_fullStr Risk attitude and risk perceptions of climate change among Indian cotton farmers
title_full_unstemmed Risk attitude and risk perceptions of climate change among Indian cotton farmers
title_short Risk attitude and risk perceptions of climate change among Indian cotton farmers
title_sort risk attitude and risk perceptions of climate change among indian cotton farmers
topic Risk perception
Risk attitude
Climate risk
Pests and diseases risk
Cotton farmers
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-99125-2
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