Unraveling the Link Between Environment and Economic Growth in Türkiye

This study examines the short and long-run and causative interconnections between carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, economic growth, energy use, and industrialization in Türkiye using yearly data from 1971 to 2021. The paper employs the cointegration autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model, which...

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Main Authors: Fatty Masanneh, Büşra Ağan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Dokuz Eylül University 2024-03-01
Series:İzmir İktisat Dergisi
Subjects:
Online Access:https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/3389147
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author Fatty Masanneh
Büşra Ağan
author_facet Fatty Masanneh
Büşra Ağan
author_sort Fatty Masanneh
collection DOAJ
description This study examines the short and long-run and causative interconnections between carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, economic growth, energy use, and industrialization in Türkiye using yearly data from 1971 to 2021. The paper employs the cointegration autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model, which indicates the presence of a long-run nexus between the variables and the estimated long-run coefficient of economic growth, energy use, and industrialization exhibit a sensitivity of -0.726, 0.563, and 0.548 changes in CO2 emissions respectively. The error-correction term is -0.563 and significant at a 1% significance level under the cointegration-ARDL model, suggesting that the deviations from the long-run equilibrium between the variables will be addressed through correction by almost 56.3% yearly. In other words, the speed of adjustment coefficients indicates that when disequilibrium occurs, adjustments returning to equilibrium take almost two years. The Toda and Yamamoto (1995) causality test indicates a unidirectional causal link from industrialization to CO2 emissions. This finding implies that industrialization harms environmental quality in Türkiye; therefore, Türkiye must prioritize sustainable industrial development and embrace green technologies.
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publisher Dokuz Eylül University
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spelling doaj-art-5012f411bf864b9780a38ee5bc4fa3432025-08-20T03:13:11ZengDokuz Eylül Universityİzmir İktisat Dergisi1308-85052024-03-0139127529310.24988/ije.135604459Unraveling the Link Between Environment and Economic Growth in TürkiyeFatty Masanneh0https://orcid.org/0009-0007-6037-1259Büşra Ağan1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1485-9142OSTİM TEKNİK ÜNİVERSİTESİOSTIM TECHNICAL UNIVERSITYThis study examines the short and long-run and causative interconnections between carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, economic growth, energy use, and industrialization in Türkiye using yearly data from 1971 to 2021. The paper employs the cointegration autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model, which indicates the presence of a long-run nexus between the variables and the estimated long-run coefficient of economic growth, energy use, and industrialization exhibit a sensitivity of -0.726, 0.563, and 0.548 changes in CO2 emissions respectively. The error-correction term is -0.563 and significant at a 1% significance level under the cointegration-ARDL model, suggesting that the deviations from the long-run equilibrium between the variables will be addressed through correction by almost 56.3% yearly. In other words, the speed of adjustment coefficients indicates that when disequilibrium occurs, adjustments returning to equilibrium take almost two years. The Toda and Yamamoto (1995) causality test indicates a unidirectional causal link from industrialization to CO2 emissions. This finding implies that industrialization harms environmental quality in Türkiye; therefore, Türkiye must prioritize sustainable industrial development and embrace green technologies.https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/3389147enerji kullanımısanayileşmeardl eşbütünleşme modelitoda-yamamoto nedenselliktürkiyeenergy useindustrializationardl cointegration modeltoda-yamamoto causalitytürkiye
spellingShingle Fatty Masanneh
Büşra Ağan
Unraveling the Link Between Environment and Economic Growth in Türkiye
İzmir İktisat Dergisi
enerji kullanımı
sanayileşme
ardl eşbütünleşme modeli
toda-yamamoto nedensellik
türkiye
energy use
industrialization
ardl cointegration model
toda-yamamoto causality
türkiye
title Unraveling the Link Between Environment and Economic Growth in Türkiye
title_full Unraveling the Link Between Environment and Economic Growth in Türkiye
title_fullStr Unraveling the Link Between Environment and Economic Growth in Türkiye
title_full_unstemmed Unraveling the Link Between Environment and Economic Growth in Türkiye
title_short Unraveling the Link Between Environment and Economic Growth in Türkiye
title_sort unraveling the link between environment and economic growth in turkiye
topic enerji kullanımı
sanayileşme
ardl eşbütünleşme modeli
toda-yamamoto nedensellik
türkiye
energy use
industrialization
ardl cointegration model
toda-yamamoto causality
türkiye
url https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/3389147
work_keys_str_mv AT fattymasanneh unravelingthelinkbetweenenvironmentandeconomicgrowthinturkiye
AT busraagan unravelingthelinkbetweenenvironmentandeconomicgrowthinturkiye