Towards a prescribing monitoring system for medication safety evaluation within electronic health records: a scoping review

Abstract Background Medical care can fail for various reasons: diseases can remain undetected and their severity misjudged, therapies can be incorrectly dosed or ineffective, and therapies can trigger new conditions or adverse drug reactions (ADR). To manage the complexity of changing patient circum...

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Main Authors: Camilo Scherkl, Theresa Dierkes, Michael Metzner, David Czock, Hanna M. Seidling, Walter E. Haefeli, Andreas D. Meid
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-07-01
Series:BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12911-025-03096-3
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author Camilo Scherkl
Theresa Dierkes
Michael Metzner
David Czock
Hanna M. Seidling
Walter E. Haefeli
Andreas D. Meid
author_facet Camilo Scherkl
Theresa Dierkes
Michael Metzner
David Czock
Hanna M. Seidling
Walter E. Haefeli
Andreas D. Meid
author_sort Camilo Scherkl
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Medical care can fail for various reasons: diseases can remain undetected and their severity misjudged, therapies can be incorrectly dosed or ineffective, and therapies can trigger new conditions or adverse drug reactions (ADR). To manage the complexity of changing patient circumstances, data-driven techniques play an increasingly important role in monitoring patient safety and treatment success. Therefore, clinical prediction models need to consider longitudinal factors (“Prescribing Monitoring”) to ensure clinically meaningful results and avoid misclassification in the dynamic health situation of the individual patient. Methods We have conducted a scoping review (OSF registration: https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/P93TZ ) on prediction models for ADR to collect potential use cases for Prescribing Monitoring. This review identified 2435 relevant studies in English that were published in MEDLINE or EMBASE. Two reviewers screened the records for inclusion, with a third reviewer making the final decision in the event of discrepancies. In order to derive recommendations on the way towards a Prescribing Monitoring system, the following elements were extracted and interpreted: the prediction models used, selection of candidate predictors, use of longitudinal factors, and model performance. Results A total of 56 studies were included after the screening process. We identified the main areas of current research in ADR prediction, all covering clinically important outcomes. We identified Prescribing Monitoring use cases based on their potential to (i) make individual predictions considering specific patient characteristics, (ii) make longitudinal predictions in a near time frame, and (iii) make dynamic predictions by updating predictions with previous risk predictions and newly available data. As a further aside, we use hyperkalaemia as an example to discuss the framework for developing Prescribing Monitoring in an electronic health record (EHR). Conclusion This scoping review provides an overview of the use of time-varying effects and longitudinal variables in current prediction model research. For application to clinical cases, prediction models should be developed, validated and implemented on this basis, so that time-dependent information can enable continuous monitoring of individual patients.
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spelling doaj-art-4f4ec86930264e12b4f5d65eeaeb34842025-08-20T03:38:18ZengBMCBMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making1472-69472025-07-0125111110.1186/s12911-025-03096-3Towards a prescribing monitoring system for medication safety evaluation within electronic health records: a scoping reviewCamilo Scherkl0Theresa Dierkes1Michael Metzner2David Czock3Hanna M. Seidling4Walter E. Haefeli5Andreas D. Meid6Internal Medicine IX, Department of Clinical Pharmacology and Pharmacoepidemiology, Medical Faculty/Heidelberg University HospitalInternal Medicine IX, Department of Clinical Pharmacology and Pharmacoepidemiology, Medical Faculty/Heidelberg University HospitalInternal Medicine IX, Department of Clinical Pharmacology and Pharmacoepidemiology, Medical Faculty/Heidelberg University HospitalInternal Medicine IX, Department of Clinical Pharmacology and Pharmacoepidemiology, Medical Faculty/Heidelberg University HospitalInternal Medicine IX, Department of Clinical Pharmacology and Pharmacoepidemiology, Medical Faculty/Heidelberg University HospitalInternal Medicine IX, Department of Clinical Pharmacology and Pharmacoepidemiology, Medical Faculty/Heidelberg University HospitalInternal Medicine IX, Department of Clinical Pharmacology and Pharmacoepidemiology, Medical Faculty/Heidelberg University HospitalAbstract Background Medical care can fail for various reasons: diseases can remain undetected and their severity misjudged, therapies can be incorrectly dosed or ineffective, and therapies can trigger new conditions or adverse drug reactions (ADR). To manage the complexity of changing patient circumstances, data-driven techniques play an increasingly important role in monitoring patient safety and treatment success. Therefore, clinical prediction models need to consider longitudinal factors (“Prescribing Monitoring”) to ensure clinically meaningful results and avoid misclassification in the dynamic health situation of the individual patient. Methods We have conducted a scoping review (OSF registration: https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/P93TZ ) on prediction models for ADR to collect potential use cases for Prescribing Monitoring. This review identified 2435 relevant studies in English that were published in MEDLINE or EMBASE. Two reviewers screened the records for inclusion, with a third reviewer making the final decision in the event of discrepancies. In order to derive recommendations on the way towards a Prescribing Monitoring system, the following elements were extracted and interpreted: the prediction models used, selection of candidate predictors, use of longitudinal factors, and model performance. Results A total of 56 studies were included after the screening process. We identified the main areas of current research in ADR prediction, all covering clinically important outcomes. We identified Prescribing Monitoring use cases based on their potential to (i) make individual predictions considering specific patient characteristics, (ii) make longitudinal predictions in a near time frame, and (iii) make dynamic predictions by updating predictions with previous risk predictions and newly available data. As a further aside, we use hyperkalaemia as an example to discuss the framework for developing Prescribing Monitoring in an electronic health record (EHR). Conclusion This scoping review provides an overview of the use of time-varying effects and longitudinal variables in current prediction model research. For application to clinical cases, prediction models should be developed, validated and implemented on this basis, so that time-dependent information can enable continuous monitoring of individual patients.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12911-025-03096-3Real-world evidence (RWE)Electronic health records (EHR)Clinical decision support systemPrediction modelMedication safetyAdverse drug events (ADE)
spellingShingle Camilo Scherkl
Theresa Dierkes
Michael Metzner
David Czock
Hanna M. Seidling
Walter E. Haefeli
Andreas D. Meid
Towards a prescribing monitoring system for medication safety evaluation within electronic health records: a scoping review
BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making
Real-world evidence (RWE)
Electronic health records (EHR)
Clinical decision support system
Prediction model
Medication safety
Adverse drug events (ADE)
title Towards a prescribing monitoring system for medication safety evaluation within electronic health records: a scoping review
title_full Towards a prescribing monitoring system for medication safety evaluation within electronic health records: a scoping review
title_fullStr Towards a prescribing monitoring system for medication safety evaluation within electronic health records: a scoping review
title_full_unstemmed Towards a prescribing monitoring system for medication safety evaluation within electronic health records: a scoping review
title_short Towards a prescribing monitoring system for medication safety evaluation within electronic health records: a scoping review
title_sort towards a prescribing monitoring system for medication safety evaluation within electronic health records a scoping review
topic Real-world evidence (RWE)
Electronic health records (EHR)
Clinical decision support system
Prediction model
Medication safety
Adverse drug events (ADE)
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12911-025-03096-3
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