Trade openness and monetary policy in the Democratic Republic of Congo

An open economy is conducive to the growth of international trade and enhances a nation’s global competitiveness. However, trade is frequently conducted in different currencies, which implies an exchange rate. Fluctuations in the exchange rate are likely to impact monetary policy transmission to eco...

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Main Author: Gracia Mokondi Mosunga
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2025-12-01
Series:Cogent Social Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23311886.2025.2495857
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author Gracia Mokondi Mosunga
author_facet Gracia Mokondi Mosunga
author_sort Gracia Mokondi Mosunga
collection DOAJ
description An open economy is conducive to the growth of international trade and enhances a nation’s global competitiveness. However, trade is frequently conducted in different currencies, which implies an exchange rate. Fluctuations in the exchange rate are likely to impact monetary policy transmission to economic growth and inflation. Consequently, trade openness can affect the effectiveness of monetary policy. Understanding this effect is essential in a dollarized economy and is dependent on the mining sector. The dollarization of the economy facilitates the amplification of exchange rate fluctuations in inflation. Mining exports depend on the international economic situation, making foreign exchange reserves vulnerable. This is likely to affect the exchange rate and, consequently, inflation. This article contributes to this fascinating but largely unexplored literature by focusing on the Congolese economy. It highlights the dollarization of the economy and the structure of trade as factors that amplify the effects of trade openness. The bayesian vector autoregression model is used for this purpose, as it is best suited when the sample size is limited. It is also inexpensive, reproducible, and accurate on average. The estimation results show that the effectiveness of monetary policy on inflation and economic growth is reduced as trade openness increases.
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spelling doaj-art-4e3cefbd93ca44c4b89e232dcea74a512025-08-20T02:11:18ZengTaylor & Francis GroupCogent Social Sciences2331-18862025-12-0111110.1080/23311886.2025.2495857Trade openness and monetary policy in the Democratic Republic of CongoGracia Mokondi Mosunga0Economic Policy Analysis Laboratory, Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Kisangani, Democratic Republic of the CongoAn open economy is conducive to the growth of international trade and enhances a nation’s global competitiveness. However, trade is frequently conducted in different currencies, which implies an exchange rate. Fluctuations in the exchange rate are likely to impact monetary policy transmission to economic growth and inflation. Consequently, trade openness can affect the effectiveness of monetary policy. Understanding this effect is essential in a dollarized economy and is dependent on the mining sector. The dollarization of the economy facilitates the amplification of exchange rate fluctuations in inflation. Mining exports depend on the international economic situation, making foreign exchange reserves vulnerable. This is likely to affect the exchange rate and, consequently, inflation. This article contributes to this fascinating but largely unexplored literature by focusing on the Congolese economy. It highlights the dollarization of the economy and the structure of trade as factors that amplify the effects of trade openness. The bayesian vector autoregression model is used for this purpose, as it is best suited when the sample size is limited. It is also inexpensive, reproducible, and accurate on average. The estimation results show that the effectiveness of monetary policy on inflation and economic growth is reduced as trade openness increases.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23311886.2025.2495857Inflationmonetary policytrade opennessInternational Political EconomyInternational RelationsInternational Politics
spellingShingle Gracia Mokondi Mosunga
Trade openness and monetary policy in the Democratic Republic of Congo
Cogent Social Sciences
Inflation
monetary policy
trade openness
International Political Economy
International Relations
International Politics
title Trade openness and monetary policy in the Democratic Republic of Congo
title_full Trade openness and monetary policy in the Democratic Republic of Congo
title_fullStr Trade openness and monetary policy in the Democratic Republic of Congo
title_full_unstemmed Trade openness and monetary policy in the Democratic Republic of Congo
title_short Trade openness and monetary policy in the Democratic Republic of Congo
title_sort trade openness and monetary policy in the democratic republic of congo
topic Inflation
monetary policy
trade openness
International Political Economy
International Relations
International Politics
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23311886.2025.2495857
work_keys_str_mv AT graciamokondimosunga tradeopennessandmonetarypolicyinthedemocraticrepublicofcongo