Influence of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Exports in Türkiye: Evidence from ARDL Model
Türkiye is a country in which the COVID-19 pandemic has deeply affected export performance. The aim of this paper is to analyse the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Turkish export performance using different variables indicating the severity of the COVID-19 effects. The effect of COVID-19 on Türki...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Istanbul University Press
2024-08-01
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| Series: | İktisat Politikası Araştırmaları Dergisi |
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| Online Access: | https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/A37F11F62B7445CA9E6D69C84BD1D7FF |
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| _version_ | 1849313280498073600 |
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| author | Zaim Reha Yaşar |
| author_facet | Zaim Reha Yaşar |
| author_sort | Zaim Reha Yaşar |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Türkiye is a country in which the COVID-19 pandemic has deeply affected export performance. The aim of this paper is to analyse the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Turkish export performance using different variables indicating the severity of the COVID-19 effects. The effect of COVID-19 on Türkiye’s export performance is empirically analysed with the ARDL approach by employing time series data covering the 2013:q1-2022:q1 period. The estimation results of the six models indicate that COVID-19 does not affect Turkish export performance in the long term, whereas its lagged variables have negative and significant effects in the short term. Foreign income has positive and statistically significant effects on export volumes in both the short and long term. The exchange rate significantly and negatively affects export flows in both the short and long term. The results of this paper are robust against different types of COVID-19 proxies. COVID-19 has negative effects on exports in the short run for Türkiye’s economy. The results indicate that policymakers should consider the lagged effects of variables in addition to the current version. The findings also show the recommendation that short- and long-run estimations should be conducted to determine the short- and long-run relations. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-4e0e34a99c3845e4ab03d61d79786af8 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2148-3876 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2024-08-01 |
| publisher | Istanbul University Press |
| record_format | Article |
| series | İktisat Politikası Araştırmaları Dergisi |
| spelling | doaj-art-4e0e34a99c3845e4ab03d61d79786af82025-08-20T03:52:48ZengIstanbul University Pressİktisat Politikası Araştırmaları Dergisi2148-38762024-08-0111226327710.26650/JEPR1477032123456Influence of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Exports in Türkiye: Evidence from ARDL ModelZaim Reha Yaşar0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7466-6137Kırıkkale Üniversitesi, Kirikkale, TurkiyeTürkiye is a country in which the COVID-19 pandemic has deeply affected export performance. The aim of this paper is to analyse the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Turkish export performance using different variables indicating the severity of the COVID-19 effects. The effect of COVID-19 on Türkiye’s export performance is empirically analysed with the ARDL approach by employing time series data covering the 2013:q1-2022:q1 period. The estimation results of the six models indicate that COVID-19 does not affect Turkish export performance in the long term, whereas its lagged variables have negative and significant effects in the short term. Foreign income has positive and statistically significant effects on export volumes in both the short and long term. The exchange rate significantly and negatively affects export flows in both the short and long term. The results of this paper are robust against different types of COVID-19 proxies. COVID-19 has negative effects on exports in the short run for Türkiye’s economy. The results indicate that policymakers should consider the lagged effects of variables in addition to the current version. The findings also show the recommendation that short- and long-run estimations should be conducted to determine the short- and long-run relations.https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/A37F11F62B7445CA9E6D69C84BD1D7FFcovid-19export performancesupply chainlockdown policiesardl method |
| spellingShingle | Zaim Reha Yaşar Influence of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Exports in Türkiye: Evidence from ARDL Model İktisat Politikası Araştırmaları Dergisi covid-19 export performance supply chain lockdown policies ardl method |
| title | Influence of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Exports in Türkiye: Evidence from ARDL Model |
| title_full | Influence of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Exports in Türkiye: Evidence from ARDL Model |
| title_fullStr | Influence of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Exports in Türkiye: Evidence from ARDL Model |
| title_full_unstemmed | Influence of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Exports in Türkiye: Evidence from ARDL Model |
| title_short | Influence of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Exports in Türkiye: Evidence from ARDL Model |
| title_sort | influence of the covid 19 pandemic on exports in turkiye evidence from ardl model |
| topic | covid-19 export performance supply chain lockdown policies ardl method |
| url | https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/A37F11F62B7445CA9E6D69C84BD1D7FF |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT zaimrehayasar influenceofthecovid19pandemiconexportsinturkiyeevidencefromardlmodel |