A Study on the Dynamic Evolution and Prevention of Technological Innovation Risks in Major Railway Projects
Technological innovation risk in major railway projects is high, and the risk factors in the innovation process are complex and variable. In order to successfully complete the goal of technological innovation in major railway projects. This paper identifies the risk factors of technological innovati...
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MDPI AG
2025-04-01
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2075-5309/15/8/1294 |
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| author | Feng Guo Qixuan Liu Lemin Li Yixue Zuo Yifang Pan Wanping Pan |
| author_facet | Feng Guo Qixuan Liu Lemin Li Yixue Zuo Yifang Pan Wanping Pan |
| author_sort | Feng Guo |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Technological innovation risk in major railway projects is high, and the risk factors in the innovation process are complex and variable. In order to successfully complete the goal of technological innovation in major railway projects. This paper identifies the risk factors of technological innovation in major railway projects, establishes a system dynamics model of technological innovation risk evolution, and carries out simulation analysis by taking the C railway project as an example, to understand the risk evolution process, clarify the key tasks of risk prevention, and finally draw the following research conclusions: (1) Technological innovation risk is categorized into innovation management risk, technology R&D risk, and technology application risk, of which innovation management risk has a greater impact on technological innovation risk. (2) During the construction process, the risk of technological innovation shows a general trend of increasing and then stabilizing, with the technology R&D stage being the centralized emergence stage of technological innovation risk. (3) Changes in the values of risk factors will have different degrees of impact on technological innovation risk, with changes in planning and implementation having the greatest impact on the technological innovation risk system, followed by the feasibility of results, and changes in the value of technological difficulties risk having a lesser impact on the system. The results of this study can provide lessons and references for the prevention of technological innovation risks in major railway projects. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-4e0610b31c064eb3908e39894d53aa46 |
| institution | DOAJ |
| issn | 2075-5309 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-04-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Buildings |
| spelling | doaj-art-4e0610b31c064eb3908e39894d53aa462025-08-20T03:14:21ZengMDPI AGBuildings2075-53092025-04-01158129410.3390/buildings15081294A Study on the Dynamic Evolution and Prevention of Technological Innovation Risks in Major Railway ProjectsFeng Guo0Qixuan Liu1Lemin Li2Yixue Zuo3Yifang Pan4Wanping Pan5School of Civil Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410075, ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410075, ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410075, ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410075, ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410075, ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410075, ChinaTechnological innovation risk in major railway projects is high, and the risk factors in the innovation process are complex and variable. In order to successfully complete the goal of technological innovation in major railway projects. This paper identifies the risk factors of technological innovation in major railway projects, establishes a system dynamics model of technological innovation risk evolution, and carries out simulation analysis by taking the C railway project as an example, to understand the risk evolution process, clarify the key tasks of risk prevention, and finally draw the following research conclusions: (1) Technological innovation risk is categorized into innovation management risk, technology R&D risk, and technology application risk, of which innovation management risk has a greater impact on technological innovation risk. (2) During the construction process, the risk of technological innovation shows a general trend of increasing and then stabilizing, with the technology R&D stage being the centralized emergence stage of technological innovation risk. (3) Changes in the values of risk factors will have different degrees of impact on technological innovation risk, with changes in planning and implementation having the greatest impact on the technological innovation risk system, followed by the feasibility of results, and changes in the value of technological difficulties risk having a lesser impact on the system. The results of this study can provide lessons and references for the prevention of technological innovation risks in major railway projects.https://www.mdpi.com/2075-5309/15/8/1294major railway projectstechnological innovation riskrisk evolutionsystem dynamics |
| spellingShingle | Feng Guo Qixuan Liu Lemin Li Yixue Zuo Yifang Pan Wanping Pan A Study on the Dynamic Evolution and Prevention of Technological Innovation Risks in Major Railway Projects Buildings major railway projects technological innovation risk risk evolution system dynamics |
| title | A Study on the Dynamic Evolution and Prevention of Technological Innovation Risks in Major Railway Projects |
| title_full | A Study on the Dynamic Evolution and Prevention of Technological Innovation Risks in Major Railway Projects |
| title_fullStr | A Study on the Dynamic Evolution and Prevention of Technological Innovation Risks in Major Railway Projects |
| title_full_unstemmed | A Study on the Dynamic Evolution and Prevention of Technological Innovation Risks in Major Railway Projects |
| title_short | A Study on the Dynamic Evolution and Prevention of Technological Innovation Risks in Major Railway Projects |
| title_sort | study on the dynamic evolution and prevention of technological innovation risks in major railway projects |
| topic | major railway projects technological innovation risk risk evolution system dynamics |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2075-5309/15/8/1294 |
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