Getting the best of carbon bang for mangrove restoration buck

Abstract Mangrove loss has reduced its carbon (C) sink function and ecosystem services. To effectively allocate climate finance for mangrove restoration, a thorough assessment of restoration potential is necessary. Here we show a net loss of ecosystem service value (ESV) of 29.2 billion USD ($) due...

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Main Authors: Jingfan Zhang, Zhe Lu, Jinge Zhou, Guoming Qin, Yicheng Bai, Christian J. Sanders, Peter I. Macreadie, Jiacan Yuan, Xingyun Huang, Faming Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-02-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56587-2
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author Jingfan Zhang
Zhe Lu
Jinge Zhou
Guoming Qin
Yicheng Bai
Christian J. Sanders
Peter I. Macreadie
Jiacan Yuan
Xingyun Huang
Faming Wang
author_facet Jingfan Zhang
Zhe Lu
Jinge Zhou
Guoming Qin
Yicheng Bai
Christian J. Sanders
Peter I. Macreadie
Jiacan Yuan
Xingyun Huang
Faming Wang
author_sort Jingfan Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Mangrove loss has reduced its carbon (C) sink function and ecosystem services. To effectively allocate climate finance for mangrove restoration, a thorough assessment of restoration potential is necessary. Here we show a net loss of ecosystem service value (ESV) of 29.2 billion USD ($) due to land changes in mangroves from 1996 to 2019. The estimated mangrove ESV in 2019 amounts to $894 billion yr−1, mainly provided by regulating and provisioning services (57.4% and 19.7%). Over the next two decades, we project that the restoration of mangroves would necessitate an investment of $40.0–52.1 billion, yielding net gains in ESV of $231–725 billion. The global benefit-cost ratio (BCR) of mangrove restoration ranges from 6.35 to 15.0, demonstrating that such projects are highly cost-effective. Furthermore, an estimated of 19.4 Tg C can be sequestrated in mangrove soils based on a 20-year mangrove restoration program, which can generate $68.6–$236 million via blue C trading. Our findings highlight the significant opportunities for blue C restoration projects to mitigate climate change and support livelihoods.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2041-1723
language English
publishDate 2025-02-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
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series Nature Communications
spelling doaj-art-4dac36985af040ad9347910b27975c202025-02-09T12:46:04ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232025-02-0116111010.1038/s41467-025-56587-2Getting the best of carbon bang for mangrove restoration buckJingfan Zhang0Zhe Lu1Jinge Zhou2Guoming Qin3Yicheng Bai4Christian J. Sanders5Peter I. Macreadie6Jiacan Yuan7Xingyun Huang8Faming Wang9Xiaoliang Research Station of Tropical Coastal Ecosystems, Key Laboratory of Vegetation and Management of Degraded Ecosystems, the CAS Engineering Laboratory for Ecological Restoration of Island and Coastal Ecosystems, and Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Applied Botany, South China Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of SciencesXiaoliang Research Station of Tropical Coastal Ecosystems, Key Laboratory of Vegetation and Management of Degraded Ecosystems, the CAS Engineering Laboratory for Ecological Restoration of Island and Coastal Ecosystems, and Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Applied Botany, South China Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of SciencesXiaoliang Research Station of Tropical Coastal Ecosystems, Key Laboratory of Vegetation and Management of Degraded Ecosystems, the CAS Engineering Laboratory for Ecological Restoration of Island and Coastal Ecosystems, and Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Applied Botany, South China Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of SciencesUniversity of Chinese Academy of SciencesXiaoliang Research Station of Tropical Coastal Ecosystems, Key Laboratory of Vegetation and Management of Degraded Ecosystems, the CAS Engineering Laboratory for Ecological Restoration of Island and Coastal Ecosystems, and Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Applied Botany, South China Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of SciencesNational Marine Science Centre, School of Environment, Science and Engineering, Southern Cross UniversitySTEM College, RMIT UniversityDepartment of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences & Institute of Atmospheric Science & CMA-FDU Joint Laboratory of Marine Meteorology, Fudan UniversityXiaoliang Research Station of Tropical Coastal Ecosystems, Key Laboratory of Vegetation and Management of Degraded Ecosystems, the CAS Engineering Laboratory for Ecological Restoration of Island and Coastal Ecosystems, and Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Applied Botany, South China Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of SciencesXiaoliang Research Station of Tropical Coastal Ecosystems, Key Laboratory of Vegetation and Management of Degraded Ecosystems, the CAS Engineering Laboratory for Ecological Restoration of Island and Coastal Ecosystems, and Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Applied Botany, South China Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of SciencesAbstract Mangrove loss has reduced its carbon (C) sink function and ecosystem services. To effectively allocate climate finance for mangrove restoration, a thorough assessment of restoration potential is necessary. Here we show a net loss of ecosystem service value (ESV) of 29.2 billion USD ($) due to land changes in mangroves from 1996 to 2019. The estimated mangrove ESV in 2019 amounts to $894 billion yr−1, mainly provided by regulating and provisioning services (57.4% and 19.7%). Over the next two decades, we project that the restoration of mangroves would necessitate an investment of $40.0–52.1 billion, yielding net gains in ESV of $231–725 billion. The global benefit-cost ratio (BCR) of mangrove restoration ranges from 6.35 to 15.0, demonstrating that such projects are highly cost-effective. Furthermore, an estimated of 19.4 Tg C can be sequestrated in mangrove soils based on a 20-year mangrove restoration program, which can generate $68.6–$236 million via blue C trading. Our findings highlight the significant opportunities for blue C restoration projects to mitigate climate change and support livelihoods.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56587-2
spellingShingle Jingfan Zhang
Zhe Lu
Jinge Zhou
Guoming Qin
Yicheng Bai
Christian J. Sanders
Peter I. Macreadie
Jiacan Yuan
Xingyun Huang
Faming Wang
Getting the best of carbon bang for mangrove restoration buck
Nature Communications
title Getting the best of carbon bang for mangrove restoration buck
title_full Getting the best of carbon bang for mangrove restoration buck
title_fullStr Getting the best of carbon bang for mangrove restoration buck
title_full_unstemmed Getting the best of carbon bang for mangrove restoration buck
title_short Getting the best of carbon bang for mangrove restoration buck
title_sort getting the best of carbon bang for mangrove restoration buck
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56587-2
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