“Whirlpools” and “Safe Harbors” in the Dynamics of Industrial Specialization in Russian Regions

This article analyzes sectors of specialization and sectoral dynamics in the regions of the Russian Federation from 2005 to 2015. The study is based on the methodology of the European Cluster Observatory in the 2016 edition as revised by the authors. It proposes a typology of regions depending on t...

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Main Authors: Evgeniy Kutsenko, Yaroslav Eferin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: National Research University Higher School of Economics 2019-09-01
Series:Foresight and STI Governance
Subjects:
Online Access:https://foresight-journal.hse.ru/article/view/19219
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author Evgeniy Kutsenko
Yaroslav Eferin
author_facet Evgeniy Kutsenko
Yaroslav Eferin
author_sort Evgeniy Kutsenko
collection DOAJ
description This article analyzes sectors of specialization and sectoral dynamics in the regions of the Russian Federation from 2005 to 2015. The study is based on the methodology of the European Cluster Observatory in the 2016 edition as revised by the authors. It proposes a typology of regions depending on the number of specialization industries and the depth of sectoral development: agglomeration, diversification, specialization, and differentiation. Four types of specializations are identified based on the depth of their development and distribution among Russian regions: national leadership, distribution, concentration, and niche development. The authors implemented an approach to study regions through alternative scenarios of sectoral development over a ten-year period: occurrence, strengthening, extinction, and disappearance. The study identifies various structural models that combine the implementation of the described scenarios in relation to various specializations within a particular region. It is shown that the scale and intensity of structural changes largely depends on the region’s proximity to millionaire cities but does not always directly affect economic growth rates. The authors introduce the concepts of “sinkholes”, “streams”, and “safe harbors”, which describe the types of regions with a different type of structural changes that occur depending on the presence or proximity of the millionaire city.
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spelling doaj-art-4d9e239ffafb4cf1a4bfa588c93cd7bc2025-08-20T03:50:16ZengNational Research University Higher School of EconomicsForesight and STI Governance2500-25972019-09-0113310.17323/2500-2597.2019.3.24.40“Whirlpools” and “Safe Harbors” in the Dynamics of Industrial Specialization in Russian RegionsEvgeniy Kutsenko0Yaroslav Eferin1HSE UniversityHSE University This article analyzes sectors of specialization and sectoral dynamics in the regions of the Russian Federation from 2005 to 2015. The study is based on the methodology of the European Cluster Observatory in the 2016 edition as revised by the authors. It proposes a typology of regions depending on the number of specialization industries and the depth of sectoral development: agglomeration, diversification, specialization, and differentiation. Four types of specializations are identified based on the depth of their development and distribution among Russian regions: national leadership, distribution, concentration, and niche development. The authors implemented an approach to study regions through alternative scenarios of sectoral development over a ten-year period: occurrence, strengthening, extinction, and disappearance. The study identifies various structural models that combine the implementation of the described scenarios in relation to various specializations within a particular region. It is shown that the scale and intensity of structural changes largely depends on the region’s proximity to millionaire cities but does not always directly affect economic growth rates. The authors introduce the concepts of “sinkholes”, “streams”, and “safe harbors”, which describe the types of regions with a different type of structural changes that occur depending on the presence or proximity of the millionaire city. https://foresight-journal.hse.ru/article/view/19219smart specializationregional specializationregional economic policysectoral development of the regionslocalization coefficientstructural policy
spellingShingle Evgeniy Kutsenko
Yaroslav Eferin
“Whirlpools” and “Safe Harbors” in the Dynamics of Industrial Specialization in Russian Regions
Foresight and STI Governance
smart specialization
regional specialization
regional economic policy
sectoral development of the regions
localization coefficient
structural policy
title “Whirlpools” and “Safe Harbors” in the Dynamics of Industrial Specialization in Russian Regions
title_full “Whirlpools” and “Safe Harbors” in the Dynamics of Industrial Specialization in Russian Regions
title_fullStr “Whirlpools” and “Safe Harbors” in the Dynamics of Industrial Specialization in Russian Regions
title_full_unstemmed “Whirlpools” and “Safe Harbors” in the Dynamics of Industrial Specialization in Russian Regions
title_short “Whirlpools” and “Safe Harbors” in the Dynamics of Industrial Specialization in Russian Regions
title_sort whirlpools and safe harbors in the dynamics of industrial specialization in russian regions
topic smart specialization
regional specialization
regional economic policy
sectoral development of the regions
localization coefficient
structural policy
url https://foresight-journal.hse.ru/article/view/19219
work_keys_str_mv AT evgeniykutsenko whirlpoolsandsafeharborsinthedynamicsofindustrialspecializationinrussianregions
AT yaroslaveferin whirlpoolsandsafeharborsinthedynamicsofindustrialspecializationinrussianregions